Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	0.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	0.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	0.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	0.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	0.56	0.5583	0.5501	0.5664	0.3378	0.3378	1	0.3378
50	0.56	0.5607	0.5483	0.5732	0.4547	0.5453	0.9995	0.5453
51	0.56	0.5614	0.5465	0.5763	0.4261	0.5739	0.9333	0.5739
52	0.55	0.5606	0.5427	0.5786	0.1232	0.5273	0.8768	0.5273
53	0.56	0.5611	0.54	0.5821	0.4608	0.8488	0.8488	0.5392
54	0.55	0.5614	0.538	0.5849	0.1691	0.5482	0.8309	0.5482
55	0.55	0.5612	0.5355	0.587	0.1964	0.8036	0.8036	0.5371
56	0.56	0.5612	0.5332	0.5892	0.4656	0.7843	0.7843	0.5344
57	0.55	0.5614	0.5314	0.5914	0.2288	0.536	0.7712	0.536
58	0.55	0.5613	0.5294	0.5933	0.2432	0.7568	0.7568	0.5328
59	0.55	0.5613	0.5275	0.5951	0.2557	0.7443	0.5304	0.5304
60	0.55	0.5614	0.5258	0.5969	0.2654	0.7346	0.5298	0.5298

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0074	0.0031	3e-04	0	0	5e-04
50	0.0113	-0.0013	1e-04	0	0	2e-04
51	0.0136	-0.0025	2e-04	0	0	4e-04
52	0.0164	-0.019	0.0016	1e-04	0	0.0031
53	0.0191	-0.0019	2e-04	0	0	3e-04
54	0.0213	-0.0204	0.0017	1e-04	0	0.0033
55	0.0234	-0.02	0.0017	1e-04	0	0.0032
56	0.0254	-0.0022	2e-04	0	0	4e-04
57	0.0273	-0.0203	0.0017	1e-04	0	0.0033
58	0.029	-0.0202	0.0017	1e-04	0	0.0033
59	0.0307	-0.0202	0.0017	1e-04	0	0.0033
60	0.0323	-0.0202	0.0017	1e-04	0	0.0033