Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 691 | 0 | 70 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 267413 | 268764.016137324 | 2145.25540182235 | 263916.728460854 | 1351.01613732392 |
2 | 267366 | 268403.893864220 | 1151.01887597914 | 265177.087259801 | 1037.89386422024 |
3 | 264777 | 265672.939979997 | -2556.38603874441 | 266437.446058748 | 895.939979996881 |
4 | 258863 | 255166.596047337 | -5104.62737642029 | 267664.031329084 | -3696.4039526633 |
5 | 254844 | 251768.418821072 | -10971.0354204922 | 268890.616599420 | -3075.58117892750 |
6 | 254868 | 252835.155542577 | -13145.9044493953 | 270046.748906818 | -2032.84445742279 |
7 | 277267 | 275626.387885279 | 7704.73090050412 | 271202.881214216 | -1640.61211472051 |
8 | 285351 | 288226.463764484 | 10166.301355168 | 272309.234880348 | 2875.46376448357 |
9 | 286602 | 291373.704761482 | 8414.70669203791 | 273415.588546480 | 4771.70476148161 |
10 | 283042 | 287700.920456648 | 3928.35151276254 | 274454.72803059 | 4658.92045664752 |
11 | 276687 | 279775.731477834 | -1895.59899253325 | 275493.867514699 | 3088.73147783382 |
12 | 277915 | 279471.289531182 | 163.184040238579 | 276195.52642858 | 1556.28953118174 |
13 | 277128 | 275213.559255718 | 2145.25540182235 | 276897.18534246 | -1914.44074428233 |
14 | 277103 | 275681.774144714 | 1151.01887597914 | 277373.206979307 | -1421.22585528606 |
15 | 275037 | 274781.157422591 | -2556.38603874441 | 277849.228616154 | -255.842577409465 |
16 | 270150 | 267095.856711718 | -5104.62737642029 | 278308.770664702 | -3054.14328828151 |
17 | 267140 | 266482.722707242 | -10971.0354204922 | 278768.31271325 | -657.277292757644 |
18 | 264993 | 263885.356426696 | -13145.9044493953 | 279246.548022699 | -1107.64357330417 |
19 | 287259 | 287088.485767347 | 7704.73090050412 | 279724.783332149 | -170.514232653077 |
20 | 291186 | 292108.000070525 | 10166.301355168 | 280097.698574307 | 922.000070525275 |
21 | 292300 | 295714.679491498 | 8414.70669203791 | 280470.613816464 | 3414.67949149758 |
22 | 288186 | 291647.6237949 | 3928.35151276254 | 280796.024692337 | 3461.62379490002 |
23 | 281477 | 283728.163424323 | -1895.59899253325 | 281121.435568210 | 2251.16342432285 |
24 | 282656 | 283767.62779801 | 163.184040238579 | 281381.188161752 | 1111.62779800972 |
25 | 280190 | 276593.803842885 | 2145.25540182235 | 281640.940755293 | -3596.19615711534 |
26 | 280408 | 278021.082298613 | 1151.01887597914 | 281643.898825408 | -2386.91770138696 |
27 | 276836 | 274581.529143222 | -2556.38603874441 | 281646.856895523 | -2254.47085677832 |
28 | 275216 | 274342.897889246 | -5104.62737642029 | 281193.729487174 | -873.102110753884 |
29 | 274352 | 278934.433341666 | -10971.0354204922 | 280740.602078826 | 4582.43334166647 |
30 | 271311 | 275961.895510898 | -13145.9044493953 | 279806.008938497 | 4650.89551089809 |
31 | 289802 | 293027.853301327 | 7704.73090050412 | 278871.415798169 | 3225.85330132721 |
32 | 290726 | 293916.383763744 | 10166.301355168 | 277369.314881088 | 3190.3837637438 |
33 | 292300 | 300318.079343954 | 8414.70669203791 | 275867.213964008 | 8018.07934395439 |
34 | 278506 | 279378.535272153 | 3928.35151276254 | 273705.113215084 | 872.535272153094 |
35 | 269826 | 270004.586526372 | -1895.59899253325 | 271543.012466161 | 178.586526372179 |
36 | 265861 | 262690.427599235 | 163.184040238579 | 268868.388360527 | -3170.57240076532 |
37 | 269034 | 269728.980343285 | 2145.25540182235 | 266193.764254893 | 694.980343285133 |
38 | 264176 | 263734.983865745 | 1151.01887597914 | 263465.997258276 | -441.016134254634 |
39 | 255198 | 252214.155777086 | -2556.38603874441 | 260738.230261659 | -2983.84422291414 |
40 | 253353 | 253482.660369717 | -5104.62737642029 | 258327.967006703 | 129.660369716963 |
41 | 246057 | 247167.331668744 | -10971.0354204922 | 255917.703751748 | 1110.33166874407 |
42 | 235372 | 229858.578879405 | -13145.9044493953 | 254031.325569991 | -5513.42112059525 |
43 | 258556 | 257262.321711263 | 7704.73090050412 | 252144.947388233 | -1293.67828873705 |
44 | 260993 | 261230.815551777 | 10166.301355168 | 250588.883093055 | 237.815551776934 |
45 | 254663 | 251878.474510085 | 8414.70669203791 | 249032.818797877 | -2784.52548991510 |
46 | 250643 | 249659.443435885 | 3928.35151276254 | 247698.205051352 | -983.556564114813 |
47 | 243422 | 242376.007687706 | -1895.59899253325 | 246363.591304827 | -1045.99231229405 |
48 | 247105 | 248779.351018475 | 163.184040238579 | 245267.464941286 | 1674.35101847546 |
49 | 248541 | 250765.406020433 | 2145.25540182235 | 244171.338577745 | 2224.406020433 |
50 | 245039 | 245610.252857699 | 1151.01887597914 | 243316.728266322 | 571.252857699321 |
51 | 237080 | 234254.268083846 | -2556.38603874441 | 242462.117954898 | -2825.73191615398 |
52 | 237085 | 237202.224329703 | -5104.62737642029 | 242072.403046717 | 117.224329703487 |
53 | 225554 | 220396.347281957 | -10971.0354204922 | 241682.688138535 | -5157.65271804301 |
54 | 226839 | 224555.153601638 | -13145.9044493953 | 242268.750847757 | -2283.84639836216 |
55 | 247934 | 245308.455542516 | 7704.73090050412 | 242854.813556980 | -2625.54445748380 |
56 | 248333 | 241679.463165435 | 10166.301355168 | 244820.235479397 | -6653.53683456505 |
57 | 246969 | 238737.635906148 | 8414.70669203791 | 246785.657401814 | -8231.36409385229 |
58 | 245098 | 236281.02795201 | 3928.35151276254 | 249986.620535227 | -8816.97204798981 |
59 | 246263 | 241234.015323893 | -1895.59899253325 | 253187.58366864 | -5028.98467610689 |
60 | 255765 | 254197.044738148 | 163.184040238579 | 257169.771221613 | -1567.95526185178 |
61 | 264319 | 265340.785823591 | 2145.25540182235 | 261151.958774586 | 1021.78582359143 |
62 | 268347 | 270462.992570695 | 1151.01887597914 | 265079.988553326 | 2115.992570695 |
63 | 273046 | 279640.367706679 | -2556.38603874441 | 269008.018332066 | 6594.36770667887 |
64 | 273963 | 280058.275067364 | -5104.62737642029 | 272972.352309056 | 6095.27506736387 |
65 | 267430 | 268894.349134445 | -10971.0354204922 | 276936.686286047 | 1464.34913444478 |
66 | 271993 | 276231.649378946 | -13145.9044493953 | 280900.255070449 | 4238.64937894582 |
67 | 292710 | 292851.445244644 | 7704.73090050412 | 284863.823854852 | 141.445244644361 |
68 | 295881 | 292842.381329576 | 10166.301355168 | 288753.317315256 | -3038.6186704241 |
69 | 293299 | 285540.482532301 | 8414.70669203791 | 292642.810775661 | -7758.51746769855 |