Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	117.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	106.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	122.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	125.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	148.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	126.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	99.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	140.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	80.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	92.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	138.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	110.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	119.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	105	106.9199	84.653	131.7838	0.4399	0.1588	0.5195	0.1588
34	109	122.4648	97.7729	149.9338	0.1683	0.8936	0.5047	0.581
35	129.4	117.0478	90.6593	146.8026	0.2079	0.702	0.2888	0.4332
36	148.6	151.1618	120.683	185.0686	0.4411	0.8958	0.5634	0.966
37	101.4	126.4501	97.0756	159.7016	0.0699	0.0958	0.5035	0.6568
38	134.8	103.7793	77.2959	134.1568	0.0227	0.561	0.6063	0.1537
39	143.7	141.3307	109.9218	176.6815	0.4477	0.6414	0.5206	0.8859
40	81.6	80.9184	57.2664	108.6489	0.4808	0	0.5174	0.0031
41	90.3	87.4714	62.7533	116.2846	0.4237	0.6552	0.3636	0.0144
42	141.5	135.2346	103.6988	170.9509	0.3655	0.9932	0.4289	0.8045
43	140.7	118.8113	89.2396	152.6077	0.1021	0.0941	0.6768	0.4818
44	140.2	121.1038	91.1051	155.3646	0.1373	0.1311	0.5343	0.5343
45	100.2	110.1666	78.1435	147.6754	0.3013	0.0583	0.6064	0.311
46	125.7	120.8572	86.7247	160.6404	0.4057	0.8456	0.7204	0.5247
47	119.6	119.4137	84.5069	160.3403	0.4964	0.3817	0.3162	0.4964
48	134.7	151.6663	111.9571	197.3911	0.2335	0.9154	0.5523	0.9154
49	109	126.9169	90.1369	169.9746	0.2074	0.3616	0.8773	0.6305
50	116.3	105.0556	71.735	144.7131	0.2892	0.4227	0.0708	0.2361
51	146.9	141.6168	102.2083	187.437	0.4106	0.8606	0.4645	0.8268
52	97.4	81.6957	52.2856	117.6411	0.1959	2e-04	0.5021	0.0194
53	89.4	88.0551	57.2977	125.3954	0.4719	0.3119	0.4531	0.0489
54	132.1	135.8179	96.5853	181.7213	0.4369	0.9763	0.4042	0.7557
55	139.8	119.5731	82.8117	163.0678	0.181	0.2862	0.1705	0.4995
56	129	121.633	84.3906	165.6634	0.3715	0.2093	0.2043	0.5361
57	112.5	110.7576	72.5474	157.0212	0.4706	0.2198	0.6727	0.354
58	121.9	121.4375	80.7946	170.3328	0.4926	0.6399	0.4322	0.5294
59	121.7	119.9274	78.699	169.8077	0.4722	0.4691	0.5051	0.5051
60	123.1	152.2827	105.2778	207.9386	0.152	0.8593	0.7321	0.8751

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	0.1186	-0.018	0	3.6861	0	0
34	0.1144	-0.1099	0.064	181.302	92.4941	9.6174
35	0.1297	0.1055	0.0778	152.5763	112.5215	10.6076
36	0.1144	-0.0169	0.0626	6.5627	86.0318	9.2753
37	0.1342	-0.1981	0.0897	627.5081	194.327	13.9401
38	0.1493	0.2989	0.1246	962.2867	322.3203	17.9533
39	0.1276	0.0168	0.1092	5.6135	277.0765	16.6456
40	0.1748	0.0084	0.0966	0.4645	242.5	15.5724
41	0.1681	0.0323	0.0894	8.0008	216.4445	14.7121
42	0.1347	0.0463	0.0851	39.2557	198.7257	14.097
43	0.1451	0.1842	0.0941	479.1153	224.2156	14.9738
44	0.1443	0.1577	0.0994	364.6662	235.9198	15.3597
45	0.1737	-0.0905	0.0987	99.3329	225.4132	15.0138
46	0.1679	0.0401	0.0946	23.453	210.9874	14.5254
47	0.1749	0.0016	0.0884	0.0347	196.9239	14.033
48	0.1538	-0.1119	0.0898	287.8544	202.6071	14.234
49	0.1731	-0.1412	0.0928	321.0137	209.5722	14.4766
50	0.1926	0.107	0.0936	126.4363	204.9535	14.3162
51	0.1651	0.0373	0.0907	27.9121	195.6355	13.987
52	0.2245	0.1922	0.0957	246.6264	198.1851	14.0778
53	0.2164	0.0153	0.0919	1.8088	188.8338	13.7417
54	0.1724	-0.0274	0.089	13.8227	180.8788	13.4491
55	0.1856	0.1692	0.0925	409.127	190.8026	13.8131
56	0.1847	0.0606	0.0911	54.2731	185.1139	13.6057
57	0.2131	0.0157	0.0881	3.0361	177.8308	13.3353
58	0.2054	0.0038	0.0849	0.2139	170.9994	13.0767
59	0.2122	0.0148	0.0823	3.1421	164.7824	12.8368
60	0.1865	-0.1916	0.0862	851.629	189.3127	13.7591