Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	102.1	102.1	0	0	0
2	102.86	102.765151457035	0.06421066028975	0.0472981722103792	0.811371258374927
3	102.99	102.937342900285	0.0830850431561682	0.0375618299775458	0.189765895420029
4	103.73	103.588003997962	0.211951644815353	0.067714864134335	0.954909891260168
5	105.02	104.812706859019	0.470198797216456	0.0812581721220051	1.65487858208892
6	104.43	104.540561632929	0.270205063345090	-0.0205258726395394	-1.19559366289446
7	104.63	104.613411613814	0.215607438579203	0.0402172397717256	-0.315576160168867
8	104.93	104.880139398616	0.229932906681037	0.0437790001326162	0.081455708723675
9	105.87	105.727522168496	0.404050369434276	0.0692493144769964	0.982188462873182
10	105.66	105.705969236383	0.283663252394629	0.00443160071438382	-0.676473794049252
11	106.76	106.609177722391	0.459174208723252	0.0775061606676195	0.984369587066293
12	106	106.133127680932	0.194036528702973	-0.0224910439118621	-1.48569097016466
13	107.22	107.125112295267	0.411194761759492	0.00451842929517610	1.45667327957439
14	107.33	107.342766908453	0.358721621445186	0.003821206714052	-0.260008449393046
15	107.11	107.230710716395	0.227692677879219	-0.0680454006315661	-0.739681292772364
16	108.86	108.642470881281	0.56135759369155	0.0835838855526111	1.86501983542233
17	107.72	107.933839215472	0.203509707592572	-0.070446551532578	-1.99747126935286
18	107.88	107.934205468626	0.146308209952554	-0.0312448268648332	-0.319764662433646
19	108.38	108.319849571243	0.213686298759239	0.0330781989645532	0.376964778916922
20	107.72	107.889039538910	0.0322513933179768	-0.0961080204849495	-1.01545858717818
21	108.41	108.265389713630	0.129124049066835	0.105662449630389	0.542271327969
22	109.9	109.714326201406	0.500715448906563	0.0362588532372428	2.08026990939708
23	111.45	111.193613654370	0.776254836292293	0.145587891498956	1.54261026183656
24	112.18	112.252279326314	0.855671935194427	-0.104203793427510	0.444689780661887
25	113.34	113.224810759244	0.888089973140158	0.102049069170236	0.196644175735931
26	113.46	113.520212788915	0.725146290757188	-0.00276096361689073	-0.85787675926491
27	114.06	114.244820601299	0.724996985899211	-0.184762113724858	-0.00083967605545427
28	115.54	115.285735604074	0.813519896172332	0.219399538641074	0.495729607223135
29	116.39	116.398029269592	0.897292134789788	-0.0409189242552296	0.467859690556891
30	115.94	116.251556685710	0.604801409303994	-0.196582891669543	-1.63528753513486
31	116.97	116.844524646464	0.601486011141343	0.126779821009020	-0.0185506130058656
32	115.94	116.300401985885	0.280522780961716	-0.234065698926343	-1.79648518578687
33	115.91	116.003649299062	0.118780668329578	-0.0299736903632424	-0.90543196184608
34	116.43	116.399524995428	0.196424933136498	-9.530930384552e-05	0.434686592306393
35	116.26	116.237925550805	0.0961101278666753	0.0615700667171395	-0.561600288915193
36	116.35	116.435811108018	0.1245715588933	-0.0970117213422119	0.159495425282006
37	117.9	117.417821519902	0.363198753510621	0.387126608350525	1.39661150407570
38	117.7	117.727551245982	0.348419018330608	-0.0221249495079620	-0.0798484402436809
39	117.53	117.826874428711	0.279472100006796	-0.270231867062211	-0.386690010795041
40	117.86	117.773280784439	0.186487873012909	0.122969793321466	-0.521370824042164
41	117.65	117.663367194782	0.103638542355162	0.0188137010861343	-0.462937653020033
42	116.51	116.923002540769	-0.132163703558486	-0.321356449630923	-1.31836801891653
43	115.93	115.88208675318	-0.386004644997404	0.146662301323176	-1.42032071118767
44	115.31	115.466804163221	-0.394182837006596	-0.153621309674475	-0.0457758208463296
45	115	115.065385319931	-0.396204205777226	-0.0645984848540805	-0.0113159082216976