| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 6802.96 | 6802.96 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 7132.68 | 7115.77563241975 | 21.5403700970263 | 16.9043675802509 | 0.44932039843554 |
| 3 | 7073.29 | 7056.5241675713 | 15.0618853433054 | 16.7658324286956 | -0.187157310312754 |
| 4 | 7264.5 | 7247.46592070621 | 34.5037055181225 | 17.0340792937899 | 0.400585664535751 |
| 5 | 7105.33 | 7088.55141182042 | 8.60186963447032 | 16.7785881795752 | -0.434618377625661 |
| 6 | 7218.71 | 7201.81405160398 | 24.4157005239324 | 16.8959483960158 | 0.232785747773486 |
| 7 | 7225.72 | 7208.84036689836 | 21.5761459462609 | 16.879633101641 | -0.0383911627018807 |
| 8 | 7354.25 | 7337.28731741045 | 39.9300347164757 | 16.9626825895496 | 0.234708154437045 |
| 9 | 7745.46 | 7728.2729314206 | 102.238363758226 | 17.1870685793982 | 0.768187935665514 |
| 10 | 8070.26 | 8052.95653538964 | 142.580095167837 | 17.3034646103613 | 0.485552554967699 |
| 11 | 8366.33 | 8348.96102145352 | 170.800360654781 | 17.3689785464834 | 0.334330505643150 |
| 12 | 8667.51 | 8650.09569932421 | 194.996648391566 | 17.4143006757929 | 0.283691475180607 |
| 13 | 8854.34 | 8986.2839086275 | 219.973027741281 | -131.943908627501 | 0.359635051844466 |
| 14 | 9218.1 | 9206.1084578784 | 219.945816682235 | 11.9915421216060 | -0.000272798080751261 |
| 15 | 9332.9 | 9320.84782803717 | 200.163002948292 | 12.0521719628253 | -0.228425201984916 |
| 16 | 9358.31 | 9346.17604535292 | 167.236354640652 | 12.1339546470779 | -0.379580573024516 |
| 17 | 9248.66 | 9236.42090370243 | 115.016374376586 | 12.2390962975663 | -0.601357869219266 |
| 18 | 9401.2 | 9388.97246353382 | 122.097643836741 | 12.2275364661838 | 0.0814900739143552 |
| 19 | 9652.04 | 9639.84463716831 | 146.403233070117 | 12.1953628316859 | 0.279576471329508 |
| 20 | 9957.38 | 9945.21685584504 | 176.417407958718 | 12.1631441549546 | 0.345135700576902 |
| 21 | 10110.63 | 10098.4630465251 | 172.041616032482 | 12.1669534749371 | -0.0503076431132427 |
| 22 | 10169.26 | 10157.0779212804 | 150.618258985056 | 12.1820787195792 | -0.246268095762417 |
| 23 | 10343.78 | 10331.6005067622 | 155.133624593544 | 12.1794932377652 | 0.0519010639206832 |
| 24 | 10750.21 | 10738.0525543023 | 202.609346611612 | 12.1574456977001 | 0.54567039270012 |
| 25 | 11337.5 | 11382.6139947891 | 284.885344435431 | -45.1139947891237 | 1.04140885574006 |
| 26 | 11786.96 | 11781.2103252723 | 305.924230335852 | 5.74967472768438 | 0.223580283598754 |
| 27 | 12083.04 | 12077.2857953009 | 304.062622388883 | 5.7542046990833 | -0.0213735503522545 |
| 28 | 12007.74 | 12001.8441075777 | 232.344077608046 | 5.89589242226916 | -0.823691780188378 |
| 29 | 11745.93 | 11739.8844309555 | 138.942546862464 | 6.04556904451604 | -1.07295750145121 |
| 30 | 11051.51 | 11045.2597145929 | -18.5534296086276 | 6.25028540714393 | -1.80950861620265 |
| 31 | 11445.9 | 11439.7319852051 | 59.4815146922311 | 6.16801479493144 | 0.896647080864921 |
| 32 | 11924.88 | 11918.7797689900 | 138.750751010964 | 6.10023101003502 | 0.91088637295186 |
| 33 | 12247.63 | 12241.5538822784 | 173.518322073997 | 6.076117721643 | 0.399532138145045 |
| 34 | 12690.91 | 12684.8625549436 | 224.489896123933 | 6.04744505639516 | 0.585756541844059 |
| 35 | 12910.7 | 12904.6521497850 | 223.601863058376 | 6.047850215031 | -0.0102053042766483 |
| 36 | 13202.12 | 13196.0768914709 | 236.415788262714 | 6.04310852908574 | 0.147259758283031 |
| 37 | 13654.67 | 13687.6172392769 | 284.183214630968 | -32.9472392769434 | 0.585523185737997 |
| 38 | 13862.82 | 13861.0096038404 | 263.577959410468 | 1.81039615962577 | -0.224104445005227 |
| 39 | 13523.93 | 13521.9109588416 | 149.667940807775 | 2.01904115836383 | -1.30809171207160 |
| 40 | 14211.17 | 14209.3019416875 | 251.283889260531 | 1.86805831250890 | 1.16722051432893 |
| 41 | 14510.35 | 14508.4928513925 | 260.33616598997 | 1.85714860747044 | 0.103997847996357 |
| 42 | 14289.23 | 14287.2839104520 | 169.351155986596 | 1.94608954802054 | -1.04540852861792 |
| 43 | 14111.82 | 14109.8219569976 | 103.825062483787 | 1.99804300243684 | -0.75294479695948 |
| 44 | 13086.59 | 13084.4547606289 | -109.518582329184 | 2.13523937110385 | -2.45160251972505 |
| 45 | 13351.54 | 13349.4416659797 | -38.7619240925203 | 2.09833402034564 | 0.81311467280819 |
| 46 | 13747.69 | 13745.6264294931 | 43.4140599160744 | 2.06357050690771 | 0.944362420580778 |
| 47 | 12855.61 | 12853.4857819718 | -133.3439705084 | 2.12421802815459 | -2.03132331885016 |
| 48 | 12926.93 | 12924.8165432518 | -94.6738157006432 | 2.11345674821098 | 0.444405919288936 |
| 49 | 12121.95 | 12206.1650627209 | -211.779732513143 | -84.215062720917 | -1.41287088696063 |
| 50 | 11731.65 | 11726.2662482176 | -261.808808565566 | 5.3837517823917 | -0.550929871409648 |
| 51 | 11639.51 | 11634.1729791624 | -229.733647282277 | 5.33702083757955 | 0.368394716670721 |
| 52 | 12163.78 | 12158.6113803851 | -87.2193582425677 | 5.16861961493199 | 1.63717218769508 |
| 53 | 12029.53 | 12024.3528615403 | -96.1075213887502 | 5.17713845970975 | -0.102119361652775 |
| 54 | 11234.18 | 11228.9001394462 | -228.244232118209 | 5.27986055382809 | -1.51830533203426 |
| 55 | 9852.13 | 9846.71266864719 | -446.268627516585 | 5.41733135281309 | -2.50534035565272 |
| 56 | 9709.04 | 9703.65196554225 | -388.981685709453 | 5.38803445775575 | 0.65831597897221 |
| 57 | 9332.75 | 9327.36296023724 | -386.583591275167 | 5.38703976276094 | 0.0275585458283186 |
| 58 | 7108.6 | 7103.09615486353 | -733.786521822718 | 5.50384513647265 | -3.99007266202074 |
| 59 | 6691.49 | 6686.00248109009 | -673.951997646962 | 5.4875189099058 | 0.687628923348309 |
| 60 | 6143.05 | 6137.56772923764 | -650.237258773505 | 5.48227076236093 | 0.272535980107564 |
