Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 126.51 | 123.838897343835 | -4.5918005989784 | 133.772903255143 | -2.67110265616452 |
2 | 131.02 | 129.308688077918 | 0.138482229739662 | 132.592829692342 | -1.71131192208190 |
3 | 136.51 | 137.106477613466 | 4.50076625699235 | 131.412756129542 | 0.596477613466021 |
4 | 138.04 | 139.349404832538 | 6.49900336878182 | 130.231591798680 | 1.30940483253787 |
5 | 132.92 | 134.118331551022 | 2.67124098115847 | 129.050427467819 | 1.19833155102251 |
6 | 129.61 | 132.826406712296 | -1.52509748305060 | 127.918690770755 | 3.21640671229549 |
7 | 122.96 | 126.852482426437 | -7.71943650012788 | 126.786954073691 | 3.89248242643669 |
8 | 124.04 | 126.555044457224 | -4.20978257221519 | 125.734738114991 | 2.51504445722391 |
9 | 121.29 | 119.649607995001 | -1.75213015129263 | 124.682522156291 | -1.64039200499874 |
10 | 124.56 | 119.536471808628 | 5.72707326460173 | 123.856454926770 | -5.02352819137209 |
11 | 118.53 | 112.475333553246 | 1.55427874950482 | 123.030387697249 | -6.05466644675418 |
12 | 113.14 | 104.515928357071 | -1.29259843532114 | 123.056670078250 | -8.6240716429291 |
13 | 114.15 | 109.808848139727 | -4.5918005989784 | 123.082952459251 | -4.34115186027273 |
14 | 122.17 | 120.027299803603 | 0.138482229739662 | 124.174217966657 | -2.14270019639709 |
15 | 129.23 | 128.693750268944 | 4.50076625699235 | 125.265483474064 | -0.53624973105606 |
16 | 131.19 | 128.836560171072 | 6.49900336878182 | 127.044436460146 | -2.35343982892822 |
17 | 129.12 | 126.745369572612 | 2.67124098115847 | 128.823389446229 | -2.37463042738753 |
18 | 128.28 | 127.735098199716 | -1.52509748305060 | 130.349999283335 | -0.544901800283981 |
19 | 126.83 | 129.502827379688 | -7.71943650012788 | 131.87660912044 | 2.67282737968785 |
20 | 138.13 | 147.790655660336 | -4.20978257221519 | 132.679126911879 | 9.66065566033603 |
21 | 140.52 | 149.310485447974 | -1.75213015129263 | 133.481644703318 | 8.7904854479743 |
22 | 146.83 | 154.249919723817 | 5.72707326460173 | 133.683007011582 | 7.41991972381663 |
23 | 135.14 | 134.841351930650 | 1.55427874950482 | 133.884369319845 | -0.298648069349781 |
24 | 131.84 | 131.520839315356 | -1.29259843532114 | 133.451759119965 | -0.319160684643975 |
25 | 125.7 | 122.972651678893 | -4.5918005989784 | 133.019148920085 | -2.72734832110692 |
26 | 128.98 | 125.930956946743 | 0.138482229739662 | 131.890560823517 | -3.04904305325715 |
27 | 133.25 | 131.237261016058 | 4.50076625699235 | 130.761972726950 | -2.01273898394203 |
28 | 136.76 | 137.452193261748 | 6.49900336878182 | 129.56880336947 | 0.692193261748059 |
29 | 133.24 | 135.433125006851 | 2.67124098115847 | 128.375634011991 | 2.19312500685101 |
30 | 128.54 | 130.943318536748 | -1.52509748305060 | 127.661778946303 | 2.40331853674766 |
31 | 121.08 | 122.931512619513 | -7.71943650012788 | 126.947923880615 | 1.85151261951258 |
32 | 120.23 | 118.241497062424 | -4.20978257221519 | 126.428285509791 | -1.98850293757611 |
33 | 119.08 | 114.003483012325 | -1.75213015129263 | 125.908647138967 | -5.07651698767468 |
34 | 125.75 | 120.360273353769 | 5.72707326460173 | 125.412653381629 | -5.38972664623063 |
35 | 126.89 | 127.309061626205 | 1.55427874950482 | 124.916659624291 | 0.41906162620468 |
36 | 126.6 | 129.815414265316 | -1.29259843532114 | 124.677184170005 | 3.21541426531593 |
37 | 121.89 | 123.934091883258 | -4.5918005989784 | 124.43770871572 | 2.04409188325849 |
38 | 123.44 | 122.212452207483 | 0.138482229739662 | 124.529065562777 | -1.22754779251665 |
39 | 126.46 | 123.798811333174 | 4.50076625699235 | 124.620422409834 | -2.66118866682640 |
40 | 129.49 | 127.523697040720 | 6.49900336878182 | 124.957299590498 | -1.96630295928028 |
41 | 127.78 | 127.594582247679 | 2.67124098115847 | 125.294176771163 | -0.185417752321342 |
42 | 125.29 | 126.037330163208 | -1.52509748305060 | 126.067767319843 | 0.747330163207522 |
43 | 119.02 | 118.918078631605 | -7.71943650012788 | 126.841357868523 | -0.101921368395423 |
44 | 119.96 | 115.959921852565 | -4.20978257221519 | 128.16986071965 | -4.00007814743475 |
45 | 122.86 | 117.973766580516 | -1.75213015129263 | 129.498363570777 | -4.88623341948391 |
46 | 131.89 | 127.206573948357 | 5.72707326460173 | 130.846352787041 | -4.68342605164267 |
47 | 132.73 | 131.711379247190 | 1.55427874950482 | 132.194342003305 | -1.01862075281016 |
48 | 135.01 | 138.194081434020 | -1.29259843532114 | 133.118517001301 | 3.1840814340203 |
49 | 136.71 | 143.969108599682 | -4.5918005989784 | 134.042691999296 | 7.2591085996821 |
50 | 142.73 | 150.442934668644 | 0.138482229739662 | 134.878583101616 | 7.71293466864418 |
51 | 144.43 | 148.644759539072 | 4.50076625699235 | 135.714474203936 | 4.21475953907168 |
52 | 144.93 | 146.713340993749 | 6.49900336878182 | 136.647655637469 | 1.78334099374891 |
53 | 138.75 | 137.247921947839 | 2.67124098115847 | 137.580837071003 | -1.50207805216104 |
54 | 130.22 | 123.495875217497 | -1.52509748305060 | 138.469222265553 | -6.7241247825028 |
55 | 122.19 | 112.741829040024 | -7.71943650012788 | 139.357607460104 | -9.44817095997632 |
56 | 128.4 | 120.846209507489 | -4.20978257221519 | 140.163573064726 | -7.55379049251053 |
57 | 140.43 | 141.642591481945 | -1.75213015129263 | 140.969538669347 | 1.21259148194540 |
58 | 153.5 | 159.469716500382 | 5.72707326460173 | 141.803210235016 | 5.96971650038182 |
59 | 149.33 | 154.468839449810 | 1.55427874950482 | 142.636881800686 | 5.13883944980952 |
60 | 142.97 | 143.699372329758 | -1.29259843532114 | 143.533226105563 | 0.72937232975849 |