| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 267413 | 267413 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 267366 | 267384.357654688 | -30.1595068318717 | -18.3576546875851 | -0.0120573306031779 |
| 3 | 264777 | 265475.763074761 | -1230.64730462337 | -698.763074761267 | -0.387207780916152 |
| 4 | 258863 | 260376.173861343 | -3814.08699359233 | -1513.17386134343 | -0.872939958251469 |
| 5 | 254844 | 254967.296867130 | -4876.39017440018 | -123.296867129658 | -0.332923013120594 |
| 6 | 254868 | 253450.915489083 | -2679.70950965243 | 1417.08451091689 | 0.693250988131664 |
| 7 | 277267 | 270270.991467447 | 10102.8845048435 | 6996.00853255312 | 4.05104096080793 |
| 8 | 285351 | 285788.003521678 | 13660.7770413176 | -437.003521678314 | 1.12545651843299 |
| 9 | 286602 | 290736.276374637 | 7934.00112730939 | -4134.27637463657 | -1.81127216020215 |
| 10 | 283042 | 286687.500765639 | 59.2377145686369 | -3645.50076563855 | -2.49085226920937 |
| 11 | 276687 | 278491.420276328 | -5364.70454217156 | -1804.42027632774 | -1.71558560645971 |
| 12 | 277915 | 275926.488391431 | -3525.34750976614 | 1988.51160856897 | 0.581783458681778 |
| 13 | 277128 | 275888.618919733 | -1242.35391333100 | 1239.38108026734 | 0.724897532317247 |
| 14 | 277103 | 276119.640050427 | -273.442006580221 | 983.359949572523 | 0.311502990853579 |
| 15 | 275037 | 274310.546622751 | -1256.50466219448 | 726.453377248726 | -0.308218470510597 |
| 16 | 270150 | 270425.803219630 | -2914.36198059900 | -275.803219630438 | -0.531896063830159 |
| 17 | 267140 | 267870.660803246 | -2684.87710598065 | -730.660803245781 | 0.073090659271585 |
| 18 | 264993 | 269620.758930962 | 131.330768791653 | -4627.758930962 | 0.886951137946173 |
| 19 | 287259 | 279812.723471286 | 6487.8919808944 | 7446.276528714 | 2.00973341430148 |
| 20 | 291186 | 289067.085977756 | 8238.78670676581 | 2118.91402224363 | 0.554283770795183 |
| 21 | 292300 | 293757.165361327 | 5989.62411900662 | -1457.16536132667 | -0.711398811597042 |
| 22 | 288186 | 291683.116036667 | 878.090627124425 | -3497.11603666658 | -1.61678482966945 |
| 23 | 281477 | 286133.284538209 | -3194.37722816267 | -4656.28453820917 | -1.28817389796142 |
| 24 | 282656 | 281944.939650254 | -3823.35446379716 | 711.060349745754 | -0.199045423403195 |
| 25 | 280190 | 279026.569949849 | -3250.51792353097 | 1163.43005015073 | 0.181769936433091 |
| 26 | 280408 | 277630.461624367 | -2075.11210274765 | 2777.53837563298 | 0.372419943967702 |
| 27 | 276836 | 274670.010576067 | -2631.76032878241 | 2165.98942393288 | -0.175527054931249 |
| 28 | 275216 | 273993.861055428 | -1409.30215085815 | 1222.13894457248 | 0.388059482722576 |
| 29 | 274352 | 275843.892322561 | 638.320053464804 | -1491.89232256089 | 0.650790183526992 |
| 30 | 271311 | 279467.553593881 | 2514.41172645266 | -8156.55359388106 | 0.592726949539441 |
| 31 | 289802 | 283709.146279641 | 3595.88142113060 | 6092.85372035882 | 0.341553139415206 |
| 32 | 290726 | 287633.87658938 | 3801.70084968363 | 3092.1234106198 | 0.0651105199350271 |
| 33 | 292300 | 290947.529694055 | 3495.88292360939 | 1352.47030594478 | -0.0967453124667064 |
| 34 | 278506 | 283703.845381414 | -3236.44053030738 | -5197.8453814141 | -2.12942823619126 |
| 35 | 269826 | 275263.654781419 | -6497.21044619752 | -5437.65478141853 | -1.03149128100706 |
| 36 | 265861 | 266174.582475066 | -8120.73639557832 | -313.58247506571 | -0.513937878309871 |
| 37 | 269034 | 265211.732959609 | -3633.50684142821 | 3822.2670403909 | 1.42162440072165 |
| 38 | 264176 | 261286.649501754 | -3816.25618789996 | 2889.35049824554 | -0.057799338075365 |
| 39 | 255198 | 254427.318593741 | -5715.73511057414 | 770.681406259409 | -0.59991216601527 |
| 40 | 253353 | 251794.842969670 | -3796.22281900901 | 1558.15703032966 | 0.608055454268744 |
| 41 | 246057 | 248859.105094192 | -3259.28166814887 | -2802.10509419200 | 0.170316022397996 |
| 42 | 235372 | 245091.625017296 | -3576.77771057387 | -9719.62501729559 | -0.100435874232346 |
| 43 | 258556 | 250185.433321911 | 1830.32169825703 | 8370.56667808898 | 1.70823975157416 |
| 44 | 260993 | 256661.473756067 | 4724.16034894314 | 4331.52624393292 | 0.914941079265525 |
| 45 | 254663 | 252630.03949029 | -731.561202361268 | 2032.96050971022 | -1.72577205456562 |
| 46 | 250643 | 252529.07339128 | -338.486833767182 | -1886.07339128014 | 0.124346023835854 |
| 47 | 243422 | 249524.259015868 | -2000.44577866795 | -6102.25901586832 | -0.525848546663348 |
| 48 | 247105 | 249320.305104821 | -880.464671722156 | -2215.30510482084 | 0.354524958695860 |
| 49 | 248541 | 245548.325514164 | -2684.14785318996 | 2992.67448583648 | -0.570929765356757 |
| 50 | 245039 | 241221.400684498 | -3708.24407242044 | 3817.5993155022 | -0.323773745385182 |
| 51 | 237080 | 237068.307936376 | -3984.86209867995 | 11.6920636239260 | -0.0874174362504562 |
| 52 | 237085 | 234614.621625068 | -3034.09109358949 | 2470.37837493234 | 0.300987728283051 |
| 53 | 225554 | 229476.274529091 | -4342.42688382378 | -3922.27452909119 | -0.414592290697748 |
| 54 | 226839 | 236099.637483597 | 2483.23188002607 | -9260.63748359721 | 2.16002895079982 |
| 55 | 247934 | 240991.185621812 | 3980.9826979265 | 6942.81437818779 | 0.47338301735257 |
| 56 | 248333 | 242009.140377945 | 2140.45408994991 | 6323.85962205526 | -0.581806500273487 |
| 57 | 246969 | 244702.522303296 | 2483.81188586549 | 2266.47769670426 | 0.108596769884744 |
| 58 | 245098 | 246686.357752478 | 2173.28267813475 | -1588.35775247784 | -0.0982459658341283 |
| 59 | 246263 | 251949.608541643 | 4092.8627024764 | -5686.60854164295 | 0.607477935434488 |
| 60 | 255765 | 256802.826340855 | 4565.41443157929 | -1037.82634085482 | 0.149570211298826 |
| 61 | 264319 | 260744.512846186 | 4177.64727925764 | 3574.48715381359 | -0.122688892520152 |
| 62 | 268347 | 264204.204960062 | 3731.62971125095 | 4142.79503993849 | -0.140999503967521 |
| 63 | 273046 | 271478.899652959 | 5928.85174997248 | 1567.10034704079 | 0.694566262438454 |
| 64 | 273963 | 273042.358456985 | 3224.03588936383 | 920.641543015415 | -0.856043335704996 |
| 65 | 267430 | 275607.501021547 | 2815.42548075274 | -8177.50102154707 | -0.129417363409643 |
| 66 | 271993 | 281017.300658991 | 4425.81672752953 | -9024.30065899091 | 0.509664428701021 |
| 67 | 292710 | 284951.684445151 | 4120.90337429693 | 7758.31555484861 | -0.096399711316369 |
| 68 | 295881 | 289357.08737976 | 4297.23224828357 | 6523.91262023977 | 0.0557380803996539 |
| 69 | 293299 | 291689.913715015 | 3080.48099843533 | 1609.08628498541 | -0.384794295264137 |
