Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 226.9 | 264.741832188982 | 17.2474663692209 | 171.810701441797 | 37.8418321889818 |
2 | 235.9 | 266.984466538638 | 28.0506694377768 | 176.764864023585 | 31.0844665386383 |
3 | 216.2 | 217.207085125667 | 33.4738882689606 | 181.719026605373 | 1.00708512566683 |
4 | 226.2 | 237.401444921454 | 27.0883237348385 | 187.910231343707 | 11.2014449214544 |
5 | 198.3 | 190.335791555581 | 12.1627723623776 | 194.101436082042 | -7.96420844441931 |
6 | 176.7 | 151.053874071938 | 0.926110161893321 | 201.420015766168 | -25.6461259280617 |
7 | 166.2 | 134.151960091103 | -10.4905555413983 | 208.738595450295 | -32.0480399088968 |
8 | 157.6 | 119.516274641975 | -21.1284565884058 | 216.812181946431 | -38.0837253580249 |
9 | 163.4 | 126.38059554495 | -24.4663639875165 | 224.885768442566 | -37.0194044550499 |
10 | 159.7 | 109.831424233001 | -28.3649926793949 | 237.933568446394 | -49.8685757669986 |
11 | 191 | 152.402269886137 | -21.3836383363578 | 250.981368450221 | -38.5977301138627 |
12 | 239.4 | 224.151111928491 | -13.1151675322482 | 267.764055603757 | -15.2488880715090 |
13 | 321.9 | 342.005790873485 | 17.2474663692209 | 284.546742757294 | 20.1057908734850 |
14 | 362.7 | 398.454218295084 | 28.0506694377768 | 298.895112267139 | 35.7542182950843 |
15 | 413.6 | 480.482629954056 | 33.4738882689606 | 313.243481776984 | 66.8826299540556 |
16 | 407.1 | 464.896422499133 | 27.0883237348385 | 322.215253766029 | 57.7964224991326 |
17 | 383.2 | 423.050201882548 | 12.1627723623776 | 331.187025755074 | 39.8502018825484 |
18 | 347.7 | 363.424140541716 | 0.926110161893321 | 331.049749296391 | 15.7241405417158 |
19 | 333.8 | 347.178082703691 | -10.4905555413983 | 330.912472837708 | 13.3780827036906 |
20 | 312.3 | 324.508822999452 | -21.1284565884058 | 321.219633588954 | 12.2088229994523 |
21 | 295.4 | 303.739569647317 | -24.4663639875165 | 311.526794340199 | 8.33956964731715 |
22 | 283.3 | 297.243278878601 | -28.3649926793949 | 297.721713800794 | 13.9432788786013 |
23 | 287.6 | 312.66700507497 | -21.3836383363578 | 283.916633261388 | 25.0670050749699 |
24 | 265.7 | 273.11393180399 | -13.1151675322482 | 271.401235728258 | 7.41393180398978 |
25 | 250.2 | 224.26669543565 | 17.2474663692209 | 258.885838195129 | -25.9333045643498 |
26 | 234.7 | 192.389104208222 | 28.0506694377768 | 248.960226354001 | -42.3108957917777 |
27 | 244 | 215.491497218167 | 33.4738882689606 | 239.034614512873 | -28.5085027818334 |
28 | 231.2 | 203.190447049224 | 27.0883237348385 | 232.121229215937 | -28.0095529507759 |
29 | 223.8 | 210.229383718620 | 12.1627723623776 | 225.207843919002 | -13.5706162813798 |
30 | 223.5 | 224.748357194022 | 0.926110161893321 | 221.325532644085 | 1.24835719402213 |
31 | 210.5 | 214.047334172231 | -10.4905555413983 | 217.443221369167 | 3.54733417223144 |
32 | 201.6 | 208.589345788736 | -21.1284565884058 | 215.739110799669 | 6.9893457887365 |
33 | 190.7 | 191.831363757345 | -24.4663639875165 | 214.035000230172 | 1.13136375734476 |
34 | 207.5 | 230.650575211749 | -28.3649926793949 | 212.714417467646 | 23.1505752117492 |
35 | 198.8 | 207.589803631238 | -21.3836383363578 | 211.393834705120 | 8.78980363123813 |
36 | 196.6 | 196.190359570189 | -13.1151675322482 | 210.124807962059 | -0.40964042981102 |
37 | 204.2 | 182.296752411780 | 17.2474663692209 | 208.855781218999 | -21.9032475882196 |
38 | 227.4 | 218.822601280841 | 28.0506694377768 | 207.926729281382 | -8.57739871915928 |
39 | 229.7 | 218.928434387273 | 33.4738882689606 | 206.997677343766 | -10.7715656127268 |
40 | 217.9 | 202.405619879017 | 27.0883237348385 | 206.306056386144 | -15.4943801209827 |
41 | 221.4 | 225.0227922091 | 12.1627723623776 | 205.614435428522 | 3.62279220910008 |
42 | 216.3 | 227.009264137520 | 0.926110161893321 | 204.664625700586 | 10.7092641375205 |
43 | 197 | 200.775739568748 | -10.4905555413983 | 203.71481597265 | 3.77573956874824 |
44 | 193.8 | 207.477066636024 | -21.1284565884058 | 201.251389952382 | 13.6770666360238 |
45 | 196.8 | 219.278400055403 | -24.4663639875165 | 198.787963932114 | 22.4784000554025 |
46 | 180.5 | 194.991430120663 | -28.3649926793949 | 194.373562558732 | 14.4914301206632 |
47 | 174.8 | 181.024477151008 | -21.3836383363578 | 189.959161185349 | 6.22447715100836 |
48 | 181.6 | 191.161073098852 | -13.1151675322482 | 185.154094433396 | 9.56107309885203 |
49 | 190 | 182.403505949336 | 17.2474663692209 | 180.349027681443 | -7.59649405066375 |
50 | 190.6 | 176.790001192541 | 28.0506694377768 | 176.359329369682 | -13.809998807459 |
51 | 179 | 152.156480673118 | 33.4738882689606 | 172.369631057922 | -26.8435193268821 |
52 | 174.1 | 150.128099799827 | 27.0883237348385 | 170.983576465335 | -23.9719002001733 |
53 | 161.1 | 140.439705764874 | 12.1627723623776 | 169.597521872748 | -20.6602942351256 |
54 | 168.6 | 167.943856644458 | 0.926110161893321 | 168.330033193649 | -0.656143355541872 |
55 | 169.4 | 182.228011026849 | -10.4905555413983 | 167.062544514549 | 12.8280110268493 |
56 | 152.2 | 159.287389871123 | -21.1284565884058 | 166.241066717282 | 7.08738987112346 |
57 | 148.3 | 155.646775067501 | -24.4663639875165 | 165.419588920016 | 7.34677506750086 |
58 | 137.7 | 138.763268515524 | -28.3649926793949 | 165.001724163870 | 1.06326851552447 |
59 | 145 | 146.799778928633 | -21.3836383363578 | 164.583859407725 | 1.79977892863263 |
60 | 153.4 | 155.530534624521 | -13.1151675322482 | 164.384632907728 | 2.13053462452052 |