Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2849.27 | 2885.71432503178 | -101.686920168860 | 2914.51259513708 | 36.4443250317777 |
2 | 2921.44 | 2953.97797075895 | -60.985438319097 | 2949.88746756014 | 32.5379707589532 |
3 | 2981.85 | 2998.05967950131 | -19.6220194845192 | 2985.26233998321 | 16.209679501314 |
4 | 3080.58 | 3143.33065499906 | -5.33117878414496 | 3023.16052378509 | 62.7506549990558 |
5 | 3106.22 | 3200.05764798471 | -48.6763555716849 | 3061.05870758697 | 93.837647984711 |
6 | 3119.31 | 3058.58264406988 | 78.3975464635425 | 3101.63980946658 | -60.7273559301207 |
7 | 3061.26 | 2878.48969415053 | 101.809394503289 | 3142.22091134618 | -182.770305849473 |
8 | 3097.31 | 3010.86104046277 | -0.478599956375813 | 3184.23755949361 | -86.4489595372333 |
9 | 3161.69 | 3140.62638188808 | -43.5005895291136 | 3226.25420764103 | -21.0636181119207 |
10 | 3257.16 | 3232.06847370235 | 1.96643972441955 | 3280.28508657323 | -25.0915262976469 |
11 | 3277.01 | 3141.47042784716 | 78.2336066474176 | 3334.31596550542 | -135.539572152838 |
12 | 3295.32 | 3170.18834913747 | 19.8744886828935 | 3400.57716217964 | -125.131650862535 |
13 | 3363.99 | 3362.828561315 | -101.686920168860 | 3466.83835885386 | -1.16143868500239 |
14 | 3494.17 | 3524.83010128883 | -60.985438319097 | 3524.49533703026 | 30.6601012888323 |
15 | 3667.03 | 3771.52970427785 | -19.6220194845192 | 3582.15231520667 | 104.499704277852 |
16 | 3813.06 | 3998.06357020571 | -5.33117878414496 | 3633.38760857844 | 185.003570205706 |
17 | 3917.96 | 4199.97345362147 | -48.6763555716849 | 3684.62290195021 | 282.013453621475 |
18 | 3895.51 | 3972.43221226904 | 78.3975464635425 | 3740.19024126742 | 76.9222122690417 |
19 | 3801.06 | 3704.55302491209 | 101.809394503289 | 3795.75758058462 | -96.5069750879111 |
20 | 3570.12 | 3286.81283967143 | -0.478599956375813 | 3853.90576028494 | -283.307160328568 |
21 | 3701.61 | 3534.66664954385 | -43.5005895291136 | 3912.05393998527 | -166.943350456153 |
22 | 3862.27 | 3750.15131267849 | 1.96643972441955 | 3972.42224759709 | -112.118687321512 |
23 | 3970.1 | 3829.17583814366 | 78.2336066474176 | 4032.79055520892 | -140.924161856336 |
24 | 4138.52 | 4154.95540065091 | 19.8744886828935 | 4102.2101106662 | 16.4354006509056 |
25 | 4199.75 | 4329.55725404537 | -101.686920168860 | 4171.62966612349 | 129.807254045374 |
26 | 4290.89 | 4398.61471864156 | -60.985438319097 | 4244.15071967753 | 107.724718641563 |
27 | 4443.91 | 4590.77024625294 | -19.6220194845192 | 4316.67177323158 | 146.860246252936 |
28 | 4502.64 | 4647.53452966675 | -5.33117878414496 | 4363.07664911740 | 144.894529666750 |
29 | 4356.98 | 4353.15483056848 | -48.6763555716849 | 4409.48152500321 | -3.82516943152314 |
30 | 4591.27 | 4683.09747013387 | 78.3975464635425 | 4421.04498340259 | 91.8274701338678 |
31 | 4696.96 | 4859.50216369474 | 101.809394503289 | 4432.60844180197 | 162.542163694738 |
32 | 4621.4 | 4833.8593089186 | -0.478599956375813 | 4409.41929103777 | 212.459308918606 |
33 | 4562.84 | 4782.95044925555 | -43.5005895291136 | 4386.23014027357 | 220.110449255546 |
34 | 4202.52 | 4070.31344054397 | 1.96643972441955 | 4332.76011973161 | -132.206559456033 |
35 | 4296.49 | 4235.45629416292 | 78.2336066474176 | 4279.29009918966 | -61.0337058370769 |
36 | 4435.23 | 4644.61359215965 | 19.8744886828935 | 4205.97191915746 | 209.383592159646 |
37 | 4105.18 | 4179.3931810436 | -101.686920168860 | 4132.65373912526 | 74.2131810436003 |
38 | 4116.68 | 4253.44165705973 | -60.985438319097 | 4040.90378125937 | 136.761657059730 |
39 | 3844.49 | 3759.44819609104 | -19.6220194845192 | 3949.15382339348 | -85.0418039089564 |
40 | 3720.98 | 3612.59457043843 | -5.33117878414496 | 3834.69660834571 | -108.385429561567 |
41 | 3674.4 | 3677.23696227374 | -48.6763555716849 | 3720.23939329795 | 2.83696227373684 |
42 | 3857.62 | 4066.59451130771 | 78.3975464635425 | 3570.24794222874 | 208.974511307713 |
43 | 3801.06 | 4080.05411433717 | 101.809394503289 | 3420.25649115954 | 278.994114337169 |
44 | 3504.37 | 3762.96427396861 | -0.478599956375813 | 3246.25432598777 | 258.594273968609 |
45 | 3032.6 | 3036.44842871312 | -43.5005895291136 | 3072.25216081599 | 3.8484287131223 |
46 | 3047.03 | 3198.47403125254 | 1.96643972441955 | 2893.61952902304 | 151.444031252541 |
47 | 2962.34 | 3131.45949612249 | 78.2336066474176 | 2714.98689723009 | 169.119496122494 |
48 | 2197.82 | 1826.29349562933 | 19.8744886828935 | 2549.47201568778 | -371.526504370669 |
49 | 2014.45 | 1746.62978602340 | -101.686920168860 | 2383.95713414546 | -267.820213976603 |
50 | 1862.83 | 1524.81060008623 | -60.985438319097 | 2261.83483823286 | -338.019399913766 |
51 | 1905.41 | 1690.72947716426 | -19.6220194845192 | 2139.71254232026 | -214.680522835745 |
52 | 1810.99 | 1500.98318422996 | -5.33117878414496 | 2126.32799455419 | -310.006815770041 |
53 | 1670.07 | 1275.87290878358 | -48.6763555716849 | 2112.94344678811 | -394.197091216424 |
54 | 1864.44 | 1540.57770965836 | 78.3975464635425 | 2109.9047438781 | -323.862290341643 |
55 | 2052.02 | 1895.36456452862 | 101.809394503289 | 2106.86604096809 | -156.655435471381 |
56 | 2029.6 | 1947.23048331693 | -0.478599956375813 | 2112.44811663945 | -82.3695166830732 |
57 | 2070.83 | 2067.13039721831 | -43.5005895291136 | 2118.03019231081 | -3.6996027816931 |
58 | 2293.41 | 2450.70312521726 | 1.96643972441955 | 2134.15043505832 | 157.293125217258 |
59 | 2443.27 | 2658.03571554674 | 78.2336066474176 | 2150.27067780584 | 214.765715546745 |
60 | 2513.17 | 2832.08549906938 | 19.8744886828935 | 2174.38001224773 | 318.915499069377 |