Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 6802.96 | NA | NA | 1.00587694394746 | NA |
2 | 7132.68 | NA | NA | 1.01565698086674 | NA |
3 | 7073.29 | NA | NA | 1.01184043881666 | NA |
4 | 7264.5 | NA | NA | 1.03324830456141 | NA |
5 | 7105.33 | NA | NA | 1.03034158057347 | NA |
6 | 7218.71 | NA | NA | 1.00276944965960 | NA |
7 | 7225.72 | 7372.14374844152 | 7587.72416666667 | 0.97158826368884 | 0.980138240186584 |
8 | 7354.25 | 7473.53048325091 | 7760.09083333333 | 0.963072552082573 | 0.98403960704807 |
9 | 7745.46 | 7781.40073593963 | 7941.13375 | 0.979885364094217 | 0.995381199714644 |
10 | 8070.26 | 8097.31793554215 | 8122.52625 | 0.996896493322154 | 0.996658407665657 |
11 | 8366.33 | 8188.07004903346 | 8299.07375 | 0.986624567474588 | 1.02177069198224 |
12 | 8667.51 | 8497.96278292833 | 8479.31625 | 1.00219906091229 | 1.01995151325118 |
13 | 8854.34 | 8722.31103789877 | 8671.35 | 1.00587694394746 | 1.01513692432287 |
14 | 9218.1 | 9019.95866113965 | 8880.91041666667 | 1.01565698086674 | 1.02196698968411 |
15 | 9332.9 | 9195.52791193196 | 9087.92291666667 | 1.01184043881666 | 1.01493901050420 |
16 | 9358.31 | 9582.27244912118 | 9273.93 | 1.03324830456141 | 0.976627417941794 |
17 | 9248.66 | 9730.3213583331 | 9443.78208333333 | 1.03034158057347 | 0.950498925924928 |
18 | 9401.2 | 9639.57759495251 | 9612.955 | 1.00276944965960 | 0.975270950142325 |
19 | 9652.04 | 9524.67325693755 | 9803.19916666667 | 0.97158826368884 | 1.01337229526164 |
20 | 9957.38 | 9643.91961478926 | 10013.7 | 0.963072552082573 | 1.03250342160982 |
21 | 10110.63 | 10029.4451642476 | 10235.325 | 0.979885364094217 | 1.00809464874904 |
22 | 10169.26 | 10427.8434504479 | 10460.3070833333 | 0.996896493322154 | 0.975202595658762 |
23 | 10343.78 | 10531.9734793043 | 10674.7529166667 | 0.986624567474588 | 0.982131223585574 |
24 | 10750.21 | 10871.4232144315 | 10847.56875 | 1.00219906091229 | 0.988850290156066 |
25 | 11337.5 | 11055.6697699281 | 10991.0758333333 | 1.00587694394746 | 1.02549191825886 |
26 | 11786.96 | 11322.3400449254 | 11147.7991666667 | 1.01565698086674 | 1.04103568283862 |
27 | 12083.04 | 11452.8397956868 | 11318.82 | 1.01184043881666 | 1.05502567184696 |
28 | 12007.74 | 11895.7158335543 | 11512.9304166667 | 1.03324830456141 | 1.00941718581825 |
29 | 11745.93 | 12080.7078082349 | 11724.9541666667 | 1.03034158057347 | 0.97228822900537 |
30 | 11051.51 | 11967.1228952022 | 11934.0720833333 | 1.00276944965960 | 0.92348930455379 |
31 | 11445.9 | 11788.0702973747 | 12132.78375 | 0.97158826368884 | 0.970973171287341 |
32 | 11924.88 | 11861.0346188733 | 12315.8266666667 | 0.963072552082573 | 1.00538278347364 |
33 | 12247.63 | 12211.6821246454 | 12462.3579166667 | 0.979885364094217 | 1.00294372838956 |
34 | 12690.91 | 12575.0563151732 | 12614.2045833333 | 0.996896493322154 | 1.00921297542715 |
35 | 12910.7 | 12649.7092601309 | 12821.1983333333 | 0.986624567474588 | 1.02063215323784 |
36 | 13202.12 | 13100.0320574146 | 13071.2875 | 1.00219906091229 | 1.00779295364607 |
37 | 13654.67 | 13395.5373640155 | 13317.2725 | 1.00587694394746 | 1.01934469883087 |
38 | 13862.82 | 13687.7624111328 | 13476.7570833333 | 1.01565698086674 | 1.01278935034150 |
39 | 13523.93 | 13731.8463816502 | 13571.1579166667 | 1.01184043881666 | 0.984858818262926 |
40 | 14211.17 | 14115.3979616302 | 13661.1866666667 | 1.03324830456141 | 1.00678493363277 |
41 | 14510.35 | 14118.6921150528 | 13702.92375 | 1.03034158057347 | 1.02774038004056 |
42 | 14289.23 | 13727.0735286052 | 13689.1620833333 | 1.00276944965960 | 1.04095239019615 |
43 | 14111.82 | 13227.0398808257 | 13613.8325 | 0.97158826368884 | 1.06689177073223 |
44 | 13086.59 | 12964.0837471976 | 13461.1704166667 | 0.963072552082573 | 1.00944966533627 |
45 | 13351.54 | 13026.4531303196 | 13293.8541666667 | 0.979885364094217 | 1.02495590061455 |
46 | 13747.69 | 13089.2796180941 | 13130.02875 | 0.996896493322154 | 1.05030149871623 |
47 | 12855.61 | 12768.2571350358 | 12941.3533333333 | 0.986624567474588 | 1.00684140866215 |
48 | 12926.93 | 12738.6436694620 | 12710.6920833333 | 1.00219906091229 | 1.01478072041448 |
49 | 12121.95 | 12478.8200950334 | 12405.91125 | 1.00587694394746 | 0.971401936055205 |
50 | 11731.65 | 12276.9496933860 | 12087.6929166667 | 1.01565698086674 | 0.955583454603571 |
51 | 11639.51 | 11918.9866754461 | 11779.5120833333 | 1.01184043881666 | 0.976551976853716 |
52 | 12163.78 | 11712.3177036557 | 11335.43375 | 1.03324830456141 | 1.03854594007499 |
53 | 12029.53 | 11129.7154086353 | 10801.9666666667 | 1.03034158057347 | 1.08084794249694 |
54 | 11234.18 | 10290.8880514833 | 10262.4666666667 | 1.00276944965960 | 1.09166283257553 |
55 | 9852.13 | NA | NA | 0.97158826368884 | NA |
56 | 9709.04 | NA | NA | 0.963072552082573 | NA |
57 | 9332.75 | NA | NA | 0.979885364094217 | NA |
58 | 7108.6 | NA | NA | 0.996896493322154 | NA |
59 | 6691.49 | NA | NA | 0.986624567474588 | NA |
60 | 6143.05 | NA | NA | 1.00219906091229 | NA |