| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.640813350950387 |
| gamma | 0.0132538546896654 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 321.9 | 232.266313151761 | 89.6336868482385 |
| 14 | 362.7 | 424.105164663350 | -61.4051646633504 |
| 15 | 413.6 | 439.765982393856 | -26.1659823938562 |
| 16 | 407.1 | 417.695074950639 | -10.5950749506388 |
| 17 | 383.2 | 388.403694396960 | -5.20369439696043 |
| 18 | 347.7 | 353.597581998779 | -5.89758199877889 |
| 19 | 333.8 | 282.434728471431 | 51.3652715285689 |
| 20 | 312.3 | 337.787962975724 | -25.4879629757245 |
| 21 | 295.4 | 322.583749900528 | -27.1837499005278 |
| 22 | 283.3 | 270.549876133684 | 12.7501238663161 |
| 23 | 287.6 | 328.688040900699 | -41.0880409006987 |
| 24 | 265.7 | 321.482017935623 | -55.7820179356235 |
| 25 | 250.2 | 269.356770640194 | -19.1567706401941 |
| 26 | 234.7 | 180.528904238534 | 54.1710957614658 |
| 27 | 244 | 198.185710326222 | 45.8142896737777 |
| 28 | 231.2 | 203.865633998877 | 27.3343660011232 |
| 29 | 223.8 | 201.691554415966 | 22.1084455840337 |
| 30 | 223.5 | 203.802540546999 | 19.6974594530012 |
| 31 | 210.5 | 190.838126701136 | 19.6618732988645 |
| 32 | 201.6 | 214.107213908746 | -12.5072139087458 |
| 33 | 190.7 | 211.253968577793 | -20.553968577793 |
| 34 | 207.5 | 175.651909210897 | 31.8480907891033 |
| 35 | 198.8 | 257.992220671398 | -59.192220671398 |
| 36 | 196.6 | 219.776947524338 | -23.1769475243378 |
| 37 | 204.2 | 212.190526676053 | -7.99052667605304 |
| 38 | 227.4 | 172.215421338878 | 55.1845786611218 |
| 39 | 229.7 | 236.024807127731 | -6.32480712773136 |
| 40 | 217.9 | 202.086221362007 | 15.8137786379931 |
| 41 | 221.4 | 193.588061642078 | 27.811938357922 |
| 42 | 216.3 | 208.556181594702 | 7.74381840529841 |
| 43 | 197 | 184.506302165573 | 12.4936978344268 |
| 44 | 193.8 | 197.156854180762 | -3.35685418076247 |
| 45 | 196.8 | 204.777036474587 | -7.97703647458681 |
| 46 | 180.5 | 189.600765525653 | -9.10076552565283 |
| 47 | 174.8 | 207.557007956886 | -32.7570079568859 |
| 48 | 181.6 | 187.635103774232 | -6.03510377423228 |
| 49 | 190 | 202.309840874521 | -12.3098408745212 |
| 50 | 190.6 | 163.949053249528 | 26.6509467504724 |
| 51 | 179 | 183.325126363219 | -4.32512636321928 |
| 52 | 174.1 | 143.307455628881 | 30.7925443711193 |
| 53 | 161.1 | 152.649455661984 | 8.45054433801633 |
| 54 | 168.6 | 142.827673266112 | 25.7723267338880 |
| 55 | 169.4 | 146.333263826017 | 23.0667361739826 |
| 56 | 152.2 | 178.062411980083 | -25.8624119800834 |
| 57 | 148.3 | 155.979266925498 | -7.6792669254975 |
| 58 | 137.7 | 137.943961846718 | -0.243961846718207 |
| 59 | 145 | 157.519386599767 | -12.5193865997667 |
| 60 | 153.4 | 165.429132664147 | -12.0291326641474 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 178.093251040712 | 117.860407019853 | 238.326095061572 |
| 62 | 172.332598674871 | 50.1411476166094 | 294.524049733132 |
| 63 | 167.810049445170 | -36.214610360908 | 371.834709251248 |
| 64 | 139.588179235370 | -128.767673374502 | 407.944031845242 |
| 65 | 109.355192181661 | -211.389234931566 | 430.099619294888 |
| 66 | 81.2918193655818 | -279.551594597375 | 442.135233328538 |
| 67 | 51.5973899941917 | -301.716044738163 | 404.910824726546 |
| 68 | 34.9426157839616 | -352.811245948082 | 422.696477516005 |
| 69 | 22.5144941487851 | -428.189482833777 | 473.218471131347 |
| 70 | 10.0355827945042 | -475.121983083101 | 495.19314867211 |
| 71 | -0.541713241566507 | -635.840853210128 | 634.757426726995 |
| 72 | -14.6453323552816 | -878.233768694767 | 848.943103984204 |
