| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 226.9 | 226.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 235.9 | 234.977571353527 | 7.99075453253924 | 0.0434084093216129 | 0.594929822638374 |
| 3 | 216.2 | 218.061229343349 | -13.3610226105330 | 0.095609426326639 | -1.53209263112949 |
| 4 | 226.2 | 224.582765187559 | 3.84801361013468 | 0.0768124997632141 | 1.21454688585603 |
| 5 | 198.3 | 200.382580252163 | -20.4522261622188 | 0.0796729048664979 | -1.70944985815841 |
| 6 | 176.7 | 176.857352278825 | -23.1148358739779 | 0.079548580008023 | -0.187302741310175 |
| 7 | 166.2 | 165.234350874981 | -13.1579001509335 | 0.0797566745141656 | 0.700421788802957 |
| 8 | 157.6 | 157.130620446742 | -8.77885762807506 | 0.0797664909587289 | 0.308043882232721 |
| 9 | 163.4 | 162.248948639991 | 3.26193331164645 | 0.0797556917219492 | 0.84700980605779 |
| 10 | 159.7 | 160.041836221989 | -1.47655587168261 | 0.0797575873561435 | -0.333329165429231 |
| 11 | 191 | 188.604594094335 | 24.5501066142232 | 0.0797564763551527 | 1.83084636176085 |
| 12 | 239.4 | 237.44757138447 | 45.5979369375229 | 0.0797568389544972 | 1.48061026230833 |
| 13 | 321.9 | 316.225908911363 | 74.0293211060381 | 3.14448808499036 | 2.12051058399833 |
| 14 | 362.7 | 364.77809954137 | 54.403633435663 | -0.612418506262757 | -1.33721830318151 |
| 15 | 413.6 | 414.546091571916 | 50.3657391950223 | -0.596714793593977 | -0.278702153542578 |
| 16 | 407.1 | 411.675139932608 | 4.32373016815022 | -0.500722469679577 | -3.22948447999051 |
| 17 | 383.2 | 386.004893101622 | -21.6562516035199 | -0.493514437453643 | -1.82755058175271 |
| 18 | 347.7 | 349.350708232111 | -34.6516493032746 | -0.494490899316155 | -0.914155286411903 |
| 19 | 333.8 | 332.891416091497 | -18.8888811700869 | -0.493861490625559 | 1.10883123212785 |
| 20 | 312.3 | 312.88037156769 | -19.8611504295694 | -0.493866633926793 | -0.0683943103820708 |
| 21 | 295.4 | 295.688131170628 | -17.5487561809360 | -0.493869974243659 | 0.162665443119619 |
| 22 | 283.3 | 283.38918040804 | -13.0002225676284 | -0.493873451714364 | 0.319966734825559 |
| 23 | 287.6 | 286.826731454384 | 1.24179267764638 | -0.493874888243411 | 1.00185499427581 |
| 24 | 265.7 | 267.759447264724 | -16.3543989595443 | -0.493875376889243 | -1.23780463427042 |
| 25 | 250.2 | 245.662989617662 | -21.2935027733085 | 4.97645338314252 | -0.361247129724354 |
| 26 | 234.7 | 234.427193076188 | -13.2936863599598 | -0.357116866921838 | 0.551260925117778 |
| 27 | 244 | 242.771157779374 | 5.52803588723932 | -0.411524115840896 | 1.30551040209414 |
| 28 | 231.2 | 232.780646166577 | -7.89950344738987 | -0.390740663385054 | -0.942538568306839 |
| 29 | 223.8 | 224.240035215729 | -8.45485439533761 | -0.390626284115644 | -0.0390659884846729 |
| 30 | 223.5 | 223.310157458594 | -1.93473318315231 | -0.390262596306262 | 0.458655756001019 |
| 31 | 210.5 | 211.640936161864 | -10.3691053738551 | -0.390512607893125 | -0.593315702695328 |
| 32 | 201.6 | 201.93907417451 | -9.79099037148415 | -0.390510337627274 | 0.04066751730194 |
| 33 | 190.7 | 191.166200114861 | -10.6417132872673 | -0.390509425362144 | -0.0598441291925417 |
| 34 | 207.5 | 205.931931627453 | 11.3717952553939 | -0.390521918986778 | 1.54854092548502 |
| 35 | 198.8 | 200.486885591319 | -3.19865212204089 | -0.390520827991362 | -1.02495856257155 |
| 36 | 196.6 | 197.011828170781 | -3.4381352163987 | -0.390520832928295 | -0.016846445534218 |
| 37 | 204.2 | 199.147568499039 | 1.36524203119936 | 4.62506440994329 | 0.34791027983187 |
| 38 | 227.4 | 225.959402618204 | 21.9791778628982 | -0.22925213537541 | 1.42832119137737 |
| 39 | 229.7 | 231.171259286662 | 7.40577790914908 | -0.195730249159575 | -1.01376894182994 |
| 40 | 217.9 | 219.536971814108 | -9.07331031150869 | -0.175448168684948 | -1.15724897384732 |
| 41 | 221.4 | 220.781681241306 | -0.135074167471849 | -0.176911921592962 | 0.6287580510624 |
| 42 | 216.3 | 216.775485241292 | -3.48922695159914 | -0.177060684725011 | -0.235947010543113 |
| 43 | 197 | 198.330302517460 | -16.4476313695432 | -0.177366105196210 | -0.911558783885738 |
| 44 | 193.8 | 193.111716632261 | -6.71853509201076 | -0.177335726148020 | 0.684393571719537 |
| 45 | 196.8 | 196.219833503228 | 1.79546682166495 | -0.177342985635534 | 0.598917721873339 |
| 46 | 180.5 | 181.918216867296 | -12.1513634359492 | -0.177336691821110 | -0.981090197145223 |
| 47 | 174.8 | 174.604421882307 | -7.95999739613025 | -0.177336941363778 | 0.294841771161927 |
| 48 | 181.6 | 180.694271954965 | 4.21307219792854 | -0.177336741827410 | 0.856314949706574 |
| 49 | 190 | 187.703196566553 | 6.62509742133289 | 2.08220022277809 | 0.173685235279959 |
| 50 | 190.6 | 191.032559698835 | 3.92344228184305 | -0.209810392122436 | -0.187799180362499 |
| 51 | 179 | 180.302734391925 | -8.80570224954928 | -0.185497013266216 | -0.887167336827954 |
| 52 | 174.1 | 174.088706848288 | -6.56221275658529 | -0.187788811150374 | 0.157595420752676 |
| 53 | 161.1 | 161.733592431604 | -11.5805985045597 | -0.187106726213236 | -0.353017359925939 |
| 54 | 168.6 | 167.452912979998 | 3.40889971226353 | -0.186554953505889 | 1.05443311337359 |
| 55 | 169.4 | 169.677845323893 | 2.38306927111239 | -0.186575020518467 | -0.072162036180652 |
| 56 | 152.2 | 153.794711411814 | -13.4431706512623 | -0.186616035250958 | -1.11329732596853 |
| 57 | 148.3 | 147.904392124012 | -6.89923287119047 | -0.186620666220746 | 0.460333500986748 |
| 58 | 137.7 | 138.109813995339 | -9.4078172140785 | -0.186619726653979 | -0.176466441632588 |
| 59 | 145 | 144.006813474961 | 3.85258212674772 | -0.186620381902883 | 0.932803193713155 |
| 60 | 153.4 | 153.176721993029 | 8.45962033149334 | -0.18662031922644 | 0.324082242207736 |
