| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 95.5 | 95.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 76.7 | 89.9647050805238 | 0.140802314220120 | -13.2647050805238 | -0.696780031634498 |
| 3 | 79.4 | 81.4020306370853 | -0.459989953857529 | -2.00203063708529 | -0.570450228961114 |
| 4 | 55.2 | 69.276082076661 | -1.34143029846953 | -14.0760820766610 | -0.873003554194243 |
| 5 | 60 | 62.9977864262546 | -1.65313671872270 | -2.99778642625465 | -0.443327130581926 |
| 6 | 64.8 | 61.5625630548383 | -1.64299641301455 | 3.23743694516166 | 0.021338459694077 |
| 7 | 82.3 | 67.517624480029 | -1.38748912994038 | 14.782375519971 | 0.766881091400265 |
| 8 | 210.5 | 114.294957731568 | -0.136275047417563 | 96.2050422684324 | 4.90587187882422 |
| 9 | 106 | 128.006098696786 | 0.173220851111600 | -22.0060986967860 | 1.41329663505164 |
| 10 | 80.8 | 117.988646174801 | -0.0413891978181363 | -37.1886461748011 | -1.03956183577007 |
| 11 | 97.3 | 107.980233377384 | -0.248780870902242 | -10.6802333773836 | -1.01551536307027 |
| 12 | 189.5 | 130.115176505592 | 0.217622487663341 | 59.3848234944082 | 2.2782280183025 |
| 13 | 90 | 123.300416449256 | 0.282788228521408 | -33.300416449256 | -0.74533208925881 |
| 14 | 69.3 | 105.809228544390 | 0.395814878048897 | -36.5092285443897 | -1.89677974926168 |
| 15 | 87.3 | 91.2658413918831 | 0.21473444970559 | -3.96584139188315 | -1.47875155178157 |
| 16 | 57.4 | 79.0071905643165 | -0.114384805333091 | -21.6071905643165 | -1.16712314912949 |
| 17 | 56.2 | 71.2223562086958 | -0.361627020563912 | -15.0223562086957 | -0.719921421338709 |
| 18 | 61.6 | 71.6932314966833 | -0.335202581178285 | -10.0932314966833 | 0.0805299232462565 |
| 19 | 77.7 | 79.8802695412708 | -0.0967021341851601 | -2.18026954127076 | 0.847039748289495 |
| 20 | 177.2 | 84.4133274527358 | 0.0117324153470878 | 92.7866725472641 | 0.46763406185264 |
| 21 | 97.6 | 94.5490616012163 | 0.206414977528078 | 3.05093839878366 | 1.03042337267892 |
| 22 | 81.6 | 105.344255962489 | 0.370649313007317 | -23.7442559624894 | 1.08077871115699 |
| 23 | 96.8 | 112.607288962315 | 0.45252056612842 | -15.8072889623153 | 0.704071993371611 |
| 24 | 191.3 | 116.744613213542 | 0.482648565309347 | 74.5553867864576 | 0.376919776507163 |
| 25 | 106 | 118.993083386839 | 0.491994336235459 | -12.9930833868388 | 0.181072300912466 |
| 26 | 75.1 | 112.699624313094 | 0.450329663638033 | -37.5996243130942 | -0.69186622464626 |
| 27 | 72 | 96.1373761555684 | 0.271229061623737 | -24.1373761555684 | -1.70341721247977 |
| 28 | 63.5 | 86.5998958394521 | 0.115866702122258 | -23.0998958394521 | -0.963850479955913 |
| 29 | 57.4 | 80.9282419030777 | 0.00162877943130724 | -23.5282419030777 | -0.565211877415148 |
| 30 | 62.3 | 79.7086746041847 | -0.0243913020803348 | -17.4086746041847 | -0.120100573239084 |
| 31 | 79.4 | 82.8679653481968 | 0.0416008588485094 | -3.46796534819677 | 0.317000656207032 |
| 32 | 178.1 | 88.5129466879379 | 0.146339632870811 | 89.5870533120621 | 0.564034070584997 |
| 33 | 109.3 | 98.9995781510775 | 0.311092370867858 | 10.3004218489225 | 1.04807739110824 |
| 34 | 85.2 | 107.113322732811 | 0.412662587479414 | -21.9133227328113 | 0.79367077968045 |
| 35 | 102.7 | 113.382464491273 | 0.473388736254452 | -10.6824644912726 | 0.596690150580938 |
| 36 | 193.7 | 115.564306067171 | 0.487741403274323 | 78.135693932829 | 0.174167614077608 |
| 37 | 108.4 | 114.021984860706 | 0.472383848650871 | -5.6219848607058 | -0.206708842184021 |
| 38 | 73.4 | 107.713633826823 | 0.416998348318029 | -34.3136338268231 | -0.68729249675441 |
| 39 | 85.9 | 103.984978451367 | 0.375531961057078 | -18.0849784513668 | -0.416941887966221 |
| 40 | 58.5 | 95.170272078791 | 0.26198248768711 | -36.670272078791 | -0.917223770259407 |
| 41 | 58.6 | 89.4189763164068 | 0.175409249426957 | -30.8189763164068 | -0.597998758929304 |
| 42 | 62.7 | 87.209713814154 | 0.138330827590241 | -24.5097138141541 | -0.237561568125511 |
| 43 | 77.5 | 87.8550775085132 | 0.146247785104954 | -10.3550775085132 | 0.0507752682399754 |
| 44 | 180.5 | 92.6149287502156 | 0.214175156768541 | 87.8850712497844 | 0.464730078127725 |
| 45 | 102.2 | 96.2881135677471 | 0.259832157356445 | 5.91188643225287 | 0.350044524755977 |
| 46 | 82.6 | 101.088231025067 | 0.311755016686575 | -18.4882310250673 | 0.460824319594567 |
| 47 | 97.8 | 104.38790595104 | 0.34107903160625 | -6.58790595104007 | 0.303736477858379 |
| 48 | 197.8 | 108.317935539260 | 0.372148232964549 | 89.4820644607396 | 0.364966150618770 |
| 49 | 93.8 | 104.238107848291 | 0.33571003559806 | -10.4381078482907 | -0.452254869983743 |
| 50 | 72.4 | 101.485652484255 | 0.309594627450412 | -29.0856524842555 | -0.312871264093216 |
| 51 | 77.7 | 96.327647521561 | 0.258590000148854 | -18.6276475215609 | -0.551815443431176 |
| 52 | 58.7 | 93.2842095247047 | 0.223960192853091 | -34.5842095247047 | -0.332047063396327 |
| 53 | 53.1 | 89.6527107567831 | 0.179384305212936 | -36.5527107567831 | -0.386954425432744 |
| 54 | 64.3 | 89.4964478876911 | 0.175273917081454 | -25.1964478876911 | -0.0337021422069455 |
| 55 | 76.4 | 90.5233202693012 | 0.185817809756085 | -14.1233202693012 | 0.085705306590993 |
| 56 | 188.4 | 95.4792566380266 | 0.242924313856762 | 92.9207433619734 | 0.481527644582842 |
| 57 | 105.5 | 99.6549313758976 | 0.286797050222141 | 5.84506862410243 | 0.398106562392282 |
| 58 | 79.8 | 101.188963775463 | 0.299457044086982 | -21.3889637754634 | 0.126514393201487 |
| 59 | 96.1 | 102.012584586249 | 0.304275260052465 | -5.91258458624858 | 0.0532325067792305 |
| 60 | 202.5 | 103.921080111916 | 0.31788620538328 | 98.578919888084 | 0.162973171473983 |
