Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	151.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	110.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	99.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	130.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	136.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	129.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	128	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	121.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	135.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	143.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	147.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	136.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	156.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	123.3	115.6761	103.8609	127.4913	0.103	0	0.8093	0
50	104.5	112.5743	100.6065	124.5421	0.093	0.0395	0.9858	0
51	139.8	142.4471	130.3084	154.5859	0.3345	1	0.9731	0.0112
52	136.5	141.7377	129.3395	154.1359	0.2038	0.6203	0.8093	0.0094
53	112.1	139.8696	127.1865	152.5527	0	0.6987	0.942	0.0049
54	118.5	139.5939	126.759	152.4288	6e-04	1	0.9617	0.0047
55	94.4	132.6937	119.6628	145.7246	0	0.9836	0.9524	2e-04
56	102.3	141.2834	128.0539	154.5129	0	1	0.7917	0.0116
57	111.4	159.2376	145.8146	172.6606	0	1	0.9879	0.6499
58	99.2	145.864	132.255	159.4729	0	1	0.4069	0.061
59	87.8	146.7715	132.9772	160.5657	0	1	0.9335	0.0813
60	115.8	166.6564	152.7003	180.6125	0	1	0.9211	0.9211

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0521	0.0659	0.0055	58.1245	4.8437	2.2008
50	0.0542	-0.0717	0.006	65.1939	5.4328	2.3308
51	0.0435	-0.0186	0.0015	7.0074	0.5839	0.7642
52	0.0446	-0.037	0.0031	27.4336	2.2861	1.512
53	0.0463	-0.1985	0.0165	771.1506	64.2626	8.0164
54	0.0469	-0.1511	0.0126	444.9517	37.0793	6.0893
55	0.0501	-0.2886	0.024	1466.405	122.2004	11.0544
56	0.0478	-0.2759	0.023	1519.7051	126.6421	11.2535
57	0.043	-0.3004	0.025	2288.4342	190.7028	13.8095
58	0.0476	-0.3199	0.0267	2177.5275	181.4606	13.4707
59	0.048	-0.4018	0.0335	3477.6328	289.8027	17.0236
60	0.0427	-0.3052	0.0254	2586.3711	215.5309	14.681