Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 14.9 | 16.0833782199729 | -2.17917260877246 | 15.8957943887995 | 1.18337821997295 |
2 | 18.6 | 18.6924248730188 | 2.06946731768287 | 16.4381078092983 | 0.0924248730187855 |
3 | 19.1 | 18.3692112522954 | 2.85036751790743 | 16.9804212297972 | -0.730788747704608 |
4 | 18.8 | 17.4449730688559 | 2.65009560440441 | 17.5049313267396 | -1.35502693114406 |
5 | 18.2 | 16.9407351715805 | 1.4298234047374 | 18.0294414236821 | -1.25926482841951 |
6 | 18 | 17.2948013746241 | 0.179085270079645 | 18.5261133552962 | -0.705198625375889 |
7 | 19 | 19.228867540342 | -0.251652827252362 | 19.0227852869104 | 0.228867540341984 |
8 | 20.7 | 22.4145922042113 | -0.528140256457477 | 19.5135480522462 | 1.71459220421128 |
9 | 21.2 | 23.2403164077300 | -0.844627225312054 | 20.004310817582 | 2.04031640773005 |
10 | 20.7 | 22.3216134160153 | -1.40869537826754 | 20.4870819622522 | 1.62161341601533 |
11 | 19.6 | 19.8829103869749 | -1.65276349389733 | 20.9698531069224 | 0.282910386974915 |
12 | 18.6 | 18.2619966420433 | -2.31378734593564 | 21.2517907038923 | -0.338003357956698 |
13 | 18.7 | 18.0454443079102 | -2.17917260877246 | 21.5337283008623 | -0.654555692089804 |
14 | 23.8 | 23.9422797729393 | 2.06946731768287 | 21.5882529093778 | 0.142279772939286 |
15 | 24.9 | 25.3068549641991 | 2.85036751790743 | 21.6427775178934 | 0.406854964199145 |
16 | 24.8 | 25.4081781803178 | 2.65009560440441 | 21.5417262152778 | 0.608178180317768 |
17 | 23.8 | 24.7295016826004 | 1.4298234047374 | 21.4406749126622 | 0.929501682600382 |
18 | 22.3 | 23.1172345840991 | 0.179085270079645 | 21.3036801458213 | 0.817234584099086 |
19 | 21.7 | 22.4849674482720 | -0.251652827252362 | 21.1666853789803 | 0.784967448272038 |
20 | 20.7 | 20.846102110684 | -0.528140256457477 | 21.0820381457735 | 0.146102110684016 |
21 | 19.7 | 19.2472363127455 | -0.844627225312054 | 20.9973909125666 | -0.452763687254539 |
22 | 18.4 | 17.2203463982370 | -1.40869537826754 | 20.9883489800306 | -1.17965360176305 |
23 | 17.4 | 15.4734564464028 | -1.65276349389733 | 20.9793070474946 | -1.92654355359725 |
24 | 17 | 15.2953876028983 | -2.31378734593564 | 21.0183997430374 | -1.70461239710173 |
25 | 18 | 17.1216801701923 | -2.17917260877246 | 21.0574924385802 | -0.878319829807705 |
26 | 23.8 | 24.3821277928127 | 2.06946731768287 | 21.1484048895044 | 0.58212779281271 |
27 | 25.5 | 26.9103151416639 | 2.85036751790743 | 21.2393173404287 | 1.41031514166389 |
28 | 25.6 | 27.1563757033793 | 2.65009560440441 | 21.3935286922163 | 1.55637570337933 |
29 | 23.7 | 24.4224365512588 | 1.4298234047374 | 21.5477400440038 | 0.722436551258767 |
30 | 22 | 22.1543150707330 | 0.179085270079645 | 21.6665996591874 | 0.154315070732974 |
31 | 21.3 | 21.0661935528814 | -0.251652827252362 | 21.7854592743709 | -0.233806447118567 |
32 | 20.7 | 20.1708749482594 | -0.528140256457477 | 21.7572653081981 | -0.529125051740593 |
33 | 20.4 | 19.9155558832868 | -0.844627225312054 | 21.7290713420252 | -0.484444116713156 |
34 | 20.3 | 20.3756449519973 | -1.40869537826754 | 21.6330504262702 | 0.0756449519973366 |
35 | 20.4 | 20.9157339833821 | -1.65276349389733 | 21.5370295105152 | 0.515733983382127 |
36 | 19.8 | 20.4199026247389 | -2.31378734593564 | 21.4938847211967 | 0.619902624738923 |
37 | 19.5 | 19.7284326768942 | -2.17917260877246 | 21.4507399318782 | 0.228432676894222 |
38 | 23.1 | 22.7041759182931 | 2.06946731768287 | 21.426356764024 | -0.395824081706881 |
39 | 23.5 | 22.7476588859228 | 2.85036751790743 | 21.4019735961698 | -0.752341114077218 |
40 | 23.5 | 23.0050409264346 | 2.65009560440441 | 21.3448634691610 | -0.49495907356539 |
41 | 22.9 | 23.0824232531104 | 1.4298234047374 | 21.2877533421522 | 0.182423253110425 |
42 | 21.9 | 22.3938153670604 | 0.179085270079645 | 21.2270993628600 | 0.493815367060378 |
43 | 21.5 | 22.0852074436846 | -0.251652827252362 | 21.1664453835678 | 0.585207443684588 |
44 | 20.5 | 20.4071914971068 | -0.528140256457477 | 21.1209487593507 | -0.092808502893206 |
45 | 20.2 | 20.1691750901785 | -0.844627225312054 | 21.0754521351336 | -0.0308249098215363 |
46 | 19.4 | 19.2127481933926 | -1.40869537826754 | 20.9959471848750 | -0.187251806607435 |
47 | 19.2 | 19.1363212592810 | -1.65276349389733 | 20.9164422346164 | -0.0636787407190234 |
48 | 18.8 | 19.1419524241542 | -2.31378734593564 | 20.7718349217814 | 0.341952424154236 |
49 | 18.8 | 19.151944999826 | -2.17917260877246 | 20.6272276089465 | 0.351944999825999 |
50 | 22.6 | 22.6621573076342 | 2.06946731768287 | 20.4683753746829 | 0.0621573076341981 |
51 | 23.3 | 23.4401093416732 | 2.85036751790743 | 20.3095231404194 | 0.140109341673163 |
52 | 23 | 23.1004797491053 | 2.65009560440441 | 20.2494246464903 | 0.100479749105283 |
53 | 21.4 | 21.1808504427014 | 1.4298234047374 | 20.1893261525612 | -0.219149557298604 |
54 | 19.9 | 19.4120671109667 | 0.179085270079645 | 20.2088476189537 | -0.487932889033345 |
55 | 18.8 | 17.6232837419062 | -0.251652827252362 | 20.2283690853462 | -1.17671625809383 |
56 | 18.6 | 17.4843739654162 | -0.528140256457477 | 20.2437662910413 | -1.11562603458380 |
57 | 18.4 | 17.3854637285757 | -0.844627225312054 | 20.2591634967364 | -1.01453627142433 |
58 | 18.6 | 18.3235520859379 | -1.40869537826754 | 20.2851432923296 | -0.276447914062082 |
59 | 19.9 | 21.1416404059745 | -1.65276349389733 | 20.3111230879229 | 1.24164040597446 |
60 | 19.2 | 20.3543946168567 | -2.31378734593564 | 20.3593927290789 | 1.15439461685671 |
61 | 18.4 | 18.5715102385375 | -2.17917260877246 | 20.407662370235 | 0.171510238537454 |