Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
48	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	2.2	1.7794	1.2164	2.8472	0.22	0.696	0.696	0.696
51	2.9	1.7085	0.9265	4.1451	0.1689	0.3463	0.3463	0.5666
52	3.1	2.0493	0.8583	9.9096	0.3967	0.416	0.416	0.5545
53	3.5	2.4583	0.7363	82.3662	0.4898	0.4937	0.4937	0.5094
54	3.6	2.6474	0.5875	175.6789	0.4957	0.4961	0.4961	0.5052
55	4.4	3.1096	0.4939	11.995	0.388	0.4569	0.4569	0.6387
56	4.2	3.7743	0.4144	3.6438	1	1	1	0
57	5.2	4.3902	0.3412	1.7425	0.7256	0.444	0.444	0.0162
58	5.8	5.3162	0.2852	0.9898	0.5867	0.479	0.479	0.0419
59	5.9	6.7042	0.2403	0.6222	0.6022	0.3854	0.3854	0.0468
60	5.4	8.4506	0.2022	0.424	0.7718	0.2667	0.2667	0.0448
61	5.5	11.0569	0.1715	0.3041	0.8444	0.1512	0.1512	0.0408

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.3062	0.2364	0	0.1769	0	0
51	0.7276	0.6974	0.4669	1.4196	0.7983	0.8935
52	1.9569	0.5127	0.4821	1.1039	0.9001	0.9488
53	16.5845	0.4238	0.4675	1.0852	0.9464	0.9728
54	33.3458	0.3598	0.446	0.9074	0.9386	0.9688
55	1.4578	0.415	0.4408	1.665	1.0597	1.0294
56	-0.0176	0.1128	0.394	0.1812	0.9342	0.9665
57	-0.3077	0.1844	0.3678	0.6557	0.8994	0.9484
58	-0.4152	0.091	0.337	0.234	0.8254	0.9085
59	-0.4629	-0.12	0.3153	0.6467	0.8076	0.8987
60	-0.4846	-0.361	0.3195	9.306	1.5802	1.257
61	-0.4962	-0.5026	0.3347	30.8787	4.0217	2.0054