Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	14.9	14.9	0	0	0
2	18.6	18.4963663363712	1.95952200894963	0.103633663628848	2.67574541083026
3	19.1	19.0017999365895	0.789189066721225	0.0982000634105242	-1.09926465742992
4	18.8	18.6893326054695	-0.0819720301077848	0.110667394530525	-0.88351553292114
5	18.2	18.0852634657129	-0.495402408713859	0.114736534287079	-0.421087081668346
6	18	17.8804873802303	-0.265180392917277	0.119512619769678	0.234513407124899
7	19	18.8750395746505	0.732805723110806	0.124960425349499	1.01659379848851
8	20.7	20.5790040450088	1.50219178423542	0.120995954991207	0.783731637440376
9	21.2	21.0926828747593	0.719053988075138	0.107317125240685	-0.797739789429887
10	20.7	20.5906039300775	-0.248375069964352	0.109396069922484	-0.985467253946108
11	19.6	19.4874950900653	-0.92552856489005	0.112504909934693	-0.689779358614831
12	18.6	18.4825677346654	-0.988431391960232	0.117432265334611	-0.0640756815651315
13	18.7	19.5802450329432	0.63599789298586	-0.880245032943204	1.81717330558587
14	23.8	23.6336704662259	2.96176953273286	0.166329533774143	2.25596283857556
15	24.9	24.7899553301526	1.53109006944619	0.110044669847427	-1.4191781479967
16	24.8	24.6672342767233	0.230695431852504	0.132765723276674	-1.32112552682345
17	23.8	23.6597219728002	-0.743869702391468	0.140278027199789	-0.992692153068098
18	22.3	22.1596515174833	-1.33916482229958	0.140348482516665	-0.606393989794981
19	21.7	21.5433064816194	-0.770136650338426	0.156693518380579	0.579637914084658
20	20.7	20.5478414789925	-0.947524077101723	0.152158521007479	-0.180694901995688
21	19.7	19.5526192416813	-0.985074014522	0.147380758318688	-0.0382500747013373
22	18.4	18.2556005298177	-1.23065006115613	0.144399470182251	-0.250154934121929
23	17.4	17.2348323352030	-1.06541243520625	0.165167664797027	0.168318936995219
24	17	16.8570602808589	-0.524230497044236	0.142939719141127	0.551288476205146
25	18	19.3546424097877	1.83813004492188	-1.35464240978769	2.52028624841156
26	23.8	23.5906128565651	3.56245780446402	0.209387143434875	1.71548337349918
27	25.5	25.4034666323282	2.18612132555086	0.0965333676718153	-1.38271892324709
28	25.6	25.4761548945288	0.532695890603911	0.123845105471156	-1.67984582071548
29	23.7	23.5659805432428	-1.38012050787108	0.134019456757183	-1.94841302878142
30	22	21.8612771969591	-1.63432120665732	0.138722803040948	-0.258940390083650
31	21.3	21.1122099702114	-0.941026774520532	0.187790029788623	0.706221206934525
32	20.7	20.5393365378003	-0.65270379144625	0.160663462199673	0.293698904322016
33	20.4	20.2341127210846	-0.380571342852756	0.165887278915445	0.277206496272518
34	20.3	20.1436842126631	-0.153340335203859	0.156315787336867	0.231467846116482
35	20.4	20.2030317799140	0.0132444059073885	0.196968220086033	0.169692280945363
36	19.8	19.7046967814650	-0.387176308674755	0.0953032185349647	-0.407945161905656
37	19.5	21.1297265954815	1.02794309669007	-1.62972659548154	1.48271640034508
38	23.1	22.8684619366577	1.55189471247967	0.231538063342316	0.52597406976628
39	23.5	23.4066347629893	0.758802522538638	0.0933652370107018	-0.80197510590265
40	23.5	23.3331567444107	0.110218177337289	0.166843255589294	-0.658890555859676
41	22.9	22.7583142710786	-0.42402720431889	0.141685728921434	-0.54418400017232
42	21.9	21.7890760967952	-0.849307098078393	0.110923903204748	-0.433209393622026
43	21.5	21.3069770570496	-0.56287853957346	0.193022942950386	0.29176916548235
44	20.5	20.3555221305564	-0.865972774956012	0.144477869443552	-0.308745570150847
45	20.2	20.0275731302723	-0.44630778574107	0.172426869727690	0.427489865582739
46	19.4	19.2670945002758	-0.691371828148299	0.132905499724190	-0.249633473705347
47	19.2	18.9559171978162	-0.394785120192152	0.244082802183789	0.302121020156532
48	18.8	18.7431486512696	-0.252924954882053	0.0568513487303511	0.144553995138398
49	18.8	20.4309765259120	1.2595856319138	-1.63097652591196	1.56953414634139
50	22.6	22.3442638188545	1.74804911047923	0.255736181145520	0.492583844589775
51	23.3	23.2200128706681	1.06846113927952	0.0799871293318805	-0.689780782450303
52	23	22.8526861167906	-0.0471980932328169	0.147313883209369	-1.13333102016186
53	21.4	21.2679155967925	-1.24258392127100	0.132084403207512	-1.21760144990606
54	19.9	19.8029482758241	-1.41552605262346	0.0970517241758727	-0.176166552709623
55	18.8	18.5801599358129	-1.26564078420919	0.21984006418706	0.152679956194470
56	18.6	18.4499206974265	-0.382693695003875	0.150079302573451	0.899410046192465
57	18.4	18.2165947665365	-0.266537358924606	0.183405233463466	0.118322133278772
58	18.6	18.4651228591248	0.134023237565158	0.134877140875249	0.408029936691651
59	19.9	19.6074242264006	0.918177833591412	0.292575773599369	0.798786383587909
60	19.2	19.2338836305732	-0.085342739094769	-0.0338836305732321	-1.02281489359146
61	18.4	20.0825764786328	0.641142144687673	-1.68257647863281	0.749424269891704