Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[32])
20	129.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	128.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	129.11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	129.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	129.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	129.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	129.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	129.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	129.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	129.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	129.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	129.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	129.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	129.57	129.3699	129.2378	129.5019	0.0015	0.117	1	0.117
34	129.76	129.276	129.0803	129.4716	0	0.0016	0.9518	0.0406
35	129.92	129.2351	128.941	129.5292	0	2e-04	0.8493	0.076
36	130.08	129.2435	128.8534	129.6335	0	3e-04	0.6059	0.1497
37	130.41	129.186	128.7146	129.6573	0	1e-04	0.4273	0.1361
38	130.84	129.2995	128.775	129.8239	0	0	0.5733	0.2869
39	131.24	129.2306	128.6631	129.798	0	0	0.3919	0.2242
40	131.49	129.2477	128.6447	129.8508	0	0	0.3946	0.2555
41	131.74	129.1903	128.5476	129.833	0	0	0.2712	0.2142
42	132.34	129.1602	128.4796	129.8407	0	0	0.1308	0.2019
43	133.5	129.2141	128.4939	129.9343	0	0	0.2784	0.2604
44	134.43	129.2385	128.4843	129.9927	0	0	0.2913	0.2913
45	136.5	129.2644	128.496	130.0328	0	0	0.2178	0.3179
46	137.41	129.3332	128.5542	130.1123	0	0	0.1415	0.3845
47	138.02	129.312	128.5275	130.0964	0	0	0.0644	0.3651
48	138.15	129.3227	128.5358	130.1096	0	0	0.0296	0.3756
49	138.24	129.2878	128.498	130.0775	0	0	0.0027	0.3436
50	138.2	129.2674	128.4736	130.0611	0	0	1e-04	0.326
51	138.31	129.2318	128.4323	130.0313	0	0	0	0.2964
52	138.65	129.27	128.4649	130.075	0	0	0	0.3306
53	139.3	129.227	128.4167	130.0372	0	0	0	0.2948
54	139.8	129.2432	128.4288	130.0577	0	0	0	0.3094
55	140.52	129.1977	128.3789	130.0164	0	0	0	0.2729
56	141.57	129.2317	128.4088	130.0546	0	0	0	0.3015
57	141.77	129.1888	128.361	130.0167	0	0	0	0.2682
58	141.66	129.2369	128.4044	130.0695	0	0	0	0.308
59	141.36	129.2087	128.3711	130.0463	0	0	0	0.2862
60	141.17	129.2552	128.413	130.0975	0	0	0	0.3252

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
33	5e-04	0.0015	0	0.0401	0	0
34	8e-04	0.0037	0.0026	0.2343	0.1372	0.3704
35	0.0012	0.0053	0.0035	0.4691	0.2478	0.4978
36	0.0015	0.0065	0.0043	0.6998	0.3608	0.6007
37	0.0019	0.0095	0.0053	1.4983	0.5883	0.767
38	0.0021	0.0119	0.0064	2.3732	0.8858	0.9412
39	0.0022	0.0155	0.0077	4.0379	1.3361	1.1559
40	0.0024	0.0173	0.0089	5.0277	1.7975	1.3407
41	0.0025	0.0197	0.0101	6.501	2.3202	1.5232
42	0.0027	0.0246	0.0116	10.1113	3.0993	1.7605
43	0.0028	0.0332	0.0135	18.3688	4.4874	2.1183
44	0.003	0.0402	0.0158	26.9517	6.3594	2.5218
45	0.003	0.056	0.0188	52.354	9.8975	3.146
46	0.0031	0.0624	0.022	65.234	13.8501	3.7216
47	0.0031	0.0673	0.025	75.8298	17.9821	4.2405
48	0.0031	0.0683	0.0277	77.9213	21.7283	4.6614
49	0.0031	0.0692	0.0301	80.1428	25.1644	5.0164
50	0.0031	0.0691	0.0323	79.7921	28.1993	5.3103
51	0.0032	0.0702	0.0343	82.4136	31.0527	5.5725
52	0.0032	0.0726	0.0362	87.9845	33.8993	5.8223
53	0.0032	0.0779	0.0382	101.4656	37.1167	6.0923
54	0.0032	0.0817	0.0402	111.4455	40.4953	6.3636
55	0.0032	0.0876	0.0422	128.1953	44.3083	6.6565
56	0.0032	0.0955	0.0445	152.2343	48.8052	6.9861
57	0.0033	0.0974	0.0466	158.2855	53.1845	7.2928
58	0.0033	0.0961	0.0485	154.3323	57.0748	7.5548
59	0.0033	0.094	0.0502	147.6536	60.4295	7.7736
60	0.0033	0.0922	0.0517	141.9619	63.3414	7.9587