| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 15836.8 | 15836.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 17570.4 | 17006.4236566651 | 71.5282508611204 | 254.210750299920 | 1.12373986875586 |
| 3 | 18252.1 | 17782.3806555236 | 107.589919641277 | 231.499854062471 | 0.827106576511352 |
| 4 | 16196.7 | 16953.4856723117 | 77.115768397848 | -379.666991451067 | -1.23079516688193 |
| 5 | 16643 | 16698.4885328079 | 69.163752784929 | 83.6425626710096 | -0.446609889754032 |
| 6 | 17729 | 17223.3415766724 | 79.0711017916035 | 313.453828134849 | 0.614699393569607 |
| 7 | 16446.1 | 16831.884797863 | 68.7154607102635 | -187.393961263084 | -0.634208203573949 |
| 8 | 15993.8 | 16324.0758391673 | 55.4511765648218 | -87.6780057120329 | -0.775835463654933 |
| 9 | 16373.5 | 16289.8616184075 | 53.2857415513582 | 121.282480665723 | -0.120456727153796 |
| 10 | 17842.2 | 17120.9194216565 | 72.9426490261555 | 395.490763105238 | 1.04310613378845 |
| 11 | 22321.5 | 20032.3889106053 | 147.711073438269 | 1102.71244107397 | 3.80073471910435 |
| 12 | 22786.7 | 21799.7768054433 | 192.004812185022 | 311.367071987180 | 2.1653642717609 |
| 13 | 18274.1 | 21130.9443113906 | 219.577046724410 | -2486.57854476157 | -1.35672552582924 |
| 14 | 22392.9 | 21812.1775474369 | 235.448451561349 | 418.712049195821 | 0.565170488932372 |
| 15 | 23899.3 | 22790.2058505370 | 266.767287434215 | 855.454346652878 | 0.908440018299779 |
| 16 | 21343.5 | 22334.1083494632 | 239.788298960575 | -724.703891453059 | -0.934113507603892 |
| 17 | 22952.3 | 22655.5597440943 | 242.468708409767 | 265.748171876344 | 0.107623699975615 |
| 18 | 21374.4 | 21824.7312717257 | 209.28874106058 | -40.0686183552695 | -1.41948514133735 |
| 19 | 21164.1 | 21414.0041054061 | 190.259145592848 | -12.8182557573681 | -0.819689602744022 |
| 20 | 20906.5 | 21121.4785911912 | 175.198196105344 | -30.5949015115718 | -0.637576922447044 |
| 21 | 17877.4 | 19468.2579147779 | 116.834417528627 | -893.595095603723 | -2.41203728310275 |
| 22 | 20664.3 | 20085.1797647043 | 133.137682318068 | 388.674693181838 | 0.659061989705987 |
| 23 | 22160 | 20861.0641729381 | 154.167157349564 | 1054.44549828173 | 0.845974891031146 |
| 24 | 19813.6 | 20169.6323261097 | 128.590813485337 | -34.620108128745 | -1.11140039932139 |
| 25 | 17735.4 | 20267.2100354703 | 128.035614123778 | -2519.78783289814 | -0.0429632306145878 |
| 26 | 19640.2 | 19879.6228078065 | 109.927827922258 | -52.1198325460708 | -0.661367949249112 |
| 27 | 20844.4 | 19836.1159858550 | 103.615803970797 | 1061.73533694789 | -0.192114901066006 |
| 28 | 19823.1 | 20243.1523852152 | 115.893053278604 | -528.728838265997 | 0.38923055279357 |
| 29 | 18594.6 | 19184.3458427414 | 70.74089627384 | -159.743698351054 | -1.52970107006852 |
| 30 | 21350.6 | 20131.0662550679 | 103.233011908406 | 896.652399029712 | 1.14498227069708 |
| 31 | 18574.1 | 19345.4929003835 | 70.6934405645057 | -443.458477805689 | -1.16177958984990 |
| 32 | 18924.2 | 18821.0053104715 | 48.8746783380265 | 322.695535058381 | -0.777525859554788 |
| 33 | 17343.4 | 18594.4545591771 | 38.7104699713628 | -1149.54657729049 | -0.359604182559487 |
| 34 | 19961.2 | 19169.8870645073 | 58.5884287380442 | 593.6548085949 | 0.700237532497955 |
| 35 | 19932.1 | 18960.7416269248 | 48.7846874065143 | 1069.83783127356 | -0.348800529914243 |
| 36 | 19464.6 | 19213.772809053 | 55.9339490043494 | 175.751953332048 | 0.266294714446732 |
| 37 | 16165.4 | 18890.6468269114 | 43.6753017678191 | -2584.25392812131 | -0.504715175846393 |
| 38 | 17574.9 | 18213.8578945670 | 16.5056463046039 | -377.256155106772 | -0.932196104908674 |
| 39 | 19795.4 | 18438.5212260397 | 25.0003947313708 | 1283.34881677575 | 0.264226301443945 |
| 40 | 19439.5 | 19073.7696155092 | 50.0760316368887 | 148.246632831491 | 0.782323454465578 |
| 41 | 17170 | 18380.3453349954 | 20.0999405178627 | -941.68529448744 | -0.963150779895513 |
| 42 | 21072.4 | 19060.6341185377 | 46.2239609814807 | 1771.80604784460 | 0.858225916776422 |
| 43 | 17751.8 | 18585.7548322475 | 25.816791646834 | -644.339283097093 | -0.677530939829128 |
| 44 | 17515.5 | 17822.1699185985 | -4.99424605538028 | -19.4957875547972 | -1.02584771277166 |
| 45 | 18040.3 | 18524.9073729629 | 22.6148986732703 | -741.942074735656 | 0.919187227464885 |
| 46 | 19090.1 | 18536.4971714741 | 22.1859325713249 | 557.608261235116 | -0.0143062581572489 |
| 47 | 17746.5 | 17622.1037554812 | -13.8978599687285 | 464.211195289801 | -1.21396646459755 |
| 48 | 19202.1 | 18154.3690929492 | 6.74630349630789 | 849.508946878293 | 0.709405830562182 |
| 49 | 15141.6 | 17873.8012913649 | -3.97293182122392 | -2627.16786146480 | -0.376872586045862 |
| 50 | 16258.1 | 17283.3262373944 | -26.9626249849905 | -812.930187773772 | -0.759780808887915 |
| 51 | 18586.5 | 17311.5999100973 | -24.7181039871127 | 1255.24115413979 | 0.0706504319302863 |
| 52 | 17209.4 | 17067.7191993396 | -33.6969428968974 | 219.821704348346 | -0.281338870284398 |
| 53 | 17838.7 | 17985.130291659 | 5.02408292795899 | -488.441790529308 | 1.2295650077008 |
| 54 | 19123.5 | 17626.2553183700 | -9.65713686208433 | 1628.72523469236 | -0.471911781970573 |
| 55 | 16583.6 | 17291.5288029145 | -22.6847832980374 | -590.351540747061 | -0.421658514101497 |
| 56 | 15991.2 | 16724.6279143943 | -44.4134680598639 | -536.651228692926 | -0.705466953957897 |
| 57 | 16704.4 | 16984.3910546103 | -32.2987801507951 | -389.894002225769 | 0.393973919286167 |
| 58 | 17420.4 | 16785.7497764931 | -38.9011055608934 | 694.68806597599 | -0.215228780753669 |
| 59 | 17872 | 17145.6470795065 | -23.1676424270715 | 582.563728952336 | 0.515722636454629 |
| 60 | 17823.2 | 17004.0195611814 | -27.8065496158891 | 861.940251084041 | -0.153574250829237 |
