Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 114 | 109.720309703983 | -19.3970127345763 | 137.676703030593 | -4.27969029601698 |
2 | 116 | 112.533551380647 | -17.8638486340743 | 137.330297253427 | -3.46644861935286 |
3 | 153 | 153.346792011698 | 15.6693165120408 | 136.983891476261 | 0.346792011698113 |
4 | 162 | 164.907741746765 | 22.4923991100738 | 136.599859143162 | 2.9077417467646 |
5 | 161 | 165.268691481831 | 20.5154817081073 | 136.215826810062 | 4.26869148183076 |
6 | 149 | 152.233659113008 | 9.92150769545727 | 135.844833191535 | 3.23365911300797 |
7 | 139 | 141.198627266991 | 1.32753316000100 | 135.473839573008 | 2.19862726699145 |
8 | 135 | 136.304999336799 | -1.4261051936516 | 135.121105856853 | 1.30499933679857 |
9 | 130 | 128.211369184676 | -2.97974132537437 | 134.768372140699 | -1.78863081532415 |
10 | 127 | 125.329916910628 | -5.6244654229042 | 134.294548512276 | -1.6700830893719 |
11 | 122 | 120.24846463658 | -10.0691895204337 | 133.820724883854 | -1.75153536341998 |
12 | 117 | 112.974613841730 | -12.5658710169265 | 133.591257175197 | -4.02538615827041 |
13 | 112 | 110.035223268036 | -19.3970127345763 | 133.361789466540 | -1.96477673196389 |
14 | 113 | 110.609954078629 | -17.8638486340743 | 133.253894555445 | -2.39004592137107 |
15 | 149 | 149.184683843609 | 15.6693165120408 | 133.145999644351 | 0.184683843608582 |
16 | 157 | 158.555317333368 | 22.4923991100738 | 132.952283556558 | 1.55531733336824 |
17 | 157 | 160.725950823128 | 20.5154817081073 | 132.758567468765 | 3.72595082312750 |
18 | 147 | 151.612185609854 | 9.92150769545727 | 132.466306694689 | 4.61218560985395 |
19 | 137 | 140.498420919387 | 1.32753316000100 | 132.174045920612 | 3.49842091938669 |
20 | 132 | 133.668285991863 | -1.4261051936516 | 131.757819201789 | 1.66828599186280 |
21 | 125 | 121.638148842409 | -2.97974132537437 | 131.341592482965 | -3.36185115759092 |
22 | 123 | 120.920849227245 | -5.6244654229042 | 130.703616195659 | -2.07915077275521 |
23 | 117 | 114.003549612080 | -10.0691895204337 | 130.065639908354 | -2.99645038791986 |
24 | 114 | 111.349207036767 | -12.5658710169265 | 129.216663980160 | -2.65079296323302 |
25 | 111 | 113.029324682611 | -19.3970127345763 | 128.367688051966 | 2.02932468261073 |
26 | 112 | 114.414070889012 | -17.8638486340743 | 127.449777745062 | 2.41407088901212 |
27 | 144 | 145.798816049800 | 15.6693165120408 | 126.531867438159 | 1.79881604980032 |
28 | 150 | 151.976495812768 | 22.4923991100738 | 125.531105077158 | 1.97649581276832 |
29 | 149 | 152.954175575736 | 20.5154817081073 | 124.530342716157 | 3.95417557573597 |
30 | 134 | 134.789915769359 | 9.92150769545727 | 123.288576535184 | 0.789915769358956 |
31 | 123 | 122.625656485788 | 1.32753316000100 | 122.046810354211 | -0.374343514211773 |
32 | 116 | 112.919366689641 | -1.4261051936516 | 120.506738504010 | -3.08063331035858 |
33 | 117 | 118.013074671565 | -2.97974132537437 | 118.966666653810 | 1.01307467156481 |
34 | 111 | 110.352329742067 | -5.6244654229042 | 117.272135680837 | -0.647670257932603 |
35 | 105 | 104.491584812570 | -10.0691895204337 | 115.577604707864 | -0.508415187430373 |
36 | 102 | 102.574831906704 | -12.5658710169265 | 113.991039110223 | 0.574831906703523 |
37 | 95 | 96.9925392219944 | -19.3970127345763 | 112.404473512582 | 1.99253922199436 |
38 | 93 | 92.6888084609467 | -17.8638486340743 | 111.175040173128 | -0.31119153905334 |
39 | 124 | 122.385076654286 | 15.6693165120408 | 109.945606833673 | -1.61492334571422 |
40 | 130 | 128.501895237231 | 22.4923991100738 | 109.005705652695 | -1.49810476276861 |
41 | 124 | 119.418713820177 | 20.5154817081073 | 108.065804471716 | -4.58128617982334 |
42 | 115 | 112.740334487621 | 9.92150769545727 | 107.338157816922 | -2.25966551237931 |
43 | 106 | 104.061955677871 | 1.32753316000100 | 106.610511162128 | -1.93804432212899 |
44 | 105 | 105.398095581564 | -1.4261051936516 | 106.028009612088 | 0.398095581563851 |
45 | 105 | 107.534233263327 | -2.97974132537437 | 105.445508062047 | 2.53423326332688 |
46 | 101 | 102.748566025699 | -5.6244654229042 | 104.875899397205 | 1.74856602569903 |
47 | 95 | 95.7628987880708 | -10.0691895204337 | 104.306290732363 | 0.762898788070814 |
48 | 93 | 94.7546195687203 | -12.5658710169265 | 103.811251448206 | 1.75461956872027 |
49 | 84 | 84.0808005705267 | -19.3970127345763 | 103.316212164050 | 0.0808005705266623 |
50 | 87 | 88.6406274181474 | -17.8638486340743 | 103.223221215927 | 1.64062741814742 |
51 | 116 | 113.200453220155 | 15.6693165120408 | 103.130230267804 | -2.79954677984499 |
52 | 120 | 113.241561292765 | 22.4923991100738 | 104.266039597162 | -6.75843870723543 |
53 | 117 | 108.082669365374 | 20.5154817081073 | 105.401848926519 | -8.91733063462624 |
54 | 109 | 101.460090958237 | 9.92150769545727 | 106.618401346306 | -7.53990904176321 |
55 | 105 | 100.837513073906 | 1.32753316000100 | 107.834953766093 | -4.16248692609389 |
56 | 107 | 106.272630461781 | -1.4261051936516 | 109.153474731871 | -0.727369538219307 |
57 | 109 | 110.507745627725 | -2.97974132537437 | 110.471995697649 | 1.50774562772547 |
58 | 109 | 111.664838159360 | -5.6244654229042 | 111.959627263545 | 2.66483815935956 |
59 | 108 | 112.621930690993 | -10.0691895204337 | 113.447258829440 | 4.62193069099330 |
60 | 107 | 111.494915331029 | -12.5658710169265 | 115.070955685898 | 4.49491533102891 |