Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 15836.8 | NA | NA | 0.874306407658064 | NA |
2 | 17570.4 | NA | NA | 0.982807508770537 | NA |
3 | 18252.1 | NA | NA | 1.07878228647538 | NA |
4 | 16196.7 | NA | NA | 1.01144689767567 | NA |
5 | 16643 | NA | NA | 0.995955611692164 | NA |
6 | 17729 | NA | NA | 1.08948076259833 | NA |
7 | 16446.1 | 17253.8559575333 | 17934.2041666667 | 0.96206420966268 | 0.953184032628912 |
8 | 15993.8 | 17419.2652303363 | 18236.6958333333 | 0.955176605977991 | 0.918167315814572 |
9 | 16373.5 | 17011.1665521075 | 18672.9333333333 | 0.911006655914131 | 0.962514825179435 |
10 | 17842.2 | 19367.0382253535 | 19122.6833333333 | 1.01277827424953 | 0.921266318183989 |
11 | 22321.5 | 20944.1482969791 | 19600.0208333333 | 1.06857785892553 | 1.0657630801449 |
12 | 22786.7 | 21167.9911384219 | 20014.8 | 1.05761692040000 | 1.07646964943405 |
13 | 18274.1 | 17803.7418134033 | 20363.275 | 0.874306407658064 | 1.02641906356127 |
14 | 22392.9 | 20407.5597512725 | 20764.5541666667 | 0.982807508770537 | 1.09728454910459 |
15 | 23899.3 | 22688.8546557002 | 21031.9125 | 1.07878228647538 | 1.05334977735404 |
16 | 21343.5 | 21454.9759536172 | 21212.1625 | 1.01144689767567 | 0.994804191164875 |
17 | 22952.3 | 21236.7822571873 | 21323.0208333333 | 0.995955611692164 | 1.08078049311035 |
18 | 21374.4 | 23088.7257317983 | 21192.4125 | 1.08948076259833 | 0.925750526394911 |
19 | 21164.1 | 20247.6875371791 | 21046.0875 | 0.96206420966268 | 1.04526010494473 |
20 | 20906.5 | 19971.735915661 | 20908.9458333333 | 0.955176605977991 | 1.04680434831937 |
21 | 17877.4 | 18827.7403950277 | 20666.9625 | 0.911006655914131 | 0.949524458321152 |
22 | 20664.3 | 20737.9770964724 | 20476.325 | 1.01277827424953 | 0.996447238024727 |
23 | 22160 | 21618.8305474737 | 20231.4041666667 | 1.06857785892553 | 1.02503231853073 |
24 | 19813.6 | 21203.9941810872 | 20048.8416666667 | 1.05761692040000 | 0.934427722946306 |
25 | 17735.4 | 17433.6114816079 | 19939.9333333333 | 0.874306407658064 | 1.01731072868696 |
26 | 19640.2 | 19409.8790888693 | 19749.4208333333 | 0.982807508770537 | 1.01186616928813 |
27 | 20844.4 | 21192.2195353371 | 19644.575 | 1.07878228647538 | 0.983587394668257 |
28 | 19823.1 | 19817.3085666939 | 19593.0291666667 | 1.01144689767567 | 1.00029224116315 |
29 | 18594.6 | 19392.156269512 | 19470.9041666667 | 0.995955611692164 | 0.958872223468728 |
30 | 21350.6 | 21096.1970625981 | 19363.5333333333 | 1.08948076259833 | 1.01205918472638 |
31 | 18574.1 | 18552.0373418460 | 19283.575 | 0.96206420966268 | 1.00118923101261 |
32 | 18924.2 | 18274.5383231341 | 19132.1041666667 | 0.955176605977991 | 1.03555010065800 |
33 | 17343.4 | 17311.2597362878 | 19002.3416666667 | 0.911006655914131 | 1.00185661033350 |
34 | 19961.2 | 19184.7043767128 | 18942.65 | 1.01277827424953 | 1.04047472444922 |
35 | 19932.1 | 20161.1879425211 | 18867.3083333333 | 1.06857785892553 | 0.988637180349975 |
36 | 19464.6 | 19879.3466152348 | 18796.3583333333 | 1.05761692040000 | 0.979136808504712 |
37 | 16165.4 | 16393.6859397359 | 18750.5041666667 | 0.874306407658064 | 0.986074764358968 |
38 | 17574.9 | 18336.7761402304 | 18657.5458333333 | 0.982807508770537 | 0.958450922102991 |
39 | 19795.4 | 20095.4350694562 | 18627.8875 | 1.07878228647538 | 0.985069491234244 |
40 | 19439.5 | 18833.7776033941 | 18620.6291666667 | 1.01144689767567 | 1.03216149247174 |
41 | 17170 | 18418.4727151863 | 18493.2666666667 | 0.995955611692164 | 0.932216273602484 |
42 | 21072.4 | 20036.926693646 | 18391.2625 | 1.08948076259833 | 1.05167824997246 |
43 | 17751.8 | 17642.0127887244 | 18337.6666666667 | 0.96206420966268 | 1.00622305473817 |
44 | 17515.5 | 17422.5566097244 | 18240.1416666667 | 0.955176605977991 | 1.00533465853247 |
45 | 18040.3 | 16521.0184001982 | 18134.9041666667 | 0.911006655914131 | 1.09196052949033 |
46 | 19090.1 | 18221.5142587162 | 17991.6125 | 1.01277827424953 | 1.04766814266648 |
47 | 17746.5 | 19155.9188693292 | 17926.5541666667 | 1.06857785892553 | 0.926423844298807 |
48 | 19202.1 | 18903.0119619048 | 17873.2125 | 1.05761692040000 | 1.01582224243935 |
49 | 15141.6 | 15513.1100265462 | 17743.3333333333 | 0.874306407658064 | 0.976051866717215 |
50 | 16258.1 | 17328.0225132284 | 17631.1458333333 | 0.982807508770537 | 0.938254782828705 |
51 | 18586.5 | 18891.6039362735 | 17511.9708333333 | 1.07878228647538 | 0.983849760067873 |
52 | 17209.4 | 17585.7617050762 | 17386.7375 | 1.01144689767567 | 0.978598498524656 |
53 | 17838.7 | 17252.3373381613 | 17322.3958333333 | 0.995955611692164 | 1.03398743314285 |
54 | 19123.5 | 18815.5188897034 | 17270.1708333333 | 1.08948076259833 | 1.01636846223067 |
55 | 16583.6 | NA | NA | 0.96206420966268 | NA |
56 | 15991.2 | NA | NA | 0.955176605977991 | NA |
57 | 16704.4 | NA | NA | 0.911006655914131 | NA |
58 | 17420.4 | NA | NA | 1.01277827424953 | NA |
59 | 17872 | NA | NA | 1.06857785892553 | NA |
60 | 17823.2 | NA | NA | 1.05761692040000 | NA |