Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Y[t] = + 653.571428571429 + 56.4285714285714X[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 653.571428571429 | 23.887958 | 27.3599 | 0 | 0 |
X | 56.4285714285714 | 37.770179 | 1.494 | 0.139802 | 0.069901 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.178271700568352 |
R-squared | 0.0317807992235320 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.0175422815650547 |
F-TEST (value) | 2.23203004595145 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 1 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 68 |
p-value | 0.139802175645581 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 154.811663838692 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 1629732.28571429 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 627 | 653.571428571426 | -26.5714285714261 |
2 | 696 | 653.571428571429 | 42.4285714285714 |
3 | 825 | 653.571428571429 | 171.428571428571 |
4 | 677 | 653.571428571429 | 23.4285714285714 |
5 | 656 | 653.571428571429 | 2.42857142857136 |
6 | 785 | 653.571428571429 | 131.428571428571 |
7 | 412 | 653.571428571429 | -241.571428571429 |
8 | 352 | 653.571428571429 | -301.571428571429 |
9 | 839 | 653.571428571429 | 185.428571428571 |
10 | 729 | 653.571428571429 | 75.4285714285714 |
11 | 696 | 653.571428571429 | 42.4285714285714 |
12 | 641 | 653.571428571429 | -12.5714285714286 |
13 | 695 | 653.571428571429 | 41.4285714285714 |
14 | 638 | 653.571428571429 | -15.5714285714286 |
15 | 762 | 653.571428571429 | 108.428571428571 |
16 | 635 | 653.571428571429 | -18.5714285714286 |
17 | 721 | 653.571428571429 | 67.4285714285714 |
18 | 854 | 653.571428571429 | 200.428571428571 |
19 | 418 | 653.571428571429 | -235.571428571429 |
20 | 367 | 653.571428571429 | -286.571428571429 |
21 | 824 | 653.571428571429 | 170.428571428571 |
22 | 687 | 653.571428571429 | 33.4285714285714 |
23 | 601 | 653.571428571429 | -52.5714285714286 |
24 | 676 | 653.571428571429 | 22.4285714285714 |
25 | 740 | 653.571428571429 | 86.4285714285714 |
26 | 691 | 653.571428571429 | 37.4285714285714 |
27 | 683 | 653.571428571429 | 29.4285714285714 |
28 | 594 | 653.571428571429 | -59.5714285714286 |
29 | 729 | 653.571428571429 | 75.4285714285714 |
30 | 731 | 653.571428571429 | 77.4285714285714 |
31 | 386 | 653.571428571429 | -267.571428571429 |
32 | 331 | 653.571428571429 | -322.571428571429 |
33 | 707 | 653.571428571429 | 53.4285714285714 |
34 | 715 | 653.571428571429 | 61.4285714285714 |
35 | 657 | 653.571428571429 | 3.42857142857136 |
36 | 653 | 653.571428571429 | -0.571428571428637 |
37 | 642 | 653.571428571429 | -11.5714285714286 |
38 | 643 | 653.571428571429 | -10.5714285714286 |
39 | 718 | 653.571428571429 | 64.4285714285714 |
40 | 654 | 653.571428571429 | 0.428571428571363 |
41 | 632 | 653.571428571429 | -21.5714285714286 |
42 | 731 | 653.571428571429 | 77.4285714285714 |
43 | 392 | 710 | -318 |
44 | 344 | 710 | -366 |
45 | 792 | 710 | 82 |
46 | 852 | 710 | 142 |
47 | 649 | 710 | -61 |
48 | 629 | 710 | -81 |
49 | 685 | 710 | -25 |
50 | 617 | 710 | -93 |
51 | 715 | 710 | 5 |
52 | 715 | 710 | 5 |
53 | 629 | 710 | -81 |
54 | 916 | 710 | 206 |
55 | 531 | 710 | -179 |
56 | 357 | 710 | -353 |
57 | 917 | 710 | 207 |
58 | 828 | 710 | 118 |
59 | 708 | 710 | -2 |
60 | 858 | 710 | 148 |
61 | 775 | 710 | 65 |
62 | 785 | 710 | 75 |
63 | 1006 | 710 | 296 |
64 | 789 | 710 | 79 |
65 | 734 | 710 | 24 |
66 | 906 | 710 | 196 |
67 | 532 | 710 | -178 |
68 | 387 | 710 | -323 |
69 | 991 | 710 | 281 |
70 | 841 | 710 | 131 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
5 | 0.180055513589125 | 0.360111027178251 | 0.819944486410875 |
6 | 0.119383772481348 | 0.238767544962697 | 0.880616227518652 |
7 | 0.483171774776129 | 0.966343549552258 | 0.516828225223871 |
8 | 0.753579751642003 | 0.492840496715995 | 0.246420248357997 |
9 | 0.781011148979996 | 0.437977702040009 | 0.218988851020004 |
10 | 0.709655016828741 | 0.580689966342518 | 0.290344983171259 |
11 | 0.618433340635988 | 0.763133318728024 | 0.381566659364012 |
12 | 0.520138026901099 | 0.959723946197803 | 0.479861973098901 |
13 | 0.426759888257732 | 0.853519776515463 | 0.573240111742268 |
14 | 0.337433616522776 | 0.674867233045551 | 0.662566383477224 |
15 | 0.289909058227384 | 0.579818116454768 | 0.710090941772616 |
16 | 0.219856116270021 | 0.439712232540042 | 0.78014388372998 |
17 | 0.167781575531254 | 0.335563151062508 | 0.832218424468746 |
18 | 0.200540818627621 | 0.401081637255242 | 0.799459181372379 |
19 | 0.313554813966737 | 0.627109627933474 | 0.686445186033263 |
20 | 0.501524023467243 | 0.996951953065515 | 0.498475976532757 |
21 | 0.512600895964377 | 0.974798208071246 | 0.487399104035623 |
22 | 0.438311360119607 | 0.876622720239214 | 0.561688639880393 |
23 | 0.372965153940521 | 0.745930307881043 | 0.627034846059479 |
24 | 0.304673300730126 | 0.609346601460253 | 0.695326699269874 |
25 | 0.259911927827804 | 0.519823855655608 | 0.740088072172196 |
26 | 0.206039795662453 | 0.412079591324905 | 0.793960204337547 |
27 | 0.158912697866623 | 0.317825395733245 | 0.841087302133377 |
28 | 0.124437242662337 | 0.248874485324675 | 0.875562757337663 |
29 | 0.0983605966302692 | 0.196721193260538 | 0.901639403369731 |
30 | 0.0773527500586076 | 0.154705500117215 | 0.922647249941392 |
31 | 0.144966687061836 | 0.289933374123673 | 0.855033312938164 |
32 | 0.318479017875380 | 0.636958035750761 | 0.68152098212462 |
33 | 0.263926414426431 | 0.527852828852861 | 0.73607358557357 |
34 | 0.216464545375375 | 0.43292909075075 | 0.783535454624625 |
35 | 0.168393778295235 | 0.336787556590469 | 0.831606221704765 |
36 | 0.127890412427595 | 0.255780824855189 | 0.872109587572405 |
37 | 0.0951194874512858 | 0.190238974902572 | 0.904880512548714 |
38 | 0.0691355171520694 | 0.138271034304139 | 0.93086448284793 |
39 | 0.0509514244222457 | 0.101902848844491 | 0.949048575577754 |
40 | 0.0350656282713019 | 0.0701312565426038 | 0.964934371728698 |
41 | 0.0243137070044244 | 0.0486274140088488 | 0.975686292995576 |
42 | 0.0168351478220358 | 0.0336702956440716 | 0.983164852177964 |
43 | 0.0246215744696011 | 0.0492431489392023 | 0.9753784255304 |
44 | 0.0562399682563096 | 0.112479936512619 | 0.94376003174369 |
45 | 0.0963120586585598 | 0.192624117317120 | 0.90368794134144 |
46 | 0.127758536717786 | 0.255517073435572 | 0.872241463282214 |
47 | 0.0991583122912132 | 0.198316624582426 | 0.900841687708787 |
48 | 0.0772624374663463 | 0.154524874932693 | 0.922737562533654 |
49 | 0.0565473809468212 | 0.113094761893642 | 0.943452619053179 |
50 | 0.0439781548286035 | 0.087956309657207 | 0.956021845171396 |
51 | 0.03076486924219 | 0.06152973848438 | 0.96923513075781 |
52 | 0.0206771819904315 | 0.041354363980863 | 0.979322818009569 |
53 | 0.0150022084000931 | 0.0300044168001862 | 0.984997791599907 |
54 | 0.0199999892633291 | 0.0399999785266583 | 0.98000001073667 |
55 | 0.0233795565769221 | 0.0467591131538442 | 0.976620443423078 |
56 | 0.149885587183437 | 0.299771174366874 | 0.850114412816563 |
57 | 0.161663547735441 | 0.323327095470882 | 0.838336452264559 |
58 | 0.125886338530561 | 0.251772677061123 | 0.874113661469439 |
59 | 0.088655227866818 | 0.177310455733636 | 0.911344772133182 |
60 | 0.067912759416155 | 0.13582551883231 | 0.932087240583845 |
61 | 0.0414833636590727 | 0.0829667273181453 | 0.958516636340927 |
62 | 0.023538114757116 | 0.047076229514232 | 0.976461885242884 |
63 | 0.0435327027455094 | 0.0870654054910188 | 0.95646729725449 |
64 | 0.0228562829276245 | 0.0457125658552491 | 0.977143717072375 |
65 | 0.00956985162007734 | 0.0191397032401547 | 0.990430148379923 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 10 | 0.163934426229508 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 15 | 0.245901639344262 | NOK |