| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 267413 | 267413 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 267366 | 267384.122333201 | -30.3753802761006 | -18.1223332005416 | -0.0118685635287053 |
| 3 | 264777 | 265472.599308633 | -1235.30130680062 | -695.59930863323 | -0.381807369849144 |
| 4 | 258863 | 260362.338886237 | -3831.5113822526 | -1499.33888623652 | -0.859611134677365 |
| 5 | 254844 | 254957.818656406 | -4881.91848818384 | -113.818656405891 | -0.32291221661456 |
| 6 | 254868 | 253458.422159559 | -2664.06348985780 | 1409.57784044081 | 0.686824351408573 |
| 7 | 277267 | 270325.628803657 | 10177.9828551008 | 6941.37119634285 | 3.99268795809797 |
| 8 | 285351 | 285820.199419873 | 13682.0976971436 | -469.199419872735 | 1.08745140136036 |
| 9 | 286602 | 290713.019425709 | 7887.9158831447 | -4111.01942570904 | -1.79792559596823 |
| 10 | 283042 | 286637.495074829 | 2.82273817782789 | -3595.49507482945 | -2.44692621475706 |
| 11 | 276687 | 278452.649226503 | -5392.45604216452 | -1765.64922650338 | -1.67422916898651 |
| 12 | 277915 | 275928.115308934 | -3502.78886357935 | 1986.88469106564 | 0.586387427296748 |
| 13 | 277128 | 275910.683400437 | -1214.39607866009 | 1217.31659956292 | 0.712845731524051 |
| 14 | 277103 | 276148.107282922 | -256.840859570257 | 954.892717078325 | 0.302021250775385 |
| 15 | 275037 | 274331.257826656 | -1258.14397181627 | 705.74217334406 | -0.308016135060972 |
| 16 | 270150 | 270423.947923455 | -2934.22822100133 | -273.947923454906 | -0.527640203785054 |
| 17 | 267140 | 267842.636211314 | -2708.11388178989 | -702.636211313634 | 0.0706361080352814 |
| 18 | 264993 | 269591.178829119 | 129.630269323205 | -4598.17882911929 | 0.876837291472773 |
| 19 | 287259 | 279833.326557686 | 6537.52534995448 | 7425.67344231363 | 1.98777506224713 |
| 20 | 291186 | 289111.704999102 | 8277.31125553678 | 2074.29500089796 | 0.540335753406478 |
| 21 | 292300 | 293779.439461522 | 5982.93201817674 | -1479.43946152224 | -0.711963080009041 |
| 22 | 288186 | 291657.212801389 | 830.263640439649 | -3471.21280138862 | -1.59896466199666 |
| 23 | 281477 | 286081.180237180 | -3240.23570017516 | -4604.18023717979 | -1.26318802121446 |
| 24 | 282656 | 281914.458199483 | -3828.20616654204 | 741.541800517047 | -0.182546715006663 |
| 25 | 280190 | 279034.994812125 | -3225.93885578141 | 1155.00518787515 | 0.187492564122196 |
| 26 | 280408 | 277669.171280809 | -2043.51814622544 | 2738.82871919067 | 0.367550879451589 |
| 27 | 276836 | 274702.637683679 | -2625.48759144625 | 2133.36231632061 | -0.180041482231765 |
| 28 | 275216 | 274000.71479777 | -1419.59280071440 | 1215.28520222996 | 0.375585802506345 |
| 29 | 274352 | 275819.193210261 | 620.622797726201 | -1467.19321026121 | 0.636123126815103 |
| 30 | 271311 | 279435.244399327 | 2508.34680239798 | -8124.2443993266 | 0.585083779024046 |
| 31 | 289802 | 283706.517892823 | 3615.31855475837 | 6095.48210717656 | 0.343006761811845 |
| 32 | 290726 | 287664.257829151 | 3830.25296582005 | 3061.74217084911 | 0.0667088799960358 |
| 33 | 292300 | 290980.705292366 | 3507.36255401686 | 1319.29470763407 | -0.100212725080787 |
| 34 | 278506 | 283684.568396565 | -3284.53796030436 | -5178.56839656472 | -2.10761969950104 |
| 35 | 269826 | 275220.719885419 | -6539.31094677593 | -5394.7198854188 | -1.01010820301569 |
| 36 | 265861 | 266141.309029169 | -8134.9630780944 | -280.309029168622 | -0.495554030517184 |
| 37 | 269034 | 265228.951525645 | -3594.22392855163 | 3805.0484743554 | 1.41136746363201 |
| 38 | 264176 | 261316.262102205 | -3794.39599953089 | 2859.73789779521 | -0.0621118721731808 |
| 39 | 255198 | 254440.732648271 | -5723.06961355785 | 757.267351728663 | -0.597611648974433 |
| 40 | 253353 | 251795.202624142 | -3801.65117022074 | 1557.79737585801 | 0.597162007947039 |
| 41 | 246057 | 248835.148361518 | -3274.98099038878 | -2778.14836151808 | 0.163893734322342 |
| 42 | 235372 | 245060.110371348 | -3588.27626577152 | -9688.1103713482 | -0.0972272864969765 |
| 43 | 258556 | 250197.842521037 | 1868.69057226991 | 8358.15747896303 | 1.69138684615723 |
| 44 | 260993 | 256703.988229413 | 4765.6314980705 | 4289.0117705873 | 0.898614106163387 |
| 45 | 254663 | 252651.530097941 | -744.879259989357 | 2011.46990205877 | -1.71012708863621 |
| 46 | 250643 | 252537.916555824 | -350.253528978847 | -1894.91655582414 | 0.122473726968608 |
| 47 | 243422 | 249500.056650198 | -2030.27733056099 | -6078.05665019831 | -0.521500576968638 |
| 48 | 247105 | 249297.7166209 | -887.43965285882 | -2192.71662089987 | 0.354913132466749 |
| 49 | 248541 | 245541.765564819 | -2681.88252531686 | 2999.23443518059 | -0.557260860367922 |
| 50 | 245039 | 241233.424336006 | -3698.70072908244 | 3805.57566399421 | -0.315391330523115 |
| 51 | 237080 | 237078.606913007 | -3983.13214479701 | 1.39308699292198 | -0.0881864648943466 |
| 52 | 237085 | 234613.134106086 | -3038.06113202847 | 2471.86589391370 | 0.293527027191679 |
| 53 | 225554 | 229446.719834182 | -4365.18619200657 | -3892.71983418243 | -0.412584975375893 |
| 54 | 226839 | 236093.543571489 | 2508.79419983017 | -9254.54357148892 | 2.13409355040976 |
| 55 | 247934 | 241002.63205589 | 4005.78035778549 | 6931.36794411018 | 0.46418647867658 |
| 56 | 248333 | 242033.593020724 | 2152.65557750524 | 6299.4069792757 | -0.574715002606664 |
| 57 | 246969 | 244729.412642091 | 2490.92330834342 | 2239.58735790871 | 0.104963504920892 |
| 58 | 245098 | 246695.128900608 | 2163.78059439296 | -1597.12890060804 | -0.101542989311227 |
| 59 | 246263 | 251948.266906 | 4088.5055334127 | -5685.26690599991 | 0.597572639694386 |
| 60 | 255765 | 256798.299902456 | 4563.14293235591 | -1033.2999024556 | 0.147386786606342 |
| 61 | 264319 | 260745.2452851 | 4178.95852526808 | 3573.75471489991 | -0.119255771282371 |
| 62 | 268347 | 264211.304075700 | 3734.81041990844 | 4135.6959242996 | -0.137752487726044 |
| 63 | 273046 | 271491.380236127 | 5939.70133300513 | 1554.61976387308 | 0.683806941059474 |
| 64 | 273963 | 273021.208142164 | 3199.46545399986 | 941.791857836458 | -0.850851245520718 |
| 65 | 267430 | 275571.588732254 | 2795.77529814821 | -8141.5887322543 | -0.125438875508055 |
| 66 | 271993 | 281004.53048696 | 4437.43376612178 | -9011.5304869599 | 0.509718153492717 |
| 67 | 292710 | 284960.125277706 | 4137.61906165958 | 7749.87472229357 | -0.0929935029916293 |
