| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.9519 | -0.8189 | 0.3031 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0556 ) | (6e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9458 | -0.7963 | 0 | -0.6511 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0027 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -1575.00887827752 |
| -2263.82750005582 |
| 7045.75768165492 |
| -2035.83149854133 |
| 3886.02985519469 |
| 158.539675832947 |
| 960.457190377358 |
| -337.841379165606 |
| -7109.61280621946 |
| -7043.92461948593 |
| 4685.51755601771 |
| 977.408177407792 |
| 918.328545859417 |
| 589.375354065341 |
| -6891.67878957285 |
| 1533.64184150137 |
| 2210.55324487903 |
| -9280.29800578057 |
| 8034.36112956057 |
| 3659.22886246375 |
| 7117.41595284467 |
| -2633.18383716224 |
| -4523.01908028135 |
| -10249.2788035485 |
| 1517.80356687876 |
| 1484.15119995578 |
| -1214.46781890457 |
| 2169.24845396691 |
| -2253.92155265332 |
| -2631.74888936717 |
| -3849.26121145593 |
| 821.620255775573 |
| -9408.87260464867 |
| 1241.88804485160 |
| 1179.93724525252 |
| -1962.37832237001 |
| 516.653311386494 |
| -2767.97210236296 |
| 5629.81911313198 |
| 5803.53000967108 |
| -1873.10106680445 |
| -7023.12305076338 |
| -1722.94778568371 |
| -3011.92640473933 |
| -17439.1442995944 |
| -1770.63103827571 |
| -6148.68941133731 |
| 7691.62364275427 |
| -4994.18050152824 |
| -4899.69881288656 |
| 5524.45031429093 |
| -6451.65580766626 |
| -9155.30558471285 |
| 9268.49118895307 |
| 4067.36942971564 |
| -15460.4752115729 |
| 9214.1160150789 |
| 4009.46524142609 |
| 8598.3415209042 |
| 1171.18094385286 |
| -1585.96191465526 |
| -2329.27119138406 |
| 5674.43930504972 |
| -9680.56803374957 |
| 13269.3191881056 |
| -4706.51689196404 |
| -3552.85443447458 |
| -3123.75770966460 |
| 2912.26032459412 |
| 12338.9131048695 |
| 10340.0965258702 |
| 6543.69991954822 |
| 7116.01012281237 |
