| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 611 | 618.798854599794 | 6.34954019660031 | 596.851605203606 | 7.79885459979391 |
| 2 | 594 | 597.142902481602 | -5.78724544116946 | 596.644342959568 | 3.14290248160160 |
| 3 | 595 | 596.287994831045 | -2.72507554657562 | 596.43708071553 | 1.28799483104547 |
| 4 | 591 | 585.645096618100 | 0.0181555196385236 | 596.336747862262 | -5.3549033819005 |
| 5 | 589 | 585.402202510984 | -3.63861751997770 | 596.236415008994 | -3.59779748901622 |
| 6 | 584 | 583.632852524011 | -11.8218345203432 | 596.188981996332 | -0.367147475988759 |
| 7 | 573 | 566.063495818409 | -16.2050448020788 | 596.14154898367 | -6.93650418159086 |
| 8 | 567 | 564.829938725721 | -26.9494037087926 | 596.119464983072 | -2.17006127427931 |
| 9 | 569 | 566.196385241187 | -24.2937662236608 | 596.097380982474 | -2.80361475881330 |
| 10 | 621 | 618.575505380197 | 27.0654728788189 | 596.359021740984 | -2.42449461980289 |
| 11 | 629 | 626.154626390141 | 35.2247111103648 | 596.620662499494 | -2.84537360985871 |
| 12 | 628 | 636.482113260699 | 22.7631054159264 | 596.754781323374 | 8.4821132606994 |
| 13 | 612 | 620.761559656145 | 6.34954019660031 | 596.888900147255 | 8.76155965614521 |
| 14 | 595 | 598.840092449808 | -5.78724544116946 | 596.947152991361 | 3.84009244980837 |
| 15 | 597 | 599.719669711108 | -2.72507554657562 | 597.005405835468 | 2.71966971110783 |
| 16 | 593 | 589.24296264788 | 0.0181555196385236 | 596.738881832481 | -3.75703735211971 |
| 17 | 590 | 587.166259690483 | -3.63861751997770 | 596.472357829495 | -2.833740309517 |
| 18 | 580 | 576.309440055822 | -11.8218345203432 | 595.512394464521 | -3.69055994417806 |
| 19 | 574 | 569.652613702531 | -16.2050448020788 | 594.552431099548 | -4.3473862974688 |
| 20 | 573 | 580.361926197871 | -26.9494037087926 | 592.587477510922 | 7.36192619787073 |
| 21 | 573 | 579.671242301365 | -24.2937662236608 | 590.622523922296 | 6.6712423013646 |
| 22 | 620 | 625.261652535956 | 27.0654728788189 | 587.672874585225 | 5.26165253595639 |
| 23 | 626 | 632.052063641482 | 35.2247111103648 | 584.723225248153 | 6.05206364148205 |
| 24 | 620 | 636.608158933103 | 22.7631054159264 | 580.628735650971 | 16.6081589331030 |
| 25 | 588 | 593.116213749612 | 6.34954019660031 | 576.534246053788 | 5.1162137496118 |
| 26 | 566 | 566.520173619094 | -5.78724544116946 | 571.267071822076 | 0.520173619093839 |
| 27 | 557 | 550.725177956212 | -2.72507554657562 | 565.999897590364 | -6.27482204378794 |
| 28 | 561 | 561.797741984410 | 0.0181555196385236 | 560.184102495952 | 0.797741984409527 |
| 29 | 549 | 547.270310118437 | -3.63861751997770 | 554.36830740154 | -1.72968988156276 |
| 30 | 532 | 526.963321785848 | -11.8218345203432 | 548.858512734495 | -5.03667821415229 |
| 31 | 526 | 524.856326734629 | -16.2050448020788 | 543.34871806745 | -1.14367326537138 |
| 32 | 511 | 510.163573308536 | -26.9494037087926 | 538.785830400257 | -0.836426691464453 |
| 33 | 499 | 488.070823490597 | -24.2937662236608 | 534.222942733064 | -10.9291765094031 |
| 34 | 555 | 552.358030016574 | 27.0654728788189 | 530.576497104607 | -2.64196998342629 |
| 35 | 565 | 567.845237413484 | 35.2247111103648 | 526.930051476151 | 2.84523741348448 |
| 36 | 542 | 537.416898593097 | 22.7631054159264 | 523.819995990977 | -4.58310140690298 |
| 37 | 527 | 526.940519297597 | 6.34954019660031 | 520.709940505803 | -0.0594807024028796 |
| 38 | 510 | 507.811112871392 | -5.78724544116946 | 517.976132569778 | -2.18888712860826 |
| 39 | 514 | 515.482750912823 | -2.72507554657562 | 515.242324633753 | 1.48275091282267 |
| 40 | 517 | 521.132580882388 | 0.0181555196385236 | 512.849263597973 | 4.13258088238831 |
| 41 | 508 | 509.182414957784 | -3.63861751997770 | 510.456202562193 | 1.18241495778432 |
| 42 | 493 | 489.384291015867 | -11.8218345203432 | 508.437543504476 | -3.61570898413294 |
| 43 | 490 | 489.78616035532 | -16.2050448020788 | 506.418884446759 | -0.213839644680036 |
| 44 | 469 | 459.479724674212 | -26.9494037087926 | 505.46967903458 | -9.52027532578785 |
| 45 | 478 | 475.773292601259 | -24.2937662236608 | 504.520473622402 | -2.22670739874127 |
| 46 | 528 | 523.503377112272 | 27.0654728788189 | 505.431150008909 | -4.49662288772777 |
| 47 | 534 | 526.43346249422 | 35.2247111103648 | 506.341826395416 | -7.56653750578039 |
| 48 | 518 | 503.789316073526 | 22.7631054159264 | 509.447578510548 | -14.2106839264744 |
| 49 | 506 | 493.097129177719 | 6.34954019660031 | 512.55333062568 | -12.9028708222805 |
| 50 | 502 | 492.527707616618 | -5.78724544116946 | 517.259537824552 | -9.47229238338218 |
| 51 | 516 | 512.759330523152 | -2.72507554657562 | 521.965745023423 | -3.24066947684753 |
| 52 | 528 | 528.700410241368 | 0.0181555196385236 | 527.281434238994 | 0.700410241367649 |
| 53 | 533 | 537.041494065413 | -3.63861751997770 | 532.597123454565 | 4.04149406541319 |
| 54 | 536 | 546.383112196987 | -11.8218345203432 | 537.438722323357 | 10.3831121969866 |
| 55 | 537 | 547.92472360993 | -16.2050448020788 | 542.280321192148 | 10.9247236099304 |
| 56 | 524 | 527.838979510421 | -26.9494037087926 | 547.110424198372 | 3.8389795104207 |
| 57 | 536 | 544.353239019065 | -24.2937662236608 | 551.940527204595 | 8.35323901906531 |
| 58 | 587 | 590.258796822660 | 27.0654728788189 | 556.675730298522 | 3.25879682265952 |
| 59 | 597 | 597.364355497188 | 35.2247111103648 | 561.410933392448 | 0.364355497187717 |
| 60 | 581 | 573.293882851846 | 22.7631054159264 | 565.943011732228 | -7.70611714815402 |
| 61 | 564 | 551.175369731392 | 6.34954019660031 | 570.475090072008 | -12.8246302686080 |
