| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.894 | -0.162 | 0.2111 | -0.6778 | 0.1183 | -0.1923 | -0.1314 |
| (p-val) | (5e-04 ) | (0.3722 ) | (0.2116 ) | (0.0036 ) | (0.9672 ) | (0.3088 ) | (0.9647 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.8952 | -0.1633 | 0.2112 | -0.6768 | 0 | -0.1936 | -0.0098 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (0.3602 ) | (0.2112 ) | (0.0034 ) | (NA ) | (0.2688 ) | (0.9587 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.8932 | -0.163 | 0.213 | -0.677 | 0 | -0.1941 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (0.3598 ) | (0.1974 ) | (0.0032 ) | (NA ) | (0.2662 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.7791 | 0 | 0.1494 | -0.635 | 0 | -0.1783 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0048 ) | (NA ) | (0.3979 ) | (0.0506 ) | (NA ) | (0.3045 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.9581 | 0 | 0 | -0.7824 | 0 | -0.1621 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.3555 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.9593 | 0 | 0 | -0.7822 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 6.80295540742518 |
| 283.756999423808 |
| -164.642187279739 |
| 120.382954746388 |
| -241.524349076053 |
| 76.6598911700325 |
| -40.2474545161812 |
| 89.0764672455305 |
| 333.979470272624 |
| 212.088723673115 |
| 151.694039934924 |
| 136.863926326935 |
| 7.67697759014004 |
| 189.402454521113 |
| -81.3249520311171 |
| -146.074447043927 |
| -245.552174811619 |
| 63.1344732687958 |
| 153.993415210834 |
| 186.061598016628 |
| 9.57228691130843 |
| -78.1424673371014 |
| 57.121305640876 |
| 282.492748281922 |
| 418.377113283227 |
| 256.546566412065 |
| 4.83269489919374 |
| -314.680341848529 |
| -490.825388458676 |
| -784.009015322479 |
| 429.946702337906 |
| 457.118739567367 |
| 264.871584091507 |
| 333.156928566325 |
| 53.2905332293592 |
| 125.372734927086 |
| 254.947300296834 |
| 3.98085607037043 |
| -573.073125489581 |
| 549.841095630061 |
| 49.2307239573688 |
| -427.496596638228 |
| -283.069399714667 |
| -1066.19621606559 |
| 390.432051032241 |
| 433.490538981337 |
| -913.279104684817 |
| 250.217598439513 |
| -645.467613516023 |
| -142.427852082529 |
| 148.560708648116 |
| 670.610437310238 |
| -142.589252327516 |
| -850.175607416302 |
| -1113.49179222035 |
| 326.211817386129 |
| -6.03020776547953 |
| -1846.62498676010 |
| 235.790569547634 |
| 48.7735231270556 |
