| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 18 | 18.1108869988334 | -0.051231097300266 | -0.0512310975556439 | -0.200626530440003 |
| 3 | 19 | 18.9004944082692 | -0.0398278045332988 | -0.0398278045332993 | 0.305317779906727 |
| 4 | 19 | 19.0130083739769 | -0.0387673174784865 | -0.0387673174784865 | 0.0558017298893943 |
| 5 | 22 | 21.5816274608516 | -0.0231613156477001 | -0.0231613156477002 | 0.955488215616181 |
| 6 | 23 | 22.8048158117019 | -0.0159126167790224 | -0.0159126167790226 | 0.456747429571069 |
| 7 | 20 | 20.4291933373491 | -0.0295117081831036 | -0.0295117081831038 | -0.864754732546442 |
| 8 | 14 | 14.9787506804773 | -0.0605586504685541 | -0.0605586504685542 | -1.98657023864225 |
| 9 | 14 | 14.1883374202623 | -0.0647146027942089 | -0.0647146027942088 | -0.267461831052249 |
| 10 | 14 | 14.0734899979576 | -0.0649984508668466 | -0.0649984508668466 | -0.0183714315332262 |
| 11 | 15 | 14.9076372112654 | -0.0599362284161829 | -0.059936228416183 | 0.329493139930105 |
| 12 | 11 | 11.6240202077550 | -0.0779840534106643 | -0.0779840534106638 | -1.18130993359118 |
| 13 | 17 | 14.1818883581347 | -0.215206807423069 | 2.36727488408787 | 1.18240948626271 |
| 14 | 16 | 15.9234675080638 | -0.163118067413767 | -0.163118068548667 | 0.6029756395653 |
| 15 | 20 | 19.5104961529234 | -0.139743618970718 | -0.139743618970719 | 1.36721031481802 |
| 16 | 24 | 23.4378945844903 | -0.126594440155188 | -0.126594440155188 | 1.48864076745306 |
| 17 | 23 | 23.1537340304521 | -0.127034667374350 | -0.127034667374350 | -0.0576835873659201 |
| 18 | 20 | 20.5529785008708 | -0.133773463631006 | -0.133773463631006 | -0.905625815193748 |
| 19 | 21 | 21.0288148620954 | -0.132122767105274 | -0.132122767105273 | 0.223177467762196 |
| 20 | 19 | 19.3912991965062 | -0.136186099490365 | -0.136186099490366 | -0.551121555475307 |
| 21 | 23 | 22.5661621676204 | -0.127273647106577 | -0.127273647106577 | 1.21216611578203 |
| 22 | 23 | 23.0261721454294 | -0.125697097346314 | -0.125697097346314 | 0.215002437889736 |
| 23 | 23 | 23.0926204103863 | -0.125182669142621 | -0.125182669142621 | 0.0703435644992861 |
| 24 | 23 | 23.1020166422713 | -0.124823324997941 | -0.124823324997940 | 0.0492686224335875 |
| 25 | 27 | 24.813743856618 | -0.170324774837437 | 1.87357252721930 | 0.747681575636689 |
| 26 | 26 | 25.9640351458097 | -0.147401698739636 | -0.147401702017821 | 0.434638135554451 |
| 27 | 17 | 18.4225733035037 | -0.177377590719308 | -0.177377590719307 | -2.69880043671563 |
| 28 | 24 | 23.3088895353951 | -0.166710614046131 | -0.166710614046129 | 1.85296511339913 |
| 29 | 26 | 25.7243704807678 | -0.162004721025879 | -0.162004721025879 | 0.945031693393256 |
| 30 | 24 | 24.3667736706542 | -0.164131260759238 | -0.164131260759239 | -0.437569293181091 |
| 31 | 27 | 26.7311014851556 | -0.159656812215594 | -0.159656812215593 | 0.925380102187874 |
| 32 | 27 | 27.0736498418047 | -0.158770088205344 | -0.158770088205345 | 0.183799821206169 |
| 33 | 26 | 26.2693249146466 | -0.159907830926560 | -0.159907830926559 | -0.23626349252131 |
| 34 | 24 | 24.4449516761456 | -0.162836137744504 | -0.162836137744503 | -0.609169023074157 |
| 35 | 23 | 23.326487029547 | -0.164514427257566 | -0.164514427257565 | -0.349745143263629 |
| 36 | 23 | 23.1641427901844 | -0.164510622622709 | -0.164510622622707 | 0.000794254146383672 |
| 37 | 24 | 22.3996663722857 | -0.154757675496872 | 1.70233443029569 | -0.235995945432381 |
| 38 | 17 | 17.8555214912224 | -0.211281772688481 | -0.211281774705440 | -1.48747864115771 |
| 39 | 21 | 20.6885603225443 | -0.202136810370800 | -0.202136810370798 | 1.11177867158714 |
| 40 | 19 | 19.3896836800057 | -0.203850179065471 | -0.203850179065470 | -0.401286596692104 |
| 41 | 22 | 21.7634623739253 | -0.200364583841613 | -0.200364583841614 | 0.943223462991855 |
| 42 | 22 | 22.1073863965383 | -0.199645920035348 | -0.199645920035348 | 0.199171826098259 |
| 43 | 18 | 18.7406488578405 | -0.203808368649554 | -0.203808368649553 | -1.15893662772088 |
| 44 | 16 | 16.5441890055514 | -0.206422580280858 | -0.206422580280858 | -0.729172455501753 |
| 45 | 14 | 14.5173749489054 | -0.208807504442529 | -0.208807504442529 | -0.666136864396173 |
| 46 | 12 | 12.5151493740287 | -0.211153992432317 | -0.211153992432317 | -0.656266102712891 |
| 47 | 14 | 13.9329137669097 | -0.209025521960652 | -0.209025521960652 | 0.596070339424432 |
| 48 | 16 | 15.8464655201049 | -0.206255618643653 | -0.206255618643651 | 0.776714571134126 |
| 49 | 8 | 8.03514433471271 | -0.114262851701417 | 1.25689137184811 | -2.93909960858519 |
| 50 | 3 | 3.78323541200469 | -0.156613578762039 | -0.156613583824149 | -1.42555589150619 |
| 51 | 0 | 0.663991842963106 | -0.163682187017350 | -0.163682187017348 | -1.08229674760542 |
| 52 | 5 | 4.48370083080553 | -0.158736990329350 | -0.158736990329348 | 1.45738813912598 |
| 53 | 1 | 1.62013270355226 | -0.161644462252316 | -0.161644462252317 | -0.98968450708988 |
| 54 | 1 | 1.20489755816989 | -0.161910699284411 | -0.161910699284411 | -0.0927883578614771 |
| 55 | 3 | 2.85316816971688 | -0.160018502727007 | -0.160018502727007 | 0.662342510925763 |
| 56 | 6 | 5.65487429964198 | -0.156927305944377 | -0.156927305944378 | 1.08369020628696 |
| 57 | 7 | 6.91520497503423 | -0.155449737473623 | -0.155449737473623 | 0.518572207386821 |
| 58 | 8 | 7.95209064425682 | -0.154207970164030 | -0.15420797016403 | 0.436273277376316 |
| 59 | 14 | 13.2280670938837 | -0.148558552781648 | -0.148558552781648 | 1.98689353198937 |
| 60 | 14 | 13.9927947018899 | -0.147609382190291 | -0.147609382190292 | 0.334169445813131 |
| 61 | 13 | 11.9099693457891 | -0.128970020093468 | 1.41867022554141 | -0.739898804466961 |
