| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0017 | 0.1863 | 0.2743 | -0.8442 | 1.0303 | -0.0327 | -0.959 |
| (p-val) | (0.9928 ) | (0.2637 ) | (0.0318 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.7745 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1829 | 0.272 | -0.8411 | 1.0191 | -0.0257 | -0.9307 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1102 ) | (0.0108 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.8182 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1907 | 0.2785 | -0.8428 | 0.9893 | 0 | -0.9095 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0969 ) | (0.0092 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.2247 | -0.7692 | 0.9918 | 0 | -0.9231 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0231 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.91599657959305 |
| -314.690195721457 |
| -131.220833480998 |
| -268.917947767282 |
| -159.439515365829 |
| -231.151004658484 |
| 267.044392985118 |
| -154.512510517727 |
| 25.7409615118727 |
| 246.456648918020 |
| -233.366964772720 |
| 215.919524381952 |
| -367.41236901486 |
| 37.9438847988311 |
| -243.929159186576 |
| -259.633633035267 |
| -48.4019268314602 |
| -36.1098358274196 |
| -384.851656925177 |
| 71.1186444594724 |
| 77.316757359951 |
| 303.168744728339 |
| 463.441263845151 |
| -53.5166412814842 |
| -281.970349652152 |
| 133.925285065607 |
| -331.439302336317 |
| -270.133357749759 |
| 315.438587569891 |
| -172.04195532488 |
| -313.331172965828 |
| -120.780810486138 |
| 264.092955270475 |
| 8.45238796222739 |
| 191.208943755986 |
| -36.5949730756585 |
| 272.500151850139 |
| 142.121715217948 |
| -95.2364187055334 |
| 239.330199870058 |
| -205.818261795618 |
| -292.193225053669 |
| -39.0297341781420 |
| 204.981450806571 |
| -36.8738678724042 |
| 168.790551503655 |
| 237.431216178064 |
| 0.330732643278589 |
| 130.450867745819 |
| 104.110825627541 |
| -101.713479604696 |
| 244.914189203759 |
| -6.18144604834078 |
| -150.79518020268 |
| 271.221837097494 |
| 360.770146236821 |
| 68.557377217791 |
| 344.893423553446 |
| -93.1279856039695 |
| -114.522740079364 |
| 526.405318328254 |
| -281.896179799514 |
| -143.623489131433 |
| -209.076408238698 |
| 360.12984965874 |
| -5.55904019529623 |
| -94.2862156910384 |
| -55.9151566564977 |
| 247.889552869425 |
| 172.680979597089 |
| 288.153701471317 |
| 347.86915596282 |
| 160.683461279427 |
| -442.232734467198 |
| -7.71029050842068 |
| 110.758109197836 |
| 180.242065520795 |
| 64.1542854692916 |
| 299.570739416230 |
| 790.457942284597 |
| -177.469342112726 |
| -247.029987338829 |
| -841.714592630719 |
| 61.7694227302761 |
| -211.765780056017 |
| -34.1974973684119 |
| -150.345216526762 |
| 9.08166053317513 |
| 15.9971597287940 |
| -171.106373991858 |
| -106.624160406896 |
| -92.8295712694205 |
| -61.8724683735086 |
| -22.0667484358905 |
| -89.4226620989526 |
| -257.431702267460 |
| 276.247743566083 |
| 132.452635774569 |
| -69.0222207058684 |
| -439.610216247912 |
| 252.867995809012 |
| 91.5552220569018 |
| -125.764484952995 |
| 138.017175338469 |
| 174.476794517594 |
| -347.516521392373 |
| 366.817447450191 |
| -352.943460500463 |
| 151.668286655436 |
| -106.259237044249 |
| 42.69202734195 |
| 211.18673129362 |
| -195.566632309542 |
| -257.056647129099 |
| -119.480898017098 |
| -379.485664553236 |
| -313.658400931524 |
| 90.8768427301727 |
| 6.80020953256393 |
| -146.467950667005 |
| 338.425831918994 |
