| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 2849.27 | 2849.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2921.44 | 2917.76313399115 | 5.13790583480385 | 3.67686600884535 | 0.264174667852236 |
| 3 | 2981.85 | 2978.12789803119 | 11.2323616630119 | 3.72210196881298 | 0.338719245348942 |
| 4 | 3080.58 | 3076.79690322809 | 24.2028219139144 | 3.78309677191355 | 0.524636601294583 |
| 5 | 3106.22 | 3102.43607661879 | 24.454220929067 | 3.7839233812064 | 0.0084812578178234 |
| 6 | 3119.31 | 3115.53135333181 | 22.2643177599525 | 3.77864666818843 | -0.0663376075692007 |
| 7 | 3061.26 | 3057.51103325591 | 5.87032567891759 | 3.74896674408907 | -0.465499328144555 |
| 8 | 3097.31 | 3093.55223694707 | 12.2470569381727 | 3.75776305293064 | 0.174130835969007 |
| 9 | 3161.69 | 3157.92031998754 | 23.4935368361806 | 3.76968001245783 | 0.299950075187489 |
| 10 | 3257.16 | 3253.37746110682 | 39.2164484815003 | 3.78253889318345 | 0.413402697369485 |
| 11 | 3277.01 | 3273.23015947018 | 34.9538535510738 | 3.77984052981891 | -0.111114812339812 |
| 12 | 3295.32 | 3291.54196573444 | 31.2737557750883 | 3.77803426556331 | -0.0954323118956617 |
| 13 | 3363.99 | 3381.42695333392 | 43.7382114887806 | -17.4369533339194 | 0.391778289159546 |
| 14 | 3494.17 | 3491.10200524756 | 57.8518638462192 | 3.06799475243978 | 0.317896052319807 |
| 15 | 3667.03 | 3664.06178187676 | 83.464393067397 | 2.96821812323714 | 0.658757311629081 |
| 16 | 3813.06 | 3810.13397441251 | 97.3966639944196 | 2.92602558749436 | 0.358375195739271 |
| 17 | 3917.96 | 3915.03790773248 | 99.0674386948443 | 2.92209226752185 | 0.0429793591223882 |
| 18 | 3895.51 | 3892.53839095819 | 72.0098959654047 | 2.97160904181063 | -0.696059101657574 |
| 19 | 3801.06 | 3798.03566377233 | 34.9460010059936 | 3.02433622767383 | -0.953494777019992 |
| 20 | 3570.12 | 3567.03019516236 | -24.2553870110425 | 3.08980483764101 | -1.52301749022897 |
| 21 | 3701.61 | 3698.55000546485 | 10.4221764763242 | 3.059994535151 | 0.892123635120283 |
| 22 | 3862.27 | 3859.23235891387 | 43.8733095859944 | 3.03764108613488 | 0.860576334564032 |
| 23 | 3970.1 | 3967.06975608431 | 58.1135205871739 | 3.03024391569038 | 0.366350051019184 |
| 24 | 4138.52 | 4135.49967342526 | 82.6736582433226 | 3.02032657473887 | 0.631846223109648 |
| 25 | 4199.75 | 4230.56405684713 | 85.3916521685081 | -30.8140568471254 | 0.0768490048576036 |
| 26 | 4290.89 | 4288.48540385612 | 79.4342060359086 | 2.4045961438822 | -0.142027442385313 |
| 27 | 4443.91 | 4441.5499837752 | 95.8398464478655 | 2.36001622479537 | 0.421427346514012 |
| 28 | 4502.64 | 4500.26251066665 | 87.5706628099617 | 2.37748933335368 | -0.212544699497747 |
| 29 | 4356.98 | 4354.51715706549 | 35.6162178098846 | 2.46284293451407 | -1.33587653254883 |
| 30 | 4591.27 | 4588.86367100342 | 79.8643750302113 | 2.4063289965789 | 1.13797584921890 |
| 31 | 4696.96 | 4694.5593813035 | 85.6155377524236 | 2.40061869650293 | 0.147928025980703 |
| 32 | 4621.4 | 4618.97167944399 | 49.7255060131889 | 2.42832055600669 | -0.923215444774458 |
| 33 | 4562.84 | 4560.39721215894 | 25.6138601920837 | 2.44278784106401 | -0.620264419110675 |
| 34 | 4202.52 | 4200.03713105689 | -60.3188318868336 | 2.48286894311003 | -2.21065512929778 |
| 35 | 4296.49 | 4294.01958690279 | -25.9651425903545 | 2.47041309721281 | 0.883778750285135 |
| 36 | 4435.23 | 4432.76992305769 | 10.7074858624405 | 2.46007694231146 | 0.94344545845217 |
| 37 | 4105.18 | 4167.37148713995 | -50.1819026991242 | -62.1914871399531 | -1.66893610767262 |
| 38 | 4116.68 | 4111.09118841473 | -51.5135800812206 | 5.58881158527523 | -0.0324681561925759 |
| 39 | 3844.49 | 3838.8018394913 | -100.696153305120 | 5.6881605086983 | -1.26387849756210 |
| 40 | 3720.98 | 3715.28385723677 | -105.778742767923 | 5.69614276323134 | -0.130668861223294 |
| 41 | 3674.4 | 3668.71995664016 | -92.5932308977474 | 5.68004335983704 | 0.339078839393447 |
| 42 | 3857.62 | 3851.99826090203 | -31.1692488309829 | 5.6217390979733 | 1.57983645428615 |
| 43 | 3801.06 | 3795.43408875761 | -36.8233187553788 | 5.625911242391 | -0.145438008795883 |
| 44 | 3504.37 | 3498.71089630002 | -94.688020471979 | 5.6591036999766 | -1.48852521020575 |
| 45 | 3032.6 | 3026.90345650104 | -178.650507951500 | 5.69654349895634 | -2.15994812306076 |
| 46 | 3047.03 | 3041.34835859982 | -135.659291616836 | 5.68164140017621 | 1.10597969054765 |
| 47 | 2962.34 | 2956.66141654926 | -124.310622559588 | 5.67858345073642 | 0.291956419034426 |
| 48 | 2197.82 | 2192.11155878457 | -266.856730598819 | 5.708441215433 | -3.66717716307664 |
| 49 | 2014.45 | 2064.11497959758 | -236.158079925354 | -49.6649795975794 | 0.828389947333573 |
| 50 | 1862.83 | 1858.06098260740 | -229.557600717804 | 4.76901739259809 | 0.162901085914849 |
| 51 | 1905.41 | 1900.73827178121 | -168.918027281417 | 4.67172821878572 | 1.55865684837942 |
| 52 | 1810.99 | 1806.33897240724 | -152.322988289243 | 4.65102759276265 | 0.426703256060083 |
| 53 | 1670.07 | 1665.4214352507 | -149.783354148778 | 4.6485647492991 | 0.065314780566455 |
| 54 | 1864.44 | 1859.84921339512 | -73.1433494724781 | 4.59078660488022 | 1.97129588133215 |
| 55 | 2052.02 | 2047.46323802728 | -15.0864476722291 | 4.55676197271762 | 1.49342691045499 |
| 56 | 2029.6 | 2025.04249409234 | -16.7193884936204 | 4.55750590765862 | -0.0420069356825406 |
| 57 | 2070.83 | 2066.27706370684 | -3.81628725433422 | 4.552936293159 | 0.331938029389666 |
| 58 | 2293.41 | 2288.87094123193 | 46.5927054907584 | 4.53905876806952 | 1.29681608710483 |
| 59 | 2443.27 | 2438.73586183875 | 69.5858078936419 | 4.53413816124997 | 0.591524112987543 |
| 60 | 2513.17 | 2508.63587347639 | 69.6557643271715 | 4.53412652360881 | 0.00179972133477979 |
