Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2.05 | 1.88230216820302 | 0.169367043985608 | 2.04833078781137 | -0.167697831796979 |
2 | 2.11 | 2.0292980805392 | 0.136321978219099 | 2.0543799412417 | -0.0807019194607996 |
3 | 2.09 | 2.07229393667369 | 0.047276968654283 | 2.06042909467203 | -0.0177060633263122 |
4 | 2.05 | 2.06353807359849 | -0.027541235391977 | 2.06400316179349 | 0.0135380735984914 |
5 | 2.08 | 2.17878223404962 | -0.086359462964564 | 2.06757722891494 | 0.0987822340496223 |
6 | 2.06 | 2.22237466109754 | -0.172827629120262 | 2.07045296802272 | 0.162374661097538 |
7 | 2.06 | 2.16996712996999 | -0.123295837100501 | 2.07332870713051 | 0.109967129969994 |
8 | 2.08 | 2.18663791610629 | -0.103655302582279 | 2.07701738647599 | 0.106637916106287 |
9 | 2.07 | 2.15730878327765 | -0.0980148490991238 | 2.08070606582148 | 0.0873087832776474 |
10 | 2.06 | 2.03689176925960 | -0.000994051684549588 | 2.08410228242495 | -0.0231082307404038 |
11 | 2.07 | 1.9844746885837 | 0.0680268123878688 | 2.08749849902843 | -0.085525311416299 |
12 | 2.06 | 1.81758602804181 | 0.191695489216516 | 2.11071848274168 | -0.242413971958192 |
13 | 2.09 | 1.87669448955947 | 0.169367043985608 | 2.13393846645492 | -0.213305510440529 |
14 | 2.07 | 1.82386232980348 | 0.136321978219099 | 2.17981569197742 | -0.246137670196518 |
15 | 2.09 | 1.90703011384580 | 0.047276968654283 | 2.22569291749991 | -0.182969886154197 |
16 | 2.28 | 2.29743114416309 | -0.027541235391977 | 2.29011009122888 | 0.0174311441630932 |
17 | 2.33 | 2.39183219800671 | -0.086359462964564 | 2.35452726495785 | 0.0618321980067105 |
18 | 2.35 | 2.44042931957099 | -0.172827629120262 | 2.43239830954927 | 0.090429319570994 |
19 | 2.52 | 2.65302648295982 | -0.123295837100501 | 2.51026935414068 | 0.133026482959818 |
20 | 2.63 | 2.76616124041895 | -0.103655302582279 | 2.59749406216333 | 0.136161240418947 |
21 | 2.58 | 2.57329607891314 | -0.0980148490991238 | 2.68471877018598 | -0.00670392108685558 |
22 | 2.7 | 2.62223409308283 | -0.000994051684549588 | 2.77875995860172 | -0.0777659069171719 |
23 | 2.81 | 2.67917204059467 | 0.0680268123878688 | 2.87280114701746 | -0.130827959405332 |
24 | 2.97 | 2.77486321802808 | 0.191695489216516 | 2.97344129275541 | -0.195136781971924 |
25 | 3.04 | 2.83655151752104 | 0.169367043985608 | 3.07408143849335 | -0.203448482478962 |
26 | 3.28 | 3.24210410213461 | 0.136321978219099 | 3.18157391964629 | -0.0378958978653858 |
27 | 3.33 | 3.3236566305465 | 0.047276968654283 | 3.28906640079922 | -0.00634336945350089 |
28 | 3.5 | 3.62979853927993 | -0.027541235391977 | 3.39774269611205 | 0.129798539279931 |
29 | 3.56 | 3.69994047153969 | -0.086359462964564 | 3.50641899142488 | 0.139940471539689 |
30 | 3.57 | 3.71472123040134 | -0.172827629120262 | 3.59810639871893 | 0.144721230401335 |
31 | 3.69 | 3.81350203108752 | -0.123295837100501 | 3.68979380601298 | 0.123502031087523 |
32 | 3.82 | 3.99253394486455 | -0.103655302582279 | 3.75112135771772 | 0.172533944864555 |
33 | 3.79 | 3.86556593967665 | -0.0980148490991238 | 3.81244890942247 | 0.0755659396766535 |
34 | 3.96 | 4.07119904804452 | -0.000994051684549588 | 3.84979500364003 | 0.111199048044517 |
35 | 4.06 | 4.16483208975454 | 0.0680268123878688 | 3.88714109785760 | 0.104832089754536 |
36 | 4.05 | 3.99264417150128 | 0.191695489216516 | 3.91566033928221 | -0.0573558284987241 |
37 | 4.03 | 3.94645337530757 | 0.169367043985608 | 3.94417958070682 | -0.083546624692429 |
38 | 3.94 | 3.77725858888577 | 0.136321978219099 | 3.96641943289513 | -0.162741411114235 |
39 | 4.02 | 4.00406374626227 | 0.047276968654283 | 3.98865928508345 | -0.0159362537377317 |
40 | 3.88 | 3.78091568630651 | -0.027541235391977 | 4.00662554908547 | -0.0990843136934925 |
41 | 4.02 | 4.10176764987707 | -0.086359462964564 | 4.02459181308749 | 0.0817676498770732 |
42 | 4.03 | 4.193663152456 | -0.172827629120262 | 4.03916447666426 | 0.163663152456001 |
43 | 4.09 | 4.24955869685947 | -0.123295837100501 | 4.05373714024103 | 0.159558696859470 |
44 | 3.99 | 4.05157877486577 | -0.103655302582279 | 4.03207652771651 | 0.0615787748657688 |
45 | 4.01 | 4.10759893390713 | -0.0980148490991238 | 4.01041591519199 | 0.0975989339071335 |
46 | 4.01 | 4.11991747836723 | -0.000994051684549588 | 3.90107657331732 | 0.109917478367232 |
47 | 4.19 | 4.52023595616949 | 0.0680268123878688 | 3.79173723144264 | 0.330235956169487 |
48 | 4.3 | 4.82461383145911 | 0.191695489216516 | 3.58369067932438 | 0.524613831459107 |
49 | 4.27 | 4.99498882880828 | 0.169367043985608 | 3.37564412720611 | 0.724988828808282 |
50 | 3.82 | 4.40242220656346 | 0.136321978219099 | 3.10125581521744 | 0.58242220656346 |
51 | 3.15 | 3.42585552811695 | 0.047276968654283 | 2.82686750322877 | 0.275855528116947 |
52 | 2.49 | 2.50374077518465 | -0.027541235391977 | 2.50380046020733 | 0.0137407751846479 |
53 | 1.81 | 1.52562604577867 | -0.086359462964564 | 2.18073341718589 | -0.284373954221325 |
54 | 1.26 | 0.837658168057849 | -0.172827629120262 | 1.85516946106241 | -0.422341831942151 |
55 | 1.06 | 0.713690332161563 | -0.123295837100501 | 1.52960550493894 | -0.346309667838437 |
56 | 0.84 | 0.58472405964089 | -0.103655302582279 | 1.19893124294139 | -0.255275940359110 |
57 | 0.78 | 0.789757868155284 | -0.0980148490991238 | 0.86825698094384 | 0.00975786815528412 |
58 | 0.7 | 0.8627606176834 | -0.000994051684549588 | 0.53823343400115 | 0.1627606176834 |
59 | 0.36 | 0.443763300553672 | 0.0680268123878688 | 0.208209887058459 | 0.0837633005536717 |
60 | 0.35 | 0.627144102358934 | 0.191695489216516 | -0.118839591575450 | 0.277144102358934 |