Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
129.83729.837000
229.57129.5904101308721-0.0133242641154774-0.0194101308721427-0.17267886155883
330.16730.1047348709764-0.005909384380049260.06226512902364830.605236883566329
430.52430.501641415157-0.004179038175154780.02235858484297970.465018942038387
530.99630.9600424996861-0.002145423958800760.03595750031386140.533814451603976
631.03331.043723916878-0.0017382534660389-0.01072391687797810.0990378455712055
731.19831.1855986527485-0.001053292846705380.012401347251540.165718174423698
830.93730.9703722757926-0.00206851236682920-0.0333722757925578-0.247137480390282
931.64931.56832546292450.0007606616313914840.08067453707552460.692367551695651
1033.11532.96697435538560.007320744575351670.1480256446144481.61301391693064
1134.10634.02695156232010.01223771499630330.07904843767985251.21464204037963
1233.92633.96628860000610.0118987770802128-0.0402886000060978-0.0841180582279495
1333.38233.64256321706150.0253993900842476-0.260563217061456-0.454947411146312
1432.85132.99634941466910.0118802614321193-0.145349414669093-0.682761335064029
1532.94832.88626091213580.01043686881788780.0617390878641806-0.138488356549693
1636.11235.60117169341610.02048991032763160.5108283065839313.11982486439929
1736.11336.12328668133580.0216534239626073-0.01028668133584050.578398052153586
1835.2135.39599296387460.0197223411603790-0.185992963874635-0.86342346026361
1935.19335.12739303948180.01892955630110040.0656069605182098-0.332379312508679
2034.38334.51689487304190.0171866649800633-0.133894873041891-0.72560701664154
2135.34935.21295435725210.01906795673756780.1360456427478780.782616549966365
2237.05836.76443738844330.02349886859720210.2935626115566781.76682355991305
2338.07637.87891403313410.02675459807943450.1970859668659481.25817438197546
2436.6336.88815783169530.026927063691355-0.258157831695279-1.17198633735714
2536.04536.32084911211410.0360231237032054-0.27584911211414-0.728019554868669
2635.63835.80284412337710.0303057283601594-0.164844123377064-0.604216925552623
2735.11435.49224579049710.0269064083517163-0.378245790497122-0.385678633268819
2835.46535.10784169225630.02514323918182640.357158307743745-0.474070437016384
2935.25435.13094895355220.02513892305408610.123051046447826-0.00234747396731997
3035.29935.37860716744340.0255792414598661-0.0796071674434010.256492010881536
3135.91635.66430185395430.02614332224164760.2516981460457020.299795559696390
3236.68336.68098830392770.02839031920654360.002011696072294211.14162873663866
3337.28837.30925124562620.0298066248179012-0.02125124562617510.691426217013282
3438.53638.27832734610310.03217001722156510.2576726538969381.08289814159513
3538.97738.62874511426320.0328204539956010.3482548857367860.366842156635779
3636.40736.97026961551710.0354773476946675-0.563269615517122-1.94993671953989
3734.95535.46875428681280.0472402791711909-0.513754286812814-1.82215152704289
3834.95135.078785083540.0445433039359075-0.12778508354-0.489271776903668
3932.6833.31479265217650.0296570253826546-0.634792652176517-2.04713670542767
4034.79134.13839831489750.03330056712476410.6526016851025090.91392495796003
4134.17834.09060784292910.03311421093326990.0873921570709282-0.093497319211094
4235.21335.08981053689890.03483435639752960.1231894631011241.11357427407276
4334.87134.86650578459260.03434938868364170.00449421540735816-0.297500737433527
4435.29935.30578544972490.0351771726574544-0.006785449724849780.466664131864935
4535.44335.61749339750680.0357874675447234-0.1744933975068260.318735557420587
4637.10836.72534055557790.03818060372674050.3826594444221261.23593266476961
4736.41936.0235117468240.03721409431332520.395488253175966-0.852612568478296
4834.47135.00222522198390.0391053647949012-0.531225221983899-1.22132885973800
4933.86834.36739703096070.0419179790588139-0.499397030960679-0.787685747978609
5034.38534.17556547019420.04093939119587560.209434529805770-0.264536020689637
5133.64334.34823766035580.0418350390695929-0.7052376603557940.149409793657213
5234.62734.02848234110380.0401712742245340.59851765889616-0.415727421471527
5332.91933.17351094191280.0379213262905128-0.25451094191284-1.03196235268091
5435.534.89107003600980.04087775055291370.608929963990221.93610259308469
5536.1135.98348836572790.04270215650015350.1265116342721211.21189797710201
5637.08636.99887580295680.04456142160979690.0871241970431841.12100074569387
5737.71137.95197409597200.0464443933682000-0.2409740959720491.04722999082765
5840.42739.61051913731810.04955554959008420.8164808626819411.85825418146147
5939.88439.43689153683610.04937502695613070.447108463163941-0.257076126273345
6038.51239.05781367103530.0500524703842053-0.545813671035337-0.494451743531779
6138.76739.22680608933070.0497749784745955-0.4598060893307370.138046923122567