| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 100.01 | NA | NA | 0.968135585721935 | NA |
| 2 | 103.84 | NA | NA | 0.984258820657727 | NA |
| 3 | 104.48 | NA | NA | 1.00868890710222 | NA |
| 4 | 95.43 | NA | NA | 1.01658961190774 | NA |
| 5 | 104.8 | NA | NA | 1.03358629223341 | NA |
| 6 | 108.64 | NA | NA | 1.04472135573966 | NA |
| 7 | 105.65 | 113.034908955795 | 106.3725 | 1.0626328135166 | 0.934667006644092 |
| 8 | 108.42 | 111.944093194936 | 106.4525 | 1.05158726375553 | 0.968519167967183 |
| 9 | 115.35 | 108.258636648268 | 106.261666666667 | 1.01879294805215 | 1.06550390408824 |
| 10 | 113.64 | 103.181426965820 | 106.239166666667 | 0.971218338803043 | 1.10136100402687 |
| 11 | 115.24 | 98.5703076835196 | 106.380833333333 | 0.92657957824658 | 1.16911474366096 |
| 12 | 100.33 | 96.8153194733246 | 106.016666666667 | 0.913208484263399 | 1.03630293785937 |
| 13 | 101.29 | 101.964039888234 | 105.32 | 0.968135585721935 | 0.99338943524626 |
| 14 | 104.48 | 102.837002013687 | 104.481666666667 | 0.984258820657727 | 1.01597671999515 |
| 15 | 99.26 | 104.136202195144 | 103.239166666667 | 1.00868890710222 | 0.953174764468494 |
| 16 | 100.11 | 102.939864101778 | 101.26 | 1.01658961190774 | 0.972509541114413 |
| 17 | 103.52 | 101.904287177977 | 98.5929166666667 | 1.03358629223341 | 1.01585519968557 |
| 18 | 101.18 | 100.535277265087 | 96.2316666666667 | 1.04472135573966 | 1.00641290055045 |
| 19 | 96.39 | 100.414816004268 | 94.49625 | 1.0626328135166 | 0.959918106068163 |
| 20 | 97.56 | 97.5228883566083 | 92.73875 | 1.05158726375553 | 1.00038054290656 |
| 21 | 96.39 | 93.2743148677295 | 91.55375 | 1.01879294805215 | 1.03340346307222 |
| 22 | 85.1 | 88.5051038435822 | 91.1279166666667 | 0.971218338803043 | 0.961526469144648 |
| 23 | 79.77 | 84.046944944153 | 90.7066666666667 | 0.92657957824658 | 0.94911242821503 |
| 24 | 79.13 | 82.3599901745053 | 90.1875 | 0.913208484263399 | 0.96078204759785 |
| 25 | 80.84 | 87.1632637316827 | 90.0320833333333 | 0.968135585721935 | 0.927454945340874 |
| 26 | 82.75 | 88.8113138193145 | 90.2316666666667 | 0.984258820657727 | 0.93175065699798 |
| 27 | 92.55 | 91.4855621519038 | 90.6975 | 1.00868890710222 | 1.01163503642606 |
| 28 | 96.6 | 93.3254678471604 | 91.8025 | 1.01658961190774 | 1.03508722997459 |
| 29 | 96.92 | 96.4086227299812 | 93.2758333333333 | 1.03358629223341 | 1.00530426901182 |
| 30 | 95.32 | 99.2602819105201 | 95.01125 | 1.04472135573966 | 0.960303538991838 |
| 31 | 98.52 | 103.404799083300 | 97.31 | 1.0626328135166 | 0.952760421889459 |
| 32 | 100.22 | 105.232337484016 | 100.07 | 1.05158726375553 | 0.952368847790943 |
| 33 | 104.91 | 104.261147818349 | 102.337916666667 | 1.01879294805215 | 1.00622333625927 |
| 34 | 103.1 | 100.310667426041 | 103.283333333333 | 0.971218338803043 | 1.02780693863906 |
| 35 | 97.13 | 96.037270761488 | 103.647083333333 | 0.92657957824658 | 1.01137817880337 |
| 36 | 103.42 | 95.2430788662512 | 104.295 | 0.913208484263399 | 1.08585317937098 |
| 37 | 111.72 | 101.762344974542 | 105.111666666667 | 0.968135585721935 | 1.0978520594032 |
| 38 | 118.11 | 104.265407627167 | 105.932916666667 | 0.984258820657727 | 1.13278222075666 |
| 39 | 111.62 | 107.319035984096 | 106.394583333333 | 1.00868890710222 | 1.04007643170165 |
| 40 | 100.22 | 108.570076235727 | 106.798333333333 | 1.01658961190774 | 0.923090445127834 |
| 41 | 102.03 | 111.509318459511 | 107.885833333333 | 1.03358629223341 | 0.914990795473715 |
| 42 | 105.76 | 114.078348439993 | 109.195 | 1.04472135573966 | 0.92708214526468 |
| 43 | 107.68 | 117.250904643422 | 110.34 | 1.0626328135166 | 0.918372445206045 |
| 44 | 110.77 | 116.965860540728 | 111.227916666667 | 1.05158726375553 | 0.947028470426455 |
| 45 | 105.44 | 114.651986894357 | 112.537083333333 | 1.01879294805215 | 0.91965261881728 |
| 46 | 112.26 | 111.672707967113 | 114.982083333333 | 0.971218338803043 | 1.00525904711704 |
| 47 | 114.07 | 109.508965679545 | 118.18625 | 0.92657957824658 | 1.04164987124253 |
| 48 | 117.9 | 110.818230068899 | 121.350416666667 | 0.913208484263399 | 1.06390437680424 |
| 49 | 124.72 | 120.374751610046 | 124.336666666667 | 0.968135585721935 | 1.03609767274146 |
| 50 | 126.42 | 125.589374976716 | 127.597916666667 | 0.984258820657727 | 1.00661381604485 |
| 51 | 134.73 | 132.350071500883 | 131.21 | 1.00868890710222 | 1.01798207188049 |
| 52 | 135.79 | 137.478496166343 | 135.235 | 1.01658961190774 | 0.98771810709727 |
| 53 | 143.36 | 143.716728647414 | 139.046666666667 | 1.03358629223341 | 0.997517834905012 |
| 54 | 140.37 | 148.273819615611 | 141.926666666667 | 1.04472135573966 | 0.946694435766871 |
| 55 | 144.74 | 153.560625117612 | 144.509583333333 | 1.0626328135166 | 0.942559330486862 |
| 56 | 151.98 | 154.98380725501 | 147.380833333333 | 1.05158726375553 | 0.980618573590287 |
| 57 | 150.92 | 153.604686269008 | 150.77125 | 1.01879294805215 | 0.982522107012373 |
| 58 | 163.38 | 150.052423996455 | 154.499166666667 | 0.971218338803043 | 1.08881946488156 |
| 59 | 154.43 | 145.935511424188 | 157.499166666667 | 0.92657957824658 | 1.05820713884451 |
| 60 | 146.66 | 146.617905169699 | 160.5525 | 0.913208484263399 | 1.00028710565911 |
| 61 | 157.95 | 159.105822496507 | 164.3425 | 0.968135585721935 | 0.992735511005372 |
| 62 | 162.1 | 165.730320438032 | 168.380833333333 | 0.984258820657727 | 0.978095013462613 |
| 63 | 180.42 | 174.150139811199 | 172.65 | 1.00868890710222 | 1.03600261358158 |
| 64 | 179.57 | 178.965094649293 | 176.044583333333 | 1.01658961190774 | 1.00338001861141 |
| 65 | 171.58 | 184.617460874911 | 178.618333333333 | 1.03358629223341 | 0.929381214468417 |
| 66 | 185.43 | 189.972131327700 | 181.84 | 1.04472135573966 | 0.9760905386703 |
| 67 | 190.64 | 197.534141995618 | 185.89125 | 1.0626328135166 | 0.965098985289486 |
| 68 | 203 | 199.685467353178 | 189.889583333333 | 1.05158726375553 | 1.01659876750550 |
| 69 | 202.36 | 196.587136250266 | 192.960833333333 | 1.01879294805215 | 1.02936541962941 |
| 70 | 193.41 | 190.652587952884 | 196.3025 | 0.971218338803043 | 1.01446301923684 |
| 71 | 186.17 | 186.330520287496 | 201.095 | 0.92657957824658 | 0.999138518546246 |
| 72 | 192.24 | 187.859922333175 | 205.714166666667 | 0.913208484263399 | 1.02331565781794 |
| 73 | 209.6 | 203.218920459927 | 209.9075 | 0.968135585721935 | 1.03140002675750 |
| 74 | 206.41 | 210.425103376257 | 213.790416666667 | 0.984258820657727 | 0.980919085642182 |
| 75 | 209.82 | 217.930600675792 | 216.053333333333 | 1.00868890710222 | 0.962783562057639 |
| 76 | 230.37 | 220.954904990138 | 217.349166666667 | 1.01658961190774 | 1.0426109346171 |
| 77 | 235.8 | 226.438084902495 | 219.08 | 1.03358629223341 | 1.04134426018281 |
| 78 | 232.07 | 231.242107283936 | 221.343333333333 | 1.04472135573966 | 1.00358019880457 |
| 79 | 244.64 | 236.192723751352 | 222.27125 | 1.0626328135166 | 1.03576433733641 |
| 80 | 242.19 | 233.816922805163 | 222.346666666667 | 1.05158726375553 | 1.03581039855620 |
| 81 | 217.48 | 227.487550861750 | 223.29125 | 1.01879294805215 | 0.95600835815481 |
| 82 | 209.39 | 217.756459068723 | 224.209583333333 | 0.971218338803043 | 0.961578824782037 |
| 83 | 211.73 | 208.142975709069 | 224.635833333333 | 0.92657957824658 | 1.01723346309772 |
| 84 | 221 | 205.775931283817 | 225.332916666667 | 0.913208484263399 | 1.07398371919010 |
| 85 | 203.11 | 219.338781352025 | 226.557916666667 | 0.968135585721935 | 0.926010433485638 |
| 86 | 214.71 | 223.935286013311 | 227.516666666667 | 0.984258820657727 | 0.958803785783174 |
| 87 | 224.19 | 231.879927686927 | 229.8825 | 1.00868890710222 | 0.96683659614855 |
| 88 | 238.04 | 238.888816481205 | 234.990416666667 | 1.01658961190774 | 0.996446813652862 |
| 89 | 238.36 | 250.125298754754 | 241.9975 | 1.03358629223341 | 0.952962380001834 |
| 90 | 246.24 | 260.451210488723 | 249.302083333333 | 1.04472135573966 | 0.945436189518736 |
| 91 | 259.87 | 273.428263064318 | 257.312083333333 | 1.0626328135166 | 0.950413820018567 |
| 92 | 249.97 | 280.638407562518 | 266.87125 | 1.05158726375553 | 0.890719136311781 |
| 93 | 266.48 | 282.466287806322 | 277.255833333333 | 1.01879294805215 | 0.943404616775778 |
| 94 | 282.98 | 279.943164627974 | 288.239166666667 | 0.971218338803043 | 1.01084804258772 |
| 95 | 306.31 | 278.737915551203 | 300.824583333333 | 0.92657957824658 | 1.09891759574320 |
| 96 | 301.73 | 288.303723517306 | 315.704166666667 | 0.913208484263399 | 1.04656990315246 |
| 97 | 314.62 | 320.48837717877 | 331.036666666667 | 0.968135585721935 | 0.981689266767085 |
| 98 | 332.62 | 338.824537285951 | 344.243333333333 | 0.984258820657727 | 0.981688052064792 |
| 99 | 355.51 | 356.17309654233 | 353.105 | 1.00868890710222 | 0.99813827448292 |
| 100 | 370.32 | 361.010879401672 | 355.119583333333 | 1.01658961190774 | 1.02578626055192 |
| 101 | 408.13 | 361.409381534749 | 349.665416666667 | 1.03358629223341 | 1.12927339701822 |
| 102 | 433.58 | 355.093824006873 | 339.893333333333 | 1.04472135573966 | 1.22102940317995 |
| 103 | 440.51 | 349.128453644551 | 328.550416666667 | 1.0626328135166 | 1.26174190445241 |
| 104 | 386.29 | 332.11973838239 | 315.827083333333 | 1.05158726375553 | 1.16310461365967 |
| 105 | 342.84 | 307.190694667301 | 301.524166666667 | 1.01879294805215 | 1.11604943102625 |
| 106 | 254.97 | 278.252030695533 | 286.497916666667 | 0.971218338803043 | 0.916327544358488 |
| 107 | 203.42 | 250.828566504768 | 270.70375 | 0.92657957824658 | 0.810992156254792 |
| 108 | 170.09 | 232.384543494042 | 254.470416666667 | 0.913208484263399 | 0.731933361154722 |
| 109 | 174.03 | NA | 237.682083333333 | NA | NA |
| 110 | 167.85 | NA | 223.295 | NA | NA |
| 111 | 177.01 | NA | 213.4525 | NA | NA |
| 112 | 188.19 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 113 | 211.2 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 114 | 240.91 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 115 | 230.26 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 116 | 251.25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 117 | 241.66 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
