Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 92.9 | NA | NA | 1.01439710936772 | NA |
2 | 107.7 | NA | NA | 1.15553139141945 | NA |
3 | 103.5 | NA | NA | 1.13714573088061 | NA |
4 | 91.1 | NA | NA | 1.03762251436317 | NA |
5 | 79.8 | NA | NA | 0.811294061553772 | NA |
6 | 71.9 | NA | NA | 0.89800314598119 | NA |
7 | 82.9 | 87.3954464718251 | 88.7125 | 0.985153687155983 | 0.948562005764518 |
8 | 90.1 | 91.2660591205657 | 88.7291666666667 | 1.02859141530574 | 0.987223518449226 |
9 | 100.7 | 91.1999310265164 | 88.425 | 1.03138174754330 | 1.10416750173552 |
10 | 90.7 | 94.693438112965 | 88.2375 | 1.07316546947687 | 0.95782772077405 |
11 | 108.8 | 97.9357046767527 | 88.2041666666667 | 1.11032968597575 | 1.1109329366558 |
12 | 44.1 | 63.321098016854 | 88.2666666666667 | 0.717384040976443 | 0.696450336162238 |
13 | 93.6 | 89.7868241429105 | 88.5125 | 1.01439710936772 | 1.04246921409115 |
14 | 107.4 | 102.967476403735 | 89.1083333333333 | 1.15553139141945 | 1.04304780257880 |
15 | 96.5 | 101.376541908006 | 89.15 | 1.13714573088061 | 0.951896742419648 |
16 | 93.6 | 92.335433496893 | 88.9875 | 1.03762251436317 | 1.01369535459158 |
17 | 76.5 | 72.3775714663659 | 89.2125 | 0.811294061553772 | 1.05695726521509 |
18 | 76.7 | 80.0270470260237 | 89.1166666666667 | 0.89800314598119 | 0.958425967848822 |
19 | 84 | 87.8346608240155 | 89.1583333333333 | 0.985153687155983 | 0.956342282328629 |
20 | 103.3 | 91.7117820671982 | 89.1625 | 1.02859141530574 | 1.12635473514527 |
21 | 88.5 | 92.3043689811774 | 89.4958333333333 | 1.03138174754330 | 0.958784518835147 |
22 | 99 | 96.812939915182 | 90.2125 | 1.07316546947687 | 1.02259057608140 |
23 | 105.9 | 100.632880538935 | 90.6333333333333 | 1.11032968597575 | 1.05233994528286 |
24 | 44.7 | 65.3088496303929 | 91.0375 | 0.717384040976443 | 0.68444016780228 |
25 | 94 | 93.0159882743977 | 91.6958333333333 | 1.01439710936772 | 1.01057895254200 |
26 | 107.1 | 106.462958862778 | 92.1333333333333 | 1.15553139141945 | 1.00598368807354 |
27 | 104.8 | 105.105432283852 | 92.4291666666667 | 1.13714573088061 | 0.997094039030948 |
28 | 102.5 | 96.0103465685958 | 92.5291666666667 | 1.03762251436317 | 1.06759327159357 |
29 | 77.7 | 75.0548418694934 | 92.5125 | 0.811294061553772 | 1.03524300451004 |
30 | 85.2 | 83.357142025704 | 92.825 | 0.89800314598119 | 1.02210797934660 |
31 | 91.3 | 91.898419783534 | 93.2833333333333 | 0.985153687155983 | 0.993488247295835 |
32 | 106.5 | 95.9375784650793 | 93.2708333333333 | 1.02859141530574 | 1.11009681194700 |
33 | 92.4 | 96.3955165797658 | 93.4625 | 1.03138174754330 | 0.958550804834792 |
34 | 97.5 | 100.586905149509 | 93.7291666666667 | 1.07316546947687 | 0.96931106345383 |
35 | 107 | 103.686287175369 | 93.3833333333333 | 1.11032968597575 | 1.03195902674214 |
36 | 51.1 | 67.0485059297608 | 93.4625 | 0.717384040976443 | 0.76213480511455 |
37 | 98.6 | 95.4505413368803 | 94.0958333333333 | 1.01439710936772 | 1.03299571295258 |
38 | 102.2 | 108.128849952075 | 93.575 | 1.15553139141945 | 0.945168657997355 |
39 | 114.3 | 106.237839907521 | 93.425 | 1.13714573088061 | 1.07588783901760 |
40 | 99.4 | 97.6791894458633 | 94.1375 | 1.03762251436317 | 1.01761696185133 |
41 | 72.5 | 76.2988260972092 | 94.0458333333333 | 0.811294061553772 | 0.95021121173779 |
42 | 92.3 | 84.5844129918782 | 94.1916666666666 | 0.89800314598119 | 1.09121759831640 |
43 | 99.4 | 92.5428744872151 | 93.9375 | 0.985153687155983 | 1.07409674219415 |
44 | 85.9 | 96.3833014117117 | 93.7041666666667 | 1.02859141530574 | 0.891233219259307 |
45 | 109.4 | 96.447085667143 | 93.5125 | 1.03138174754330 | 1.13430073333226 |
46 | 97.6 | 99.2767489721893 | 92.5083333333333 | 1.07316546947687 | 0.983110355752494 |
47 | 104.7 | 102.034671767480 | 91.8958333333333 | 1.11032968597575 | 1.02612178964611 |
48 | 56.9 | 65.3895553350028 | 91.15 | 0.717384040976443 | 0.870169550909022 |
49 | 86.7 | 91.249246642249 | 89.9541666666667 | 1.01439710936772 | 0.950144830673675 |
50 | 108.5 | 104.127822509285 | 90.1125 | 1.15553139141945 | 1.0419885616097 |
51 | 103.4 | 102.243615527803 | 89.9125 | 1.13714573088061 | 1.01131008979121 |
52 | 86.2 | 91.9679421897226 | 88.6333333333333 | 1.03762251436317 | 0.937283122222918 |
53 | 71 | 71.4445832955791 | 88.0625 | 0.811294061553772 | 0.993777228796482 |
54 | 75.9 | 78.6987507059265 | 87.6375 | 0.89800314598119 | 0.964437164747575 |
55 | 87.1 | 86.0449649590155 | 87.3416666666667 | 0.985153687155983 | 1.01226143844079 |
56 | 102 | NA | NA | 1.02859141530574 | NA |
57 | 88.5 | NA | NA | 1.03138174754330 | NA |
58 | 87.8 | NA | NA | 1.07316546947687 | NA |
59 | 100.8 | NA | NA | 1.11032968597575 | NA |
60 | 50.6 | NA | NA | 0.717384040976443 | NA |
61 | 85.9 | NA | NA | NA | NA |