| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.83662597434103 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 2 | 1.70232491037523 | 0.297675089624768 |
| 14 | 2.3 | 2.23686640268501 | 0.0631335973149865 |
| 15 | 2.8 | 2.7491238604665 | 0.0508761395334987 |
| 16 | 2.4 | 2.41659124317405 | -0.0165912431740511 |
| 17 | 2.3 | 2.37223843724851 | -0.0722384372485143 |
| 18 | 2.7 | 2.73103950620319 | -0.0310395062031872 |
| 19 | 2.7 | 2.82295149719121 | -0.122951497191213 |
| 20 | 2.9 | 2.55182330868504 | 0.348176691314956 |
| 21 | 3 | 2.45709285416430 | 0.542907145835697 |
| 22 | 2.2 | 4.2256732282077 | -2.02567322820770 |
| 23 | 2.3 | 2.18720589040239 | 0.112794109597607 |
| 24 | 2.8 | 1.90912398194133 | 0.890876018058667 |
| 25 | 2.8 | 2.84410496376943 | -0.0441049637694317 |
| 26 | 2.8 | 3.13266827637733 | -0.332668276377328 |
| 27 | 2.2 | 3.4070774219412 | -1.20707742194120 |
| 28 | 2.6 | 2.07407062628186 | 0.525929373718139 |
| 29 | 2.8 | 2.46993914146424 | 0.330060858535761 |
| 30 | 2.5 | 3.24338176325385 | -0.743381763253854 |
| 31 | 2.4 | 2.72229363595367 | -0.322293635953673 |
| 32 | 2.3 | 2.36951056594137 | -0.0695105659413673 |
| 33 | 1.9 | 2.02765849303223 | -0.127658493032229 |
| 34 | 1.7 | 2.37245071415674 | -0.672450714156736 |
| 35 | 2 | 1.82378794550119 | 0.176212054498808 |
| 36 | 2.1 | 1.73276166901427 | 0.367238330985731 |
| 37 | 1.7 | 2.07974523935379 | -0.379745239353789 |
| 38 | 1.8 | 1.95290492841483 | -0.152904928414835 |
| 39 | 1.8 | 2.05760562817595 | -0.257605628175954 |
| 40 | 1.8 | 1.80471362847849 | -0.00471362847849477 |
| 41 | 1.3 | 1.75991270057602 | -0.45991270057602 |
| 42 | 1.3 | 1.54717044569962 | -0.247170445699625 |
| 43 | 1.3 | 1.45490996364744 | -0.154909963647439 |
| 44 | 1.2 | 1.32675459201488 | -0.126754592014876 |
| 45 | 1.4 | 1.08653358163036 | 0.313466418369639 |
| 46 | 2.2 | 1.59754817254623 | 0.602451827453774 |
| 47 | 2.9 | 2.27412525993367 | 0.62587474006633 |
| 48 | 3.1 | 2.47557148397502 | 0.62442851602498 |
| 49 | 3.5 | 2.84488006942854 | 0.655119930571456 |
| 50 | 3.6 | 3.79389676589506 | -0.193896765895060 |
| 51 | 4.4 | 4.00053141843505 | 0.399468581564948 |
| 52 | 4.1 | 4.26881251901869 | -0.168812519018687 |
| 53 | 5.1 | 3.75298431879364 | 1.34701568120636 |
| 54 | 5.8 | 5.48543602683377 | 0.314563973166227 |
| 55 | 5.9 | 6.11769357806188 | -0.217693578061883 |
| 56 | 5.4 | 5.76151131186642 | -0.361511311866418 |
| 57 | 5.5 | 4.95742305463946 | 0.542576945360539 |
| 58 | 4.8 | 6.30278933425556 | -1.50278933425556 |
| 59 | 3.2 | 5.33004462506922 | -2.13004462506922 |
| 60 | 2.7 | 3.12041799431657 | -0.420417994316566 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 2.62604682917858 | 1.33954459577247 | 3.9125490625847 |
| 62 | 2.83427593187052 | 1.11464541097857 | 4.55390645276247 |
| 63 | 3.20892447903329 | 1.04094454475208 | 5.3769044133145 |
| 64 | 3.10684805552705 | 0.769832198229048 | 5.44386391282505 |
| 65 | 2.98430971978455 | 0.517888224088255 | 5.45073121548084 |
| 66 | 3.26094305278603 | 0.413772819594682 | 6.10811328597738 |
| 67 | 3.44350181674455 | 0.302389567315443 | 6.58461406617367 |
| 68 | 3.34863588555818 | 0.149546384376985 | 6.54772538673937 |
| 69 | 3.14337834327917 | -0.0136688797499414 | 6.30042556630829 |
| 70 | 3.44986001815668 | -0.115342532700712 | 7.01506256901407 |
| 71 | 3.47000455992472 | -0.222852876854585 | 7.16286199670402 |
| 72 | 3.29557716932162 | -18.9742467079709 | 25.5654010466141 |
