Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 15836.8 | 17569.463151726 | -1978.60794768726 | 16082.7447959612 | 1732.66315172602 |
2 | 17570.4 | 18748.9625347058 | 15.7449624615287 | 16376.0925028327 | 1178.56253470582 |
3 | 18252.1 | 18293.0623780954 | 1541.69741220056 | 16669.4402097041 | 40.9623780953771 |
4 | 16196.7 | 15377.8886726176 | 21.7486566083146 | 16993.7626707741 | -818.811327382422 |
5 | 16643 | 16155.7359055258 | -187.82103736997 | 17318.0851318442 | -487.264094474187 |
6 | 17729 | 16498.6987025737 | 1299.11279908322 | 17660.1884983430 | -1230.30129742626 |
7 | 16446.1 | 15620.1620921189 | -730.253956960823 | 18002.2918648419 | -825.937907881093 |
8 | 15993.8 | 14580.6670745375 | -944.914790201036 | 18351.8477156636 | -1413.13292546253 |
9 | 16373.5 | 15565.9133832385 | -1520.31694972372 | 18701.4035664852 | -807.586616761495 |
10 | 17842.2 | 16319.5774116049 | 214.353862512309 | 19150.4687258828 | -1522.62258839515 |
11 | 22321.5 | 23811.5033313294 | 1231.96278339019 | 19599.5338852805 | 1490.00333132935 |
12 | 22786.7 | 24488.2628464014 | 1037.29507331068 | 20047.8420802879 | 1701.56284640144 |
13 | 18274.1 | 18030.6576723920 | -1978.60794768726 | 20496.1502752953 | -243.442327608038 |
14 | 22392.9 | 23967.9445587562 | 15.7449624615287 | 20802.1104787823 | 1575.04455875620 |
15 | 23899.3 | 25148.8319055302 | 1541.69741220056 | 21108.0706822693 | 1249.53190553018 |
16 | 21343.5 | 21462.4980739464 | 21.7486566083146 | 21202.7532694453 | 118.998073946434 |
17 | 22952.3 | 24794.9851807487 | -187.82103736997 | 21297.4358566212 | 1842.68518074872 |
18 | 21374.4 | 20263.1225332106 | 1299.11279908322 | 21186.5646677062 | -1111.27746678937 |
19 | 21164.1 | 21982.7604781698 | -730.253956960823 | 21075.6934787911 | 818.660478169768 |
20 | 20906.5 | 21885.1698933967 | -944.914790201036 | 20872.7448968043 | 978.669893396727 |
21 | 17877.4 | 16605.3206349062 | -1520.31694972372 | 20669.7963148176 | -1272.07936509384 |
22 | 20664.3 | 20665.4653054229 | 214.353862512309 | 20448.7808320648 | 1.16530542285909 |
23 | 22160 | 22860.2718672977 | 1231.96278339019 | 20227.7653493121 | 700.271867297717 |
24 | 19813.6 | 18536.8889650068 | 1037.29507331068 | 20053.0159616826 | -1276.71103499324 |
25 | 17735.4 | 17571.1413736342 | -1978.60794768726 | 19878.2665740530 | -164.258626365765 |
26 | 19640.2 | 19506.2979364906 | 15.7449624615287 | 19758.3571010479 | -133.902063509413 |
27 | 20844.4 | 20508.6549597567 | 1541.69741220056 | 19638.4476280427 | -335.745040243295 |
28 | 19823.1 | 20066.6146890772 | 21.7486566083146 | 19557.8366543145 | 243.514689077205 |
29 | 18594.6 | 17899.7953567837 | -187.82103736997 | 19477.2256805862 | -694.804643216255 |
30 | 21350.6 | 22018.3265262875 | 1299.11279908322 | 19383.7606746293 | 667.726526287512 |
31 | 18574.1 | 18588.1582882885 | -730.253956960823 | 19290.2956686723 | 14.0582882885174 |
32 | 18924.2 | 19614.4677819306 | -944.914790201036 | 19178.8470082705 | 690.267781930557 |
33 | 17343.4 | 17139.7186018551 | -1520.31694972372 | 19067.3983478687 | -203.681398144930 |
34 | 19961.2 | 20747.1634421385 | 214.353862512309 | 18960.8826953492 | 785.963442138458 |
35 | 19932.1 | 19777.87017378 | 1231.96278339019 | 18854.3670428298 | -154.229826219995 |
36 | 19464.6 | 19120.2046361767 | 1037.29507331068 | 18771.7002905126 | -344.395363823274 |
37 | 16165.4 | 15620.3744094919 | -1978.60794768726 | 18689.0335381954 | -545.025590508121 |
38 | 17574.9 | 16496.2086676654 | 15.7449624615287 | 18637.8463698731 | -1078.69133233463 |
39 | 19795.4 | 19462.4433862486 | 1541.69741220056 | 18586.6592015508 | -332.95661375139 |
40 | 19439.5 | 20309.0077215795 | 21.7486566083146 | 18548.2436218121 | 869.50772157955 |
41 | 17170 | 16017.9929952965 | -187.82103736997 | 18509.8280420734 | -1152.00700470348 |
42 | 21072.4 | 22394.3951527597 | 1299.11279908322 | 18451.2920481571 | 1321.99515275971 |
43 | 17751.8 | 17841.0979027201 | -730.253956960823 | 18392.7560542407 | 89.297902720129 |
44 | 17515.5 | 17689.4446909968 | -944.914790201036 | 18286.4700992042 | 173.944690996803 |
45 | 18040.3 | 19420.7328055559 | -1520.31694972372 | 18180.1841441678 | 1380.43280555594 |
46 | 19090.1 | 19914.3074938003 | 214.353862512309 | 18051.5386436874 | 824.207493800335 |
47 | 17746.5 | 16338.1440734029 | 1231.96278339019 | 17922.8931432069 | -1408.35592659711 |
48 | 19202.1 | 19567.7630274083 | 1037.29507331068 | 17799.1418992810 | 365.663027408351 |
49 | 15141.6 | 14586.4172923323 | -1978.60794768726 | 17675.390655355 | -555.182707667747 |
50 | 16258.1 | 14929.4808481936 | 15.7449624615287 | 17570.9741893449 | -1328.61915180640 |
51 | 18586.5 | 18164.7448644647 | 1541.69741220056 | 17466.5577233347 | -421.755135535288 |
52 | 17209.4 | 16977.0019101013 | 21.7486566083146 | 17420.0494332903 | -232.398089898652 |
53 | 17838.7 | 18491.6798941240 | -187.82103736997 | 17373.5411432460 | 652.979894124015 |
54 | 19123.5 | 19620.9912849885 | 1299.11279908322 | 17326.8959159283 | 497.491284988519 |
55 | 16583.6 | 16617.2032683503 | -730.253956960823 | 17280.2506886106 | 33.6032683502563 |
56 | 15991.2 | 15685.7194030493 | -944.914790201036 | 17241.5953871518 | -305.480596950740 |
57 | 16704.4 | 17726.1768640307 | -1520.31694972372 | 17202.940085693 | 1021.77686403073 |
58 | 17420.4 | 17459.1217802215 | 214.353862512309 | 17167.3243572662 | 38.7217802215309 |
59 | 17872 | 17380.3285877705 | 1231.96278339019 | 17131.7086288393 | -491.671412229516 |
60 | 17823.2 | 17514.7868628612 | 1037.29507331068 | 17094.3180638281 | -308.413137138799 |