Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 102.8 | 100.730437281045 | -9.52924700828724 | 114.398809727242 | -2.0695627189546 |
2 | 118.72 | 118.295125342985 | 4.00099912636879 | 115.143875530647 | -0.424874657015451 |
3 | 119.01 | 115.664815584288 | 6.46624308166065 | 115.888941334051 | -3.3451844157121 |
4 | 118.61 | 117.650046245312 | 2.98816439412893 | 116.581789360560 | -0.9599537546885 |
5 | 120.43 | 127.387287294083 | -3.80192468115108 | 117.274637387068 | 6.9572872940834 |
6 | 111.83 | 108.502347789227 | -2.78968603829151 | 117.947338249065 | -3.32765221077318 |
7 | 116.79 | 120.723418138360 | -5.7634572494219 | 118.620039111062 | 3.93341813836021 |
8 | 131.71 | 134.529047510883 | 9.5757376383294 | 119.315214850787 | 2.81904751088346 |
9 | 120.57 | 123.904680777724 | -2.77507136823657 | 120.010390590513 | 3.33468077772400 |
10 | 117.83 | 117.307752114046 | -2.42828871218015 | 120.780536598134 | -0.522247885953689 |
11 | 130.8 | 131.270831564982 | 8.77848582926247 | 121.550682605755 | 0.470831564982433 |
12 | 107.46 | 96.9806842126412 | -4.72195435127229 | 122.661270138631 | -10.4793157873588 |
13 | 112.09 | 109.937389336780 | -9.52924700828724 | 123.771857671507 | -2.15261066321986 |
14 | 129.47 | 129.913679843143 | 4.00099912636879 | 125.025321030488 | 0.4436798431433 |
15 | 119.72 | 106.694972528871 | 6.46624308166065 | 126.278784389469 | -13.0250274711293 |
16 | 134.81 | 139.250873963692 | 2.98816439412893 | 127.380961642179 | 4.44087396369208 |
17 | 135.8 | 146.918785786262 | -3.80192468115108 | 128.483138894889 | 11.1187857862618 |
18 | 129.27 | 132.034985151205 | -2.78968603829151 | 129.294700887087 | 2.76498515120474 |
19 | 126.94 | 129.537194370138 | -5.7634572494219 | 130.106262879284 | 2.59719437013757 |
20 | 153.45 | 166.779146564935 | 9.5757376383294 | 130.545115796736 | 13.3291465649346 |
21 | 121.86 | 115.511102654049 | -2.77507136823657 | 130.983968714188 | -6.34889734595103 |
22 | 133.47 | 138.320182287418 | -2.42828871218015 | 131.048106424762 | 4.85018228741802 |
23 | 135.34 | 130.789270035401 | 8.77848582926247 | 131.112244135337 | -4.55072996459914 |
24 | 117.1 | 107.909904312669 | -4.72195435127229 | 131.012050038604 | -9.19009568733132 |
25 | 120.65 | 119.917391066417 | -9.52924700828724 | 130.911855941871 | -0.732608933583293 |
26 | 132.49 | 129.869499186316 | 4.00099912636879 | 131.109501687315 | -2.62050081368412 |
27 | 137.6 | 137.426609485579 | 6.46624308166065 | 131.307147432760 | -0.173390514420845 |
28 | 138.69 | 142.422547606504 | 2.98816439412893 | 131.969287999367 | 3.73254760650428 |
29 | 125.53 | 122.230496115178 | -3.80192468115108 | 132.631428565973 | -3.29950388482229 |
30 | 133.09 | 135.469631542479 | -2.78968603829151 | 133.500054495813 | 2.37963154247890 |
31 | 129.08 | 129.55477682377 | -5.7634572494219 | 134.368680425652 | 0.47477682377010 |
32 | 145.94 | 147.049071483003 | 9.5757376383294 | 135.255190878668 | 1.10907148300268 |
33 | 129.07 | 124.773370036553 | -2.77507136823657 | 136.141701331684 | -4.29662996344746 |
34 | 139.69 | 144.552552365300 | -2.42828871218015 | 137.255736346881 | 4.86255236529951 |
35 | 142.09 | 137.031742808660 | 8.77848582926247 | 138.369771362077 | -5.05825719133972 |
36 | 137.29 | 139.400611369349 | -4.72195435127229 | 139.901342981923 | 2.11061136934947 |
37 | 127.03 | 122.156332406519 | -9.52924700828724 | 141.432914601768 | -4.87366759348117 |
38 | 137.25 | 127.177489841023 | 4.00099912636879 | 143.321511032608 | -10.0725101589772 |
39 | 156.87 | 162.063649454891 | 6.46624308166065 | 145.210107463448 | 5.19364945489087 |
40 | 150.89 | 151.393588969797 | 2.98816439412893 | 147.398246636074 | 0.503588969796908 |
41 | 139.14 | 132.495538872451 | -3.80192468115108 | 149.586385808700 | -6.64446112754871 |
42 | 158.3 | 167.625751152026 | -2.78968603829151 | 151.763934886266 | 9.32575115202576 |
43 | 149 | 149.821973285590 | -5.7634572494219 | 153.941483963832 | 0.82197328559019 |
44 | 158.36 | 151.629754222443 | 9.5757376383294 | 155.514508139227 | -6.73024577755672 |
45 | 168.06 | 181.807539053614 | -2.77507136823657 | 157.087532314623 | 13.7475390536136 |
46 | 153.38 | 152.177205729211 | -2.42828871218015 | 157.011082982969 | -1.20279427078859 |
47 | 173.86 | 182.006880519423 | 8.77848582926247 | 156.934633651315 | 8.146880519423 |
48 | 162.47 | 174.624368500286 | -4.72195435127229 | 155.037585850987 | 12.1543685002856 |
49 | 145.17 | 146.728708957628 | -9.52924700828724 | 153.140538050659 | 1.55870895762843 |
50 | 168.89 | 183.894645258533 | 4.00099912636879 | 149.884355615098 | 15.0046452585334 |
51 | 166.64 | 180.185583738803 | 6.46624308166065 | 146.628173179537 | 13.5455837388025 |
52 | 140.07 | 134.267164107556 | 2.98816439412893 | 142.884671498315 | -5.80283589244411 |
53 | 128.84 | 122.340754864058 | -3.80192468115108 | 139.141169817093 | -6.4992451359424 |
54 | 123.4 | 113.750694660752 | -2.78968603829151 | 135.838991377540 | -9.64930533924806 |
55 | 120.3 | 113.826644311436 | -5.7634572494219 | 132.536812937986 | -6.47335568856379 |
56 | 129.66 | 120.518086577057 | 9.5757376383294 | 129.226175784614 | -9.14191342294332 |
57 | 118.12 | 113.099532736994 | -2.77507136823657 | 125.915538631242 | -5.02046726300554 |
58 | 113.91 | 107.562077028893 | -2.42828871218015 | 122.686211683287 | -6.34792297110727 |
59 | 131.09 | 133.944629435405 | 8.77848582926247 | 119.456884735333 | 2.85462943540483 |
60 | 119.14 | 126.579900657496 | -4.72195435127229 | 116.422053693776 | 7.43990065749605 |
61 | 115.33 | 126.802024356067 | -9.52924700828724 | 113.387222652220 | 11.4720243560675 |