Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	16	19.6301	12.3474	24.8641	0.087	0.7292	0.0029	0.7292
51	14	20.24	12.0523	25.9626	0.0163	0.9268	0.0243	0.7785
52	12	20.2011	11.4417	26.1774	0.0036	0.979	0.1064	0.7648
53	14	20.4536	11.2067	26.6666	0.0209	0.9962	0.2109	0.7805
54	16	20.6057	11.0159	26.9785	0.0783	0.9789	0.2307	0.7885
55	8	20.5136	10.5248	27.0341	1e-04	0.9126	0.1473	0.775
56	3	21.1757	11.5335	27.6369	0	1	0.8974	0.8323
57	0	20.9877	11.0015	27.5669	0	1	0.4985	0.8133
58	5	21.1389	11.1524	27.7368	0	1	0.7374	0.8244
59	1	20.9034	10.5896	27.6001	0	1	0.3741	0.8023
60	1	20.9533	10.6024	27.6708	0	1	0.38	0.8056
61	3	21.2776	11.1662	27.9426	0	1	0.8324	0.8324

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.136	-0.1849	0	13.1773	0	0
51	0.1443	-0.3083	0.2466	38.9372	26.0573	5.1046
52	0.1509	-0.406	0.2997	67.2584	39.791	6.308
53	0.155	-0.3155	0.3037	41.6486	40.2554	6.3447
54	0.1578	-0.2235	0.2876	21.2123	36.4468	6.0371
55	0.1622	-0.61	0.3414	156.5894	56.4705	7.5147
56	0.1557	-0.8583	0.4152	330.3562	95.5971	9.7774
57	0.1599	-1	0.4883	440.4832	138.7078	11.7774
58	0.1592	-0.7635	0.5189	260.4636	152.2363	12.3384
59	0.1635	-0.9522	0.5622	396.1454	176.6272	13.2901
60	0.1636	-0.9523	0.5977	398.1357	196.7643	14.0273
61	0.1598	-0.859	0.6195	334.0703	208.2065	14.4294