Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	0.70196	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	0.69215	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	0.6769	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	0.67124	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	0.66532	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	0.67157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	0.66428	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	0.66576	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	0.66942	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	0.6813	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	0.69144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	0.69862	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	0.695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	0.6987	0.695	0.6783	0.7117	0.3337	0.5	0.6307	0.5
50	0.6897	0.695	0.6713	0.7187	0.3298	0.3806	0.9331	0.5
51	0.6923	0.695	0.666	0.724	0.4284	0.6405	0.9459	0.5
52	0.6829	0.695	0.6615	0.7285	0.2398	0.5621	0.9589	0.5
53	0.684	0.695	0.6576	0.7324	0.2821	0.7364	0.8901	0.5
54	0.669	0.695	0.654	0.736	0.1065	0.7007	0.9291	0.5
55	0.6876	0.695	0.6507	0.7393	0.3709	0.8756	0.9022	0.5
56	0.6853	0.695	0.6477	0.7423	0.3435	0.621	0.8552	0.5
57	0.6776	0.695	0.6448	0.7452	0.2485	0.648	0.7036	0.5
58	0.6814	0.695	0.6421	0.7479	0.3068	0.7404	0.5524	0.5
59	0.6793	0.695	0.6395	0.7505	0.29	0.6849	0.4491	0.5
60	0.6792	0.695	0.637	0.753	0.2968	0.7019	0.5	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0123	0.0053	0	0	0	0
50	0.0174	-0.0077	0.0065	0	0	0.0046
51	0.0213	-0.0038	0.0056	0	0	0.004
52	0.0246	-0.0174	0.0085	1e-04	0	0.007
53	0.0275	-0.0158	0.01	1e-04	1e-04	0.0079
54	0.0301	-0.0375	0.0146	7e-04	2e-04	0.0129
55	0.0325	-0.0107	0.014	1e-04	1e-04	0.0122
56	0.0347	-0.014	0.014	1e-04	1e-04	0.012
57	0.0369	-0.025	0.0152	3e-04	2e-04	0.0127
58	0.0388	-0.0196	0.0157	2e-04	2e-04	0.0128
59	0.0407	-0.0225	0.0163	2e-04	2e-04	0.0131
60	0.0426	-0.0227	0.0168	2e-04	2e-04	0.0133