| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 126.51 | NA | NA | 0.969637405271937 | NA |
| 2 | 131.02 | NA | NA | 1.0060251944183 | NA |
| 3 | 136.51 | NA | NA | 1.03540392750211 | NA |
| 4 | 138.04 | NA | NA | 1.04900960884383 | NA |
| 5 | 132.92 | NA | NA | 1.01866562184587 | NA |
| 6 | 129.61 | NA | NA | 0.98277443952445 | NA |
| 7 | 122.96 | 120.961555636422 | 126.079166666667 | 0.959409542706017 | 1.01652131830699 |
| 8 | 124.04 | 122.888334516291 | 125.195416666667 | 0.98157215166656 | 1.00937164205408 |
| 9 | 121.29 | 122.341431798437 | 124.523333333333 | 0.982477970381214 | 0.991405758597227 |
| 10 | 124.56 | 127.708142921957 | 123.934583333333 | 1.03044799512074 | 0.97534892568377 |
| 11 | 118.53 | 123.394273764207 | 123.490833333333 | 0.999218083103665 | 0.96057942061799 |
| 12 | 113.14 | 121.472067628367 | 123.277083333333 | 0.985358059615301 | 0.931407542564778 |
| 13 | 114.15 | 119.636691171550 | 123.382916666667 | 0.969637405271937 | 0.954138725186885 |
| 14 | 122.17 | 124.879164914637 | 124.13125 | 1.0060251944183 | 0.97830570923109 |
| 15 | 129.23 | 129.963469561762 | 125.519583333333 | 1.03540392750211 | 0.994356340560655 |
| 16 | 131.19 | 133.485161463367 | 127.24875 | 1.04900960884383 | 0.982805868171371 |
| 17 | 129.12 | 131.274165355250 | 128.86875 | 1.01866562184587 | 0.983590332877602 |
| 18 | 128.28 | 128.094820447617 | 130.34 | 0.98277443952445 | 1.00144564434172 |
| 19 | 126.83 | 126.258695574088 | 131.600416666667 | 0.959409542706017 | 1.00452487191725 |
| 20 | 138.13 | 129.926206843741 | 132.365416666667 | 0.98157215166656 | 1.06314194307332 |
| 21 | 140.52 | 130.489449099465 | 132.816666666667 | 0.982477970381214 | 1.0768686738258 |
| 22 | 146.83 | 137.272417730003 | 133.21625 | 1.03044799512074 | 1.06962492850382 |
| 23 | 135.14 | 133.515520264312 | 133.62 | 0.999218083103665 | 1.01216697304158 |
| 24 | 131.84 | 131.843371771676 | 133.8025 | 0.985358059615301 | 0.999974425929563 |
| 25 | 125.7 | 129.518104362442 | 133.57375 | 0.969637405271937 | 0.970520689897083 |
| 26 | 128.98 | 133.387203819265 | 132.588333333333 | 1.0060251944183 | 0.966959320736367 |
| 27 | 133.25 | 135.585281469796 | 130.949166666667 | 1.03540392750211 | 0.982776290726542 |
| 28 | 136.76 | 135.508438746424 | 129.1775 | 1.04900960884383 | 1.00923603921020 |
| 29 | 133.24 | 130.343784087298 | 127.955416666667 | 1.01866562184587 | 1.02221982377589 |
| 30 | 128.54 | 125.198911765818 | 127.393333333333 | 0.98277443952445 | 1.02668624021614 |
| 31 | 121.08 | 121.860602328733 | 127.01625 | 0.959409542706017 | 0.993594301079955 |
| 32 | 120.23 | 124.293209658364 | 126.626666666667 | 0.98157215166656 | 0.967309479982596 |
| 33 | 119.08 | 123.903162405522 | 126.112916666667 | 0.982477970381214 | 0.961073129112427 |
| 34 | 125.75 | 129.349131354187 | 125.527083333333 | 1.03044799512074 | 0.972175063593341 |
| 35 | 126.89 | 124.898929661014 | 124.996666666667 | 0.999218083103665 | 1.01594145237585 |
| 36 | 126.6 | 122.808870062579 | 124.63375 | 0.985358059615301 | 1.03087016382033 |
| 37 | 121.89 | 120.635013683395 | 124.4125 | 0.969637405271937 | 1.01040316802134 |
| 38 | 123.44 | 125.064441221275 | 124.315416666667 | 1.0060251944183 | 0.987011166360218 |
| 39 | 126.46 | 128.868098490126 | 124.461666666667 | 1.03540392750211 | 0.981313463003334 |
| 40 | 129.49 | 130.995074904374 | 124.875 | 1.04900960884383 | 0.988510446629596 |
| 41 | 127.78 | 127.714353450908 | 125.374166666667 | 1.01866562184587 | 1.00051401073817 |
| 42 | 125.29 | 123.798048700146 | 125.967916666667 | 0.98277443952445 | 1.01205149285889 |
| 43 | 119.02 | 121.783449811341 | 126.935833333333 | 0.959409542706017 | 0.977308494580984 |
| 44 | 119.96 | 125.991738469144 | 128.357083333333 | 0.98157215166656 | 0.952125920775186 |
| 45 | 122.86 | 127.633303766402 | 129.909583333333 | 0.982477970381214 | 0.962601424349724 |
| 46 | 131.89 | 135.299539172678 | 131.301666666667 | 1.03044799512074 | 0.97480006810425 |
| 47 | 132.73 | 132.298555907265 | 132.402083333333 | 0.999218083103665 | 1.00326113984976 |
| 48 | 135.01 | 131.116259636852 | 133.064583333333 | 0.985358059615301 | 1.02969685357051 |
| 49 | 136.71 | 129.351649941204 | 133.402083333333 | 0.969637405271937 | 1.05688640277987 |
| 50 | 142.73 | 134.692521509023 | 133.885833333333 | 1.0060251944183 | 1.05967278955750 |
| 51 | 144.43 | 139.748036676657 | 134.969583333333 | 1.03540392750211 | 1.03350289159465 |
| 52 | 144.93 | 143.296898004753 | 136.602083333333 | 1.04900960884383 | 1.01139663187401 |
| 53 | 138.75 | 140.773646722972 | 138.194166666667 | 1.01866562184587 | 0.985624818493518 |
| 54 | 130.22 | 136.819400534495 | 139.2175 | 0.98277443952445 | 0.951765608468433 |
| 55 | 122.19 | NA | NA | 0.959409542706017 | NA |
| 56 | 128.4 | NA | NA | 0.98157215166656 | NA |
| 57 | 140.43 | NA | NA | 0.982477970381214 | NA |
| 58 | 153.5 | NA | NA | 1.03044799512074 | NA |
| 59 | 149.33 | NA | NA | 0.999218083103665 | NA |
| 60 | 142.97 | NA | NA | 0.985358059615301 | NA |
