Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 96.2 | 92.559819846806 | 3.81370339868395 | 96.02647675451 | -3.64018015319395 |
2 | 96.8 | 97.317588675506 | 0.0225964018762014 | 96.2598149226177 | 0.517588675506076 |
3 | 109.9 | 119.135349635963 | 4.17149727331134 | 96.4931530907255 | 9.23534963596322 |
4 | 88 | 83.8838077382227 | -4.61089558727729 | 96.7270878490546 | -4.11619226177726 |
5 | 91.1 | 85.7722488623285 | -0.533271469712193 | 96.9610226073837 | -5.32775113767147 |
6 | 106.4 | 107.831327205900 | 7.79038023393143 | 97.1782925601688 | 1.43132720589973 |
7 | 68.6 | 70.0504047652602 | -30.2459672782143 | 97.395562512954 | 1.45040476526025 |
8 | 100.1 | 100.556478948875 | 2.06237285303238 | 97.5811481980924 | 0.456478948875258 |
9 | 108 | 110.742558282137 | 7.49070783463211 | 97.7667338832307 | 2.74255828213720 |
10 | 106 | 102.124610665935 | 11.9071979610675 | 97.9681913729971 | -3.87538933406455 |
11 | 108.6 | 109.526662683769 | 9.50368845346741 | 98.1696488627635 | 0.926662683769067 |
12 | 91.5 | 95.891286046733 | -11.3720131068538 | 98.4807270601207 | 4.39128604673309 |
13 | 99.2 | 95.7944913438381 | 3.81370339868395 | 98.791805257478 | -3.40550865616191 |
14 | 98 | 96.9709888768945 | 0.0225964018762014 | 99.0064147212293 | -1.02901112310549 |
15 | 96.6 | 89.807478541708 | 4.17149727331134 | 99.2210241849806 | -6.79252145829196 |
16 | 102.8 | 110.755234203344 | -4.61089558727729 | 99.455661383933 | 7.9552342033442 |
17 | 96.9 | 94.6429728868267 | -0.533271469712193 | 99.6902985828855 | -2.25702711317335 |
18 | 110 | 112.125581015863 | 7.79038023393143 | 100.084038750205 | 2.12558101586323 |
19 | 70.5 | 70.7681883606891 | -30.2459672782143 | 100.477778917525 | 0.268188360689123 |
20 | 101.9 | 100.729882505961 | 2.06237285303238 | 101.007744641007 | -1.17011749403942 |
21 | 109.6 | 110.171581800879 | 7.49070783463211 | 101.537710364489 | 0.571581800878931 |
22 | 107.8 | 101.782527928043 | 11.9071979610675 | 101.910274110890 | -6.01747207195733 |
23 | 113 | 114.213473689242 | 9.50368845346741 | 102.282837857291 | 1.21347368924178 |
24 | 93.8 | 96.3590885740705 | -11.3720131068538 | 102.612924532783 | 2.55908857407047 |
25 | 108 | 109.243285393040 | 3.81370339868395 | 102.943011208276 | 1.24328539304020 |
26 | 102.8 | 102.225460673629 | 0.0225964018762014 | 103.351942924495 | -0.574539326371308 |
27 | 116.3 | 124.667628085974 | 4.17149727331134 | 103.760874640714 | 8.36762808597432 |
28 | 89.2 | 78.798287348324 | -4.61089558727729 | 104.212608238953 | -10.401712651676 |
29 | 106.7 | 109.26892963252 | -0.533271469712193 | 104.664341837192 | 2.56892963251995 |
30 | 112.1 | 111.278675413642 | 7.79038023393143 | 105.130944352427 | -0.82132458635796 |
31 | 74.2 | 73.0484204105535 | -30.2459672782143 | 105.597546867661 | -1.15157958944654 |
32 | 108.8 | 109.365621310681 | 2.06237285303238 | 106.172005836287 | 0.565621310680555 |
33 | 111.5 | 108.762827360455 | 7.49070783463211 | 106.746464804913 | -2.73717263954541 |
34 | 118.8 | 118.336084142364 | 11.9071979610675 | 107.356717896569 | -0.463915857636295 |
35 | 118.9 | 120.329340558308 | 9.50368845346741 | 107.966970988224 | 1.42934055830821 |
36 | 97.6 | 98.0545756080478 | -11.3720131068538 | 108.517437498806 | 0.454575608047847 |
37 | 116.4 | 119.918392591929 | 3.81370339868395 | 109.067904009388 | 3.51839259192852 |
38 | 107.9 | 106.227061402858 | 0.0225964018762014 | 109.550342195266 | -1.67293859714249 |
39 | 121.2 | 128.195722345544 | 4.17149727331134 | 110.032780381145 | 6.99572234554364 |
40 | 97.9 | 89.963413273969 | -4.61089558727729 | 110.447482313308 | -7.93658672603107 |
41 | 113.4 | 116.471087224240 | -0.533271469712193 | 110.862184245472 | 3.07108722424049 |
42 | 117.6 | 116.239118192515 | 7.79038023393143 | 111.170501573554 | -1.36088180748516 |
43 | 79.6 | 77.9671483765785 | -30.2459672782143 | 111.478818901636 | -1.63285162342147 |
44 | 115.9 | 117.991601427777 | 2.06237285303238 | 111.746025719191 | 2.09160142777709 |
45 | 115.7 | 111.896059628623 | 7.49070783463211 | 112.013232536745 | -3.80394037137745 |
46 | 129.1 | 133.807190904825 | 11.9071979610675 | 112.485611134108 | 4.70719090482467 |
47 | 123.3 | 124.138321815062 | 9.50368845346741 | 112.957989731470 | 0.838321815062187 |
48 | 96.7 | 91.3409910802392 | -11.3720131068538 | 113.431022026615 | -5.35900891976084 |
49 | 121.2 | 124.682242279557 | 3.81370339868395 | 113.904054321759 | 3.48224227955716 |
50 | 118.2 | 122.139094739535 | 0.0225964018762014 | 114.238308858589 | 3.93909473953507 |
51 | 102.1 | 85.45593933127 | 4.17149727331134 | 114.572563395419 | -16.6440606687299 |
52 | 125.4 | 140.835522188245 | -4.61089558727729 | 114.575373399033 | 15.4355221882445 |
53 | 116.7 | 119.355088067065 | -0.533271469712193 | 114.578183402647 | 2.65508806706524 |
54 | 121.3 | 120.301373522612 | 7.79038023393143 | 114.508246243456 | -0.99862647738783 |
55 | 85.3 | 86.4076581939484 | -30.2459672782143 | 114.438309084266 | 1.10765819394841 |
56 | 114.2 | 111.996875457613 | 2.06237285303238 | 114.340751689355 | -2.203124542387 |
57 | 124.4 | 127.066097870925 | 7.49070783463211 | 114.243194294443 | 2.66609787092452 |
58 | 131 | 135.983964469975 | 11.9071979610675 | 114.108837568958 | 4.98396446997469 |
59 | 118.3 | 113.121830703060 | 9.50368845346741 | 113.974480843472 | -5.17816929693974 |
60 | 99.6 | 96.7720593535716 | -11.3720131068538 | 113.799953753282 | -2.82794064642842 |