Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 671 | 0 | 68 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 267413 | 268605.657443952 | 2198.52570251112 | 264021.816853537 | 1192.65744395211 |
2 | 267366 | 268318.233635002 | 1149.78024603824 | 265263.98611896 | 952.233635001932 |
3 | 264777 | 265659.978372839 | -2612.13375722188 | 266506.155384383 | 882.97837283893 |
4 | 258863 | 255276.452406803 | -5266.60500279802 | 267716.152595995 | -3586.54759319709 |
5 | 254844 | 252001.093150806 | -11239.2429584128 | 268926.149807607 | -2842.90684919443 |
6 | 254868 | 253199.642752485 | -13534.0738134373 | 270070.431060952 | -1668.35724751494 |
7 | 277267 | 276122.687573877 | 7196.60011182584 | 271214.712314297 | -1144.31242612313 |
8 | 285351 | 287882.262991005 | 10507.3208711285 | 272312.416137866 | 2531.26299100526 |
9 | 286602 | 290148.274592576 | 9645.6054459884 | 273410.119961435 | 3546.27459257643 |
10 | 283042 | 287780.672349203 | 3864.78584615956 | 274438.541804638 | 4738.67234920291 |
11 | 276687 | 279911.269734285 | -2004.23338212537 | 275466.96364784 | 3224.26973428548 |
12 | 277915 | 279553.801919792 | 93.6704953748014 | 276182.527584834 | 1638.80191979156 |
13 | 277128 | 275159.382775662 | 2198.52570251112 | 276898.091521827 | -1968.61722433846 |
14 | 277103 | 275669.957644795 | 1149.78024603824 | 277386.262109167 | -1433.04235520528 |
15 | 275037 | 274811.701060715 | -2612.13375722188 | 277874.432696507 | -225.298939284869 |
16 | 270150 | 267234.636011929 | -5266.60500279802 | 278331.968990869 | -2915.36398807098 |
17 | 267140 | 266729.737673181 | -11239.2429584128 | 278789.505285231 | -410.262326818542 |
18 | 264993 | 264264.471733007 | -13534.0738134373 | 279255.60208043 | -728.528266992944 |
19 | 287259 | 287599.701012545 | 7196.60011182584 | 279721.698875629 | 340.701012544974 |
20 | 291186 | 291777.025209611 | 10507.3208711285 | 280087.653919260 | 591.025209610991 |
21 | 292300 | 294500.78559112 | 9645.6054459884 | 280453.608962892 | 2200.78559111984 |
22 | 288186 | 291733.143846695 | 3864.78584615956 | 280774.070307146 | 3547.14384669485 |
23 | 281477 | 283863.701730726 | -2004.23338212537 | 281094.531651399 | 2386.70173072594 |
24 | 282656 | 283850.140212288 | 93.6704953748014 | 281368.189292338 | 1194.14021228754 |
25 | 280190 | 276539.627364213 | 2198.52570251112 | 281641.846933276 | -3650.37263578695 |
26 | 280408 | 278009.265780807 | 1149.78024603824 | 281656.953973155 | -2398.73421919323 |
27 | 276836 | 274612.072744188 | -2612.13375722188 | 281672.061013034 | -2223.92725581228 |
28 | 275216 | 274481.677155723 | -5266.60500279802 | 281216.927847075 | -734.32284427702 |
29 | 274352 | 279181.448277297 | -11239.2429584128 | 280761.794681116 | 4829.44827729691 |
30 | 271311 | 276341.010806378 | -13534.0738134373 | 279815.063007059 | 5030.01080637815 |
31 | 289802 | 293539.068555172 | 7196.60011182584 | 278868.331333002 | 3737.06855517172 |
32 | 290726 | 293585.408921005 | 10507.3208711285 | 277359.270207867 | 2859.40892100456 |
33 | 292300 | 299104.18547128 | 9645.6054459884 | 275850.209082731 | 6804.18547128013 |
34 | 278506 | 279464.055356799 | 3864.78584615956 | 273683.158797041 | 958.055356799217 |
35 | 269826 | 270140.124870774 | -2004.23338212537 | 271516.108511351 | 314.124870774394 |
36 | 265861 | 262772.940030504 | 93.6704953748014 | 268855.389474121 | -3088.05996949592 |
37 | 269034 | 269674.803860598 | 2198.52570251112 | 266194.670436891 | 640.803860597662 |
38 | 264176 | 263723.167326253 | 1149.78024603824 | 263479.052427709 | -452.832673747267 |
39 | 255198 | 252244.699338695 | -2612.13375722188 | 260763.434418527 | -2953.30066130502 |
40 | 253353 | 253621.439600974 | -5266.60500279802 | 258351.165401824 | 268.439600973885 |
41 | 246057 | 247414.346573291 | -11239.2429584128 | 255938.896385121 | 1357.34657329143 |
42 | 235372 | 230237.694163562 | -13534.0738134373 | 254040.379649875 | -5134.30583643776 |
43 | 258556 | 257773.536973545 | 7196.60011182584 | 252141.862914629 | -782.463026454643 |
44 | 260993 | 260899.840727099 | 10507.3208711285 | 250578.838401773 | -93.1592729010445 |
45 | 254663 | 250664.580665095 | 9645.6054459884 | 249015.813888916 | -3998.41933490464 |
46 | 250643 | 249744.963553475 | 3864.78584615956 | 247676.250600365 | -898.036446524726 |
47 | 243422 | 242511.546070311 | -2004.23338212537 | 246336.687311814 | -910.453929688665 |
48 | 247105 | 248861.863467466 | 93.6704953748014 | 245254.466037159 | 1756.86346746577 |
49 | 248541 | 250711.229534984 | 2198.52570251112 | 244172.244762505 | 2170.2295349841 |
50 | 245039 | 245598.436299547 | 1149.78024603824 | 243329.783454415 | 559.436299546593 |
51 | 237080 | 234284.811610896 | -2612.13375722188 | 242487.322146325 | -2795.18838910363 |
52 | 237085 | 237341.003534853 | -5266.60500279802 | 242095.601467945 | 256.003534852527 |
53 | 225554 | 220643.362168847 | -11239.2429584128 | 241703.880789566 | -4910.63783115268 |
54 | 226839 | 224934.268896247 | -13534.0738134373 | 242277.80491719 | -1904.73110375277 |
55 | 247934 | 245819.670843359 | 7196.60011182584 | 242851.729044815 | -2114.32915664057 |
56 | 248333 | 241348.488402604 | 10507.3208711285 | 244810.190726267 | -6984.51159739593 |
57 | 246969 | 237523.742146292 | 9645.6054459884 | 246768.65240772 | -9445.25785370846 |
58 | 245098 | 236012.084661079 | 3864.78584615956 | 250319.129492762 | -9085.91533892142 |
59 | 246263 | 240660.626804322 | -2004.23338212537 | 253869.606577804 | -5602.37319567829 |
60 | 255765 | 253457.493416581 | 93.6704953748014 | 257978.836088045 | -2307.50658341945 |
61 | 264319 | 264351.408699203 | 2198.52570251112 | 262088.065598286 | 32.4086992032535 |
62 | 268347 | 269232.145276283 | 1149.78024603824 | 266312.074477679 | 885.145276283263 |
63 | 273046 | 278168.050400150 | -2612.13375722188 | 270536.083357071 | 5122.05040015042 |
64 | 273963 | 278285.042063958 | -5266.60500279802 | 274907.562938840 | 4322.04206395836 |
65 | 267430 | 266820.200437805 | -11239.2429584128 | 279279.042520608 | -609.799562195083 |
66 | 271993 | 273776.74571558 | -13534.0738134373 | 283743.328097857 | 1783.74571558012 |
67 | 292710 | 290015.786213068 | 7196.60011182584 | 288207.613675107 | -2694.21378693241 |