| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 102.8 | NA | NA | 0.91305423037476 | NA |
| 2 | 118.72 | NA | NA | 1.02683812043166 | NA |
| 3 | 119.01 | NA | NA | 1.04797023984225 | NA |
| 4 | 118.61 | NA | NA | 1.02408310415181 | NA |
| 5 | 120.43 | NA | NA | 0.961623699822525 | NA |
| 6 | 111.83 | NA | NA | 0.983786916052064 | NA |
| 7 | 116.79 | 112.473451041067 | 118.43375 | 0.94967398263643 | 1.03837838102217 |
| 8 | 131.71 | 126.544503019225 | 119.26875 | 1.06100301226620 | 1.04081960778644 |
| 9 | 120.57 | 120.715449862084 | 119.74625 | 1.00809378049070 | 0.998795101519728 |
| 10 | 117.83 | 120.215197698611 | 120.450833333333 | 0.998043719348377 | 0.980158933776482 |
| 11 | 130.8 | 125.569087440401 | 121.76625 | 1.03123063607856 | 1.04165764573293 |
| 12 | 107.46 | 122.468235837208 | 123.133333333333 | 0.994598558504665 | 0.877452012478095 |
| 13 | 112.09 | 113.477042825814 | 124.282916666667 | 0.91305423037476 | 0.987776886044319 |
| 14 | 129.47 | 128.982847704288 | 125.611666666667 | 1.02683812043166 | 1.00377687657221 |
| 15 | 119.72 | 132.642903219633 | 126.57125 | 1.04797023984225 | 0.90257373062594 |
| 16 | 134.81 | 130.341883886095 | 127.276666666667 | 1.02408310415181 | 1.03427997187619 |
| 17 | 135.8 | 123.200824362012 | 128.1175 | 0.961623699822525 | 1.10226535173958 |
| 18 | 129.27 | 126.621574320201 | 128.708333333333 | 0.983786916052064 | 1.02091606974576 |
| 19 | 126.94 | 122.951124951996 | 129.466666666667 | 0.94967398263643 | 1.03244276983688 |
| 20 | 153.45 | 137.876457274816 | 129.949166666667 | 1.06100301226620 | 1.11295287848993 |
| 21 | 121.86 | 131.878828363793 | 130.82 | 1.00809378049070 | 0.924030047217619 |
| 22 | 133.47 | 131.468972337364 | 131.726666666667 | 0.998043719348377 | 1.01522053171224 |
| 23 | 135.34 | 135.566009098319 | 131.460416666667 | 1.03123063607856 | 0.998332848331064 |
| 24 | 117.1 | 130.483042554491 | 131.191666666667 | 0.994598558504665 | 0.89743462221229 |
| 25 | 120.65 | 120.011848040458 | 131.44 | 0.91305423037476 | 1.00531740798897 |
| 26 | 132.49 | 134.737847520091 | 131.21625 | 1.02683812043166 | 0.983316881177312 |
| 27 | 137.6 | 137.497625355703 | 131.20375 | 1.04797023984225 | 1.0007445557262 |
| 28 | 138.69 | 134.936603413389 | 131.763333333333 | 1.02408310415181 | 1.02781600019316 |
| 29 | 125.53 | 127.226421575394 | 132.30375 | 0.961623699822525 | 0.986666122064991 |
| 30 | 133.09 | 131.262999007892 | 133.42625 | 0.983786916052064 | 1.01391862905706 |
| 31 | 129.08 | 127.762806464021 | 134.533333333333 | 0.94967398263643 | 1.01030967910328 |
| 32 | 145.94 | 143.232754148407 | 134.9975 | 1.06100301226620 | 1.01890102489259 |
| 33 | 129.07 | 137.099494029509 | 135.99875 | 1.00809378049070 | 0.941433087799864 |
| 34 | 139.69 | 137.041383103726 | 137.31 | 0.998043719348377 | 1.01932713196765 |
| 35 | 142.09 | 142.707281253163 | 138.385416666667 | 1.03123063607856 | 0.995674493636606 |
| 36 | 137.29 | 139.246699103115 | 140.002916666667 | 0.994598558504665 | 0.985947967774328 |
| 37 | 127.03 | 129.547177719672 | 141.883333333333 | 0.91305423037476 | 0.980569412904394 |
| 38 | 137.25 | 147.074879687860 | 143.230833333333 | 1.02683812043166 | 0.933198111678133 |
| 39 | 156.87 | 152.346490345734 | 145.372916666667 | 1.04797023984225 | 1.02969224721883 |
| 40 | 150.89 | 151.121810173215 | 147.567916666667 | 1.02408310415181 | 0.998466070695225 |
| 41 | 139.14 | 143.726281558182 | 149.462083333333 | 0.961623699822525 | 0.968090167584793 |
| 42 | 158.3 | 149.373286398765 | 151.835 | 0.983786916052064 | 1.05976111135029 |
| 43 | 149 | 145.907910692261 | 153.64 | 0.94967398263643 | 1.02119206075304 |
| 44 | 158.36 | 165.213199885855 | 155.714166666667 | 1.06100301226620 | 0.958519053619265 |
| 45 | 168.06 | 158.713864761380 | 157.439583333333 | 1.00809378049070 | 1.05888669684070 |
| 46 | 153.38 | 157.087922909937 | 157.395833333333 | 0.998043719348377 | 0.97639587537189 |
| 47 | 173.86 | 161.403922364699 | 156.515833333333 | 1.03123063607856 | 1.07717332672471 |
| 48 | 162.47 | 153.797261597973 | 154.6325 | 0.994598558504665 | 1.05639072056236 |
| 49 | 145.17 | 138.768264567932 | 151.9825 | 0.91305423037476 | 1.04613256101458 |
| 50 | 168.89 | 153.605570133806 | 149.590833333333 | 1.02683812043166 | 1.09950439852461 |
| 51 | 166.64 | 153.332892333986 | 146.314166666667 | 1.04797023984225 | 1.08678573438130 |
| 52 | 140.07 | 146.022729717126 | 142.58875 | 1.02408310415181 | 0.959234225187698 |
| 53 | 128.84 | 133.821557450010 | 139.162083333333 | 0.961623699822525 | 0.962774626562904 |
| 54 | 123.4 | 133.376501232544 | 135.574583333333 | 0.983786916052064 | 0.925200457799163 |
| 55 | 120.3 | 125.856335943878 | 132.525833333333 | 0.94967398263643 | 0.955851758259067 |
| 56 | 129.66 | NA | NA | 1.06100301226620 | NA |
| 57 | 118.12 | NA | NA | 1.00809378049070 | NA |
| 58 | 113.91 | NA | NA | 0.998043719348377 | NA |
| 59 | 131.09 | NA | NA | 1.03123063607856 | NA |
| 60 | 119.14 | NA | NA | 0.994598558504665 | NA |
| 61 | 115.33 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
