Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 671 | 0 | 68 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2360 | 2281.55140812987 | 75.6497893581889 | 2362.79880251194 | -78.448591870132 |
2 | 2214 | 2131.27966452141 | -66.4949848066158 | 2363.21532028521 | -82.7203354785925 |
3 | 2825 | 3078.841318848 | 207.526843093529 | 2363.63183805847 | 253.841318847997 |
4 | 2355 | 2294.41635475571 | 50.4955778680583 | 2365.08806737624 | -60.5836452442941 |
5 | 2333 | 2282.49129209430 | 16.9644112116970 | 2366.544296694 | -50.5087079056957 |
6 | 3016 | 3289.79323565683 | 372.422450244446 | 2369.78431409873 | 273.793235656828 |
7 | 2155 | 1992.92793146126 | -55.9522629647083 | 2373.02433150345 | -162.072068538745 |
8 | 2172 | 2121.98289482621 | -155.322515441816 | 2377.33962061561 | -50.017105173792 |
9 | 2150 | 2038.73657830859 | -120.391488036351 | 2381.65490972776 | -111.263421691414 |
10 | 2533 | 2598.45612181898 | 74.1453843980334 | 2393.39849378298 | 65.4561218189838 |
11 | 2058 | 2007.77573183094 | -296.917809669138 | 2405.1420778382 | -50.2242681690636 |
12 | 2160 | 1991.78839596133 | -102.125335732421 | 2430.33693977109 | -168.211604038674 |
13 | 2260 | 1988.81840893782 | 75.6497893581889 | 2455.53180170399 | -271.181591062177 |
14 | 2498 | 2579.71684285455 | -66.4949848066158 | 2482.77814195206 | 81.7168428545524 |
15 | 2695 | 2672.44867470633 | 207.526843093529 | 2510.02448220014 | -22.551325293668 |
16 | 2799 | 3005.60104653696 | 50.4955778680583 | 2541.90337559498 | 206.601046536962 |
17 | 2947 | 3303.25331979848 | 16.9644112116970 | 2573.78226898982 | 356.253319798482 |
18 | 2930 | 2869.29183725825 | 372.422450244446 | 2618.2857124973 | -60.708162741746 |
19 | 2318 | 2029.16310695993 | -55.9522629647083 | 2662.78915600478 | -288.836893040071 |
20 | 2540 | 2540.39166535727 | -155.322515441816 | 2694.93085008455 | 0.391665357265538 |
21 | 2570 | 2533.31894387203 | -120.391488036351 | 2727.07254416432 | -36.6810561279726 |
22 | 2669 | 2533.73034772284 | 74.1453843980334 | 2730.12426787913 | -135.269652277159 |
23 | 2450 | 2463.74181807521 | -296.917809669138 | 2733.17599159393 | 13.7418180752088 |
24 | 2842 | 3065.3671341064 | -102.125335732421 | 2720.75820162602 | 223.367134106401 |
25 | 3440 | 4096.0097989837 | 75.6497893581889 | 2708.34041165811 | 656.0097989837 |
26 | 2678 | 2732.80335096437 | -66.4949848066158 | 2689.69163384225 | 54.8033509643687 |
27 | 2981 | 3083.43030088009 | 207.526843093529 | 2671.04285602638 | 102.430300880087 |
28 | 2260 | 1833.68488693638 | 50.4955778680583 | 2635.81953519556 | -426.315113063617 |
29 | 2844 | 3070.43937442357 | 16.9644112116970 | 2600.59621436474 | 226.439374423568 |
30 | 2546 | 2167.10350686122 | 372.422450244446 | 2552.47404289434 | -378.896493138783 |
31 | 2456 | 2463.60039154077 | -55.9522629647083 | 2504.35187142394 | 7.60039154077049 |
32 | 2295 | 2281.24172551380 | -155.322515441816 | 2464.08078992801 | -13.7582744861970 |
33 | 2379 | 2454.58177960426 | -120.391488036351 | 2423.80970843209 | 75.5817796042606 |
34 | 2479 | 2481.95721147317 | 74.1453843980334 | 2401.8974041288 | 2.9572114731659 |
35 | 2057 | 2030.93270984363 | -296.917809669138 | 2379.98509982551 | -26.0672901563739 |
36 | 2280 | 2295.93346036070 | -102.125335732421 | 2366.19187537172 | 15.9334603607017 |
37 | 2351 | 2273.95155972388 | 75.6497893581889 | 2352.39865091793 | -77.0484402761163 |
38 | 2276 | 2279.10943257569 | -66.4949848066158 | 2339.38555223092 | 3.10943257569079 |
39 | 2548 | 2562.10070336255 | 207.526843093529 | 2326.37245354392 | 14.1007033625478 |
40 | 2311 | 2254.42726786238 | 50.4955778680583 | 2317.07715426956 | -56.5727321376189 |
41 | 2201 | 2077.25373379310 | 16.9644112116970 | 2307.7818549952 | -123.746266206896 |
42 | 2725 | 2771.62561130557 | 372.422450244446 | 2305.95193844998 | 46.6256113055701 |
43 | 2408 | 2567.83024105994 | -55.9522629647083 | 2304.12202190477 | 159.830241059939 |
44 | 2139 | 2125.993776949 | -155.322515441816 | 2307.32873849282 | -13.0062230510016 |
45 | 1898 | 1605.85603295548 | -120.391488036351 | 2310.53545508087 | -292.143967044517 |
46 | 2537 | 2686.45941530884 | 74.1453843980334 | 2313.39520029312 | 149.459415308842 |
47 | 2069 | 2118.66286416376 | -296.917809669138 | 2316.25494550538 | 49.6628641637562 |
48 | 2063 | 1912.17715692547 | -102.125335732421 | 2315.94817880695 | -150.822843074529 |
49 | 2524 | 2656.70879853329 | 75.6497893581889 | 2315.64141210852 | 132.708798533293 |
50 | 2437 | 2623.65330465633 | -66.4949848066158 | 2316.84168015028 | 186.653304656334 |
51 | 2189 | 1852.43120871443 | 207.526843093529 | 2318.04194819205 | -336.568791285575 |
52 | 2793 | 3222.25453654015 | 50.4955778680583 | 2313.24988559179 | 429.254536540152 |
53 | 2074 | 1822.57776579677 | 16.9644112116970 | 2308.45782299153 | -251.422234203230 |
54 | 2622 | 2586.68177749546 | 372.422450244446 | 2284.89577226010 | -35.3182225045416 |
55 | 2278 | 2350.61854143605 | -55.9522629647083 | 2261.33372152866 | 72.6185414360502 |
56 | 2144 | 2218.12428174248 | -155.322515441816 | 2225.19823369934 | 74.1242817424759 |
57 | 2427 | 2785.32874216633 | -120.391488036351 | 2189.06274587002 | 358.328742166327 |
58 | 2139 | 2048.71141423345 | 74.1453843980334 | 2155.14320136852 | -90.288585766552 |
59 | 1828 | 1831.69415280212 | -296.917809669138 | 2121.22365686701 | 3.69415280212388 |
60 | 2072 | 2147.57876318363 | -102.125335732421 | 2098.54657254879 | 75.578763183627 |
61 | 1800 | 1448.48072241124 | 75.6497893581889 | 2075.86948823057 | -351.519277588762 |
62 | 1758 | 1529.83615640349 | -66.4949848066158 | 2052.65882840313 | -228.163843596513 |
63 | 2246 | 2255.02498833079 | 207.526843093529 | 2029.44816857568 | 9.02498833078653 |
64 | 1987 | 1916.87666665030 | 50.4955778680583 | 2006.62775548164 | -70.1233333496953 |
65 | 1868 | 1735.22824640071 | 16.9644112116970 | 1983.80734238759 | -132.771753599287 |
66 | 2514 | 2692.07489318326 | 372.422450244446 | 1963.50265657230 | 178.074893183255 |
67 | 2121 | 2354.7542922077 | -55.9522629647083 | 1943.19797075701 | 233.754292207702 |