Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[109])
97	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	40	42.1816	36.1971	48.1661	0.2375	0.1055	0.0284	0.1055
111	37	43.3629	36.6574	50.0685	0.0315	0.8372	0.8372	0.2204
112	37	44.293	36.5962	51.9897	0.0316	0.9684	0.629	0.3319
113	44	45.1609	36.8717	53.45	0.3919	0.9732	0.8888	0.4214
114	41	43.7146	34.79	52.6391	0.2755	0.475	0.8498	0.3079
115	40	43.9667	34.3907	53.5427	0.2084	0.7282	0.8453	0.3386
116	36	43.3968	33.0708	53.7229	0.0802	0.7405	0.9198	0.3106
117	38	43.1717	32.0502	54.2932	0.181	0.8969	0.649	0.3091
118	43	43.4969	31.6025	55.3913	0.4674	0.8175	0.7707	0.34
119	42	44.6529	32.0859	57.2199	0.3395	0.6017	0.766	0.4168
120	45	44.4	31.2845	57.5154	0.4643	0.6401	0.7902	0.4055
121	46	47.4033	33.8474	60.9592	0.4196	0.6359	0.5804	0.5804

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
110	0.0724	-0.0517	0.0043	4.7594	0.3966	0.6298
111	0.0789	-0.1467	0.0122	40.4871	3.3739	1.8368
112	0.0887	-0.1647	0.0137	53.1872	4.4323	2.1053
113	0.0936	-0.0257	0.0021	1.3476	0.1123	0.3351
114	0.1042	-0.0621	0.0052	7.3688	0.6141	0.7836
115	0.1111	-0.0902	0.0075	15.735	1.3113	1.1451
116	0.1214	-0.1704	0.0142	54.7131	4.5594	2.1353
117	0.1314	-0.1198	0.01	26.7464	2.2289	1.4929
118	0.1395	-0.0114	0.001	0.2469	0.0206	0.1434
119	0.1436	-0.0594	0.005	7.038	0.5865	0.7658
120	0.1507	0.0135	0.0011	0.36	0.03	0.1732
121	0.1459	-0.0296	0.0025	1.9691	0.1641	0.4051