| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.2 | 1.21021463649639 | -0.0137793058873016 | -0.0102146364963925 | -0.267829279109299 |
| 3 | 1 | 1.01043086295789 | -0.0321499223549408 | -0.0104308629578906 | -0.419696617100316 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.70969460975183 | 0.0659163658073972 | -0.0096946097518321 | 1.61746170371269 |
| 5 | 2.4 | 2.40915875823275 | 0.167134886666108 | -0.00915875823275107 | 1.37988419523486 |
| 6 | 2 | 2.00955301572114 | 0.0665326347807482 | -0.00955301572114442 | -1.22108225604380 |
| 7 | 2.1 | 2.1095341526333 | 0.0728656639364329 | -0.00953415263330204 | 0.0715370596606255 |
| 8 | 2 | 2.00961239598364 | 0.0388213214879076 | -0.00961239598363637 | -0.367741955205151 |
| 9 | 1.8 | 1.80969866963719 | -0.00939271723135667 | -0.009698669637191 | -0.506485501705009 |
| 10 | 2.7 | 2.70943750567578 | 0.177050179052900 | -0.0094375056757775 | 1.92482183922168 |
| 11 | 2.3 | 2.30956892242742 | 0.0576030943148097 | -0.00956892242742046 | -1.21986561752445 |
| 12 | 1.9 | 1.90965143519821 | -0.0376869115642739 | -0.00965143519821298 | -0.966600937801458 |
| 13 | 2 | 1.88741471682334 | -0.034599735415535 | 0.112585283176656 | 0.0381016776443702 |
| 14 | 2.3 | 2.30015347313978 | 0.0561466540338654 | -0.000153473139779047 | 0.795823001790371 |
| 15 | 2.8 | 2.80049230379502 | 0.149403093529309 | -0.000492303795022896 | 0.936449824744887 |
| 16 | 2.4 | 2.40016104852481 | 0.0339282693520079 | -0.000161048524806911 | -1.15908489643239 |
| 17 | 2.3 | 2.30009727436292 | 0.005772571716646 | -9.72743629246727e-05 | -0.282542240483822 |
| 18 | 2.7 | 2.70024552750499 | 0.088662521672981 | -0.000245527504990482 | 0.83166771870982 |
| 19 | 2.7 | 2.70021919624834 | 0.0700187763253945 | -0.000219196248337363 | -0.187041519589758 |
| 20 | 2.9 | 2.90024968083065 | 0.0973524136888926 | -0.000249680830649947 | 0.274205022819628 |
| 21 | 3 | 3.00025017118941 | 0.0979091912553759 | -0.000250171189406988 | 0.00558525417386132 |
| 22 | 2.2 | 2.20011884300216 | -0.0909217876818235 | -0.000118843002161278 | -1.89419202375357 |
| 23 | 2.3 | 2.30014089465854 | -0.0507702600785963 | -0.000140894658542150 | 0.402759981721342 |
| 24 | 2.8 | 2.80019113070371 | 0.065059631657089 | -0.000191130703706305 | 1.16187879105915 |
| 25 | 2.8 | 2.80896759302726 | 0.0533968710683159 | -0.00896759302726437 | -0.128662803824972 |
| 26 | 2.8 | 2.80008543281844 | 0.0406146265049172 | -8.54328184351252e-05 | -0.118724163697982 |
| 27 | 2.2 | 2.19973221676550 | -0.094267060696716 | 0.000267783234502387 | -1.35120041722536 |
| 28 | 2.6 | 2.59994738591858 | 0.00975599639880526 | 5.26140814156697e-05 | 1.04258069269520 |
| 29 | 2.8 | 2.80001277950673 | 0.0497837810949955 | -1.27795067309705e-05 | 0.401305050926975 |
| 30 | 2.5 | 2.49991783951061 | -0.0237991449174350 | 8.2160489385259e-05 | -0.737858471396365 |
| 31 | 2.4 | 2.39990150722762 | -0.0398275970824514 | 9.84927723785144e-05 | -0.160745685189536 |
| 32 | 2.3 | 2.29989132296714 | -0.0524837184422896 | 0.000108677032861557 | -0.126934777289846 |
| 33 | 1.9 | 1.89984487602571 | -0.125574176081934 | 0.000155123974291983 | -0.7330959007705 |
| 34 | 1.7 | 1.69983702080515 | -0.141227194840171 | 0.000162979194849584 | -0.157004015417349 |
| 35 | 2 | 1.99987379571457 | -0.0484310736674697 | 0.000126204285434117 | 0.930786980775447 |
| 36 | 2.1 | 2.09988356516023 | -0.0172142957278159 | 0.000116434839765361 | 0.313121890255179 |
| 37 | 1.7 | 1.74478650525524 | -0.08760710254893 | -0.0447865052552376 | -0.75259889458892 |
| 38 | 1.8 | 1.79446394239242 | -0.0592526349538608 | 0.00553605760757542 | 0.269399271041521 |
| 39 | 1.8 | 1.79448828045119 | -0.0467804881305101 | 0.0055117195488096 | 0.124981841330634 |
| 40 | 1.8 | 1.79450345341155 | -0.0369368362281804 | 0.00549654658844678 | 0.0986785923979794 |
| 41 | 1.3 | 1.29438485896281 | -0.134355717726365 | 0.00561514103719068 | -0.976810310368645 |
| 42 | 1.3 | 1.29441203045880 | -0.106093658114930 | 0.00558796954119686 | 0.283421970463178 |
| 43 | 1.3 | 1.29442897341819 | -0.0837783635350552 | 0.00557102658180739 | 0.223805818398663 |
| 44 | 1.2 | 1.19442692771472 | -0.087190185634343 | 0.00557307228527782 | -0.0342199581975331 |
| 45 | 1.4 | 1.39445552793331 | -0.0267886599711349 | 0.0055444720666912 | 0.605837552048657 |
| 46 | 2.2 | 2.19452054812348 | 0.147097280816108 | 0.00547945187652305 | 1.74414351975505 |
| 47 | 2.9 | 2.89455488476415 | 0.263379543229989 | 0.00544511523584917 | 1.16637211201761 |
| 48 | 3.1 | 3.09455177652517 | 0.250050143181212 | 0.00544822347482587 | -0.133702010837959 |
| 49 | 3.5 | 3.54112457085871 | 0.29109269001546 | -0.0411245708587135 | 0.431964445297103 |
| 50 | 3.6 | 3.59823906159672 | 0.24258446917230 | 0.00176093840328068 | -0.466574855304682 |
| 51 | 4.4 | 4.39842095037545 | 0.359894499156932 | 0.00157904962455254 | 1.17578700212252 |
| 52 | 4.1 | 4.09825092558534 | 0.22105351340172 | 0.00174907441466244 | -1.39199970347889 |
| 53 | 5.1 | 5.0984094046655 | 0.384916322122279 | 0.00159059533449898 | 1.64316674544985 |
| 54 | 5.8 | 5.79846002540692 | 0.451192090244237 | 0.00153997459308262 | 0.664669527999577 |
| 55 | 5.9 | 5.89841547077178 | 0.377325813731851 | 0.00158452922821826 | -0.740846503152483 |
| 56 | 5.4 | 5.39832757677942 | 0.192805020254142 | 0.00167242322058052 | -1.85074545419029 |
| 57 | 5.5 | 5.49832023463863 | 0.173286574740376 | 0.00167976536136757 | -0.195775648573712 |
| 58 | 4.8 | 4.79826567609804 | -0.0103773665627493 | 0.00173432390195885 | -1.84223432328944 |
| 59 | 3.2 | 3.19818725086379 | -0.344693251536486 | 0.00181274913620764 | -3.35337926816011 |
| 60 | 2.7 | 2.6981812001219 | -0.377355849067603 | 0.00181879987810306 | -0.327626715890255 |
