| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 6.20033875634969 | -0.0996892400546821 | -0.000338756349693864 | -0.413526898000771 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 6.09976744827461 | -0.100562515222695 | 0.000232551725384802 | -0.00363474764207676 |
| 4 | 6.3 | 6.2974530563921 | 0.193771042443022 | 0.00254694360790351 | 1.21883612320128 |
| 5 | 6.5 | 6.50062828204771 | 0.203054049444421 | -0.000628282047714086 | 0.0384449021976258 |
| 6 | 6.6 | 6.60097171365893 | 0.101665299403964 | -0.000971713658931074 | -0.419893279294913 |
| 7 | 6.5 | 6.50158266492297 | -0.0968007826560898 | -0.00158266492297389 | -0.821931126823448 |
| 8 | 6.2 | 6.20138698065123 | -0.2975773150637 | -0.00138698065122801 | -0.831499669577698 |
| 9 | 6.2 | 6.19705230530992 | -0.0081096582559993 | 0.00294769469008469 | 1.19880674346806 |
| 10 | 5.9 | 5.90319097012336 | -0.290182783260372 | -0.00319097012336136 | -1.16818289178009 |
| 11 | 6.1 | 6.09522394922025 | 0.185825295955012 | 0.00477605077974664 | 1.9713487220021 |
| 12 | 6.1 | 6.10267012692514 | 0.00974249630433024 | -0.00267012692514542 | -0.729232584938666 |
| 13 | 6.1 | 6.09961056619894 | -0.00289373740588862 | 0.000389433801055103 | -0.0523382102394348 |
| 14 | 6.1 | 6.09785093585783 | -0.00177405910085651 | 0.00214906414216770 | 0.00464350935965628 |
| 15 | 6.1 | 6.10327734927333 | 0.00527074334871684 | -0.00327734927332607 | 0.0292998277865995 |
| 16 | 6.4 | 6.39355779297442 | 0.283524727495623 | 0.00644220702558011 | 1.15208749848241 |
| 17 | 6.7 | 6.70141704898546 | 0.307286599264358 | -0.00141704898545800 | 0.098409103018933 |
| 18 | 6.9 | 6.90239308024715 | 0.203474052341428 | -0.00239308024714992 | -0.429931209766651 |
| 19 | 7 | 6.99751842689687 | 0.0976719463955992 | 0.00248157310312842 | -0.438170815007838 |
| 20 | 7 | 7.00932280684428 | 0.0138226543213788 | -0.00932280684427659 | -0.347255019452226 |
| 21 | 6.8 | 6.79247267854197 | -0.211428359410104 | 0.00752732145802524 | -0.932858742203005 |
| 22 | 6.4 | 6.41270405860088 | -0.375811908003098 | -0.0127040586008774 | -0.680781089097793 |
| 23 | 5.9 | 5.89467502498198 | -0.514686465598539 | 0.00532497501802364 | -0.575137684607805 |
| 24 | 5.5 | 5.50016070165732 | -0.397338999364159 | -0.000160701657324725 | 0.485985066471323 |
| 25 | 5.5 | 5.49399960026595 | -0.0153873066090311 | 0.00600039973404482 | 1.58202586966257 |
| 26 | 5.6 | 5.59298140995175 | 0.0963144004655587 | 0.00701859004825286 | 0.463081881057796 |
| 27 | 5.8 | 5.80749816570284 | 0.210931531069805 | -0.00749816570284082 | 0.476226005450853 |
| 28 | 5.9 | 5.89843543212545 | 0.0947024869909643 | 0.00156456787455183 | -0.481200501660963 |
| 29 | 6.1 | 6.09747947505157 | 0.195774205083794 | 0.00252052494842619 | 0.41859107594146 |
| 30 | 6.1 | 6.10474415012635 | 0.0131619052041264 | -0.00474415012635025 | -0.756273520089822 |
| 31 | 6 | 6.00004468809009 | -0.101011726964120 | -4.46880900908772e-05 | -0.472840848662802 |
| 32 | 6 | 6.00321778512485 | -8.70050724529753e-05 | -0.00321778512485429 | 0.417971520913078 |
| 33 | 5.9 | 5.89378461292126 | -0.106011607387369 | 0.00621538707874165 | -0.438678120515491 |
| 34 | 5.5 | 5.51396360252218 | -0.37125323279174 | -0.0139636025221789 | -1.09847660896160 |
| 35 | 5.6 | 5.58173306876045 | 0.0540330601232895 | 0.0182669312395535 | 1.76128872590351 |
| 36 | 5.4 | 5.41421378592133 | -0.160585822070662 | -0.0142137859213330 | -0.888827211245181 |
| 37 | 5.2 | 5.19562301857758 | -0.216770702132943 | 0.0043769814224184 | -0.232720492953543 |
| 38 | 5.2 | 5.19360557190027 | -0.0086987165242462 | 0.00639442809972834 | 0.862275194198476 |
| 39 | 5.2 | 5.20190747552098 | 0.0076847069001057 | -0.0019074755209796 | 0.068010706536208 |
| 40 | 5.5 | 5.49850417747576 | 0.286015370002777 | 0.00149582252424102 | 1.15232777236473 |
| 41 | 5.8 | 5.79469937014512 | 0.295821345738657 | 0.00530062985488497 | 0.0406118825422641 |
| 42 | 5.8 | 5.80582243223237 | 0.0215580799705882 | -0.00582243223236669 | -1.13583787026343 |
| 43 | 5.5 | 5.51191357179922 | -0.282345598274516 | -0.0119135717992181 | -1.25859262625289 |
| 44 | 5.3 | 5.30200515969737 | -0.212563904753882 | -0.00200515969737416 | 0.288995201556250 |
| 45 | 5.1 | 5.07691512668202 | -0.224630833187949 | 0.0230848733179795 | -0.0499742023660053 |
| 46 | 5.2 | 5.22309337936363 | 0.132584926646026 | -0.023093379363633 | 1.47938000429862 |
| 47 | 5.8 | 5.76785510696308 | 0.52965338684852 | 0.0321448930369196 | 1.64442727565032 |
| 48 | 5.8 | 5.82250193702928 | 0.072064157359714 | -0.0225019370292789 | -1.89507026558255 |
| 49 | 5.5 | 5.51027369316912 | -0.298106915018495 | -0.010273693169116 | -1.53330788173242 |
| 50 | 5 | 4.99125394428652 | -0.510949537531044 | 0.00874605571347878 | -0.881785297819474 |
| 51 | 4.9 | 4.89885467575368 | -0.109261599430379 | 0.00114532424631634 | 1.66634087652492 |
| 52 | 5.3 | 5.29238487599785 | 0.373323917032699 | 0.00761512400215245 | 1.99808449014423 |
| 53 | 6.1 | 6.08227568793519 | 0.773063685238924 | 0.0177243120648116 | 1.65552840689468 |
| 54 | 6.5 | 6.50481287239076 | 0.436667506505551 | -0.00481287239075659 | -1.39315722914169 |
| 55 | 6.8 | 6.81867230351617 | 0.318809639292635 | -0.0186723035161743 | -0.488098869759394 |
| 56 | 6.6 | 6.60604110816872 | -0.191206426526746 | -0.00604110816871922 | -2.11219003005265 |
| 57 | 6.4 | 6.37966157589264 | -0.224961508823594 | 0.0203384241073565 | -0.139793928781406 |
| 58 | 6.4 | 6.43870483881188 | 0.047593964335382 | -0.0387048388118812 | 1.12876631249156 |
| 59 | 6.6 | 6.55781274595347 | 0.116225189273000 | 0.0421872540465295 | 0.284230857820430 |
