Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	2.2	1.3829	1.019	1.9831	0.0038	0.3511	0.7248	0.3511
51	2.9	1.4261	0.9322	2.4488	0.0024	0.069	0.4437	0.4437
52	3.1	1.4975	0.8898	3.0323	0.0204	0.0366	0.4479	0.4987
53	3.5	1.4204	0.7978	3.2053	0.0112	0.0326	0.3794	0.4652
54	3.6	1.3875	0.7399	3.4891	0.0195	0.0244	0.3502	0.4582
55	4.4	1.1576	0.6171	2.9132	1e-04	0.0032	0.2366	0.3511
56	4.2	1.2612	0.6284	3.7072	0.0093	0.0059	0.333	0.4241
57	5.2	1.2766	0.6087	4.1926	0.0042	0.0247	0.4937	0.4403
58	5.8	1.194	0.5603	4.0911	9e-04	0.0034	0.4714	0.418
59	5.9	1.0928	0.5101	3.7987	2e-04	3e-04	0.412	0.384
60	5.4	1.0689	0.4874	3.9667	0.0017	5e-04	0.4916	0.3853
61	5.5	0.9209	0.4284	3.2321	1e-04	1e-04	0.3117	0.3117

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.2214	0.5909	0	0.6677	0	0
51	0.3659	1.0335	0.8122	2.1723	1.42	1.1916
52	0.5229	1.0701	0.8982	2.568	1.8027	1.3426
53	0.6411	1.464	1.0396	4.3246	2.4332	1.5599
54	0.7728	1.5947	1.1506	4.8953	2.9256	1.7104
55	0.7737	2.8008	1.4257	10.5129	4.1901	2.047
56	0.9895	2.33	1.5549	8.6363	4.8253	2.1967
57	1.1654	3.0733	1.7447	15.3931	6.1463	2.4792
58	1.2379	3.8575	1.9794	21.2149	7.8206	2.7965
59	1.2633	4.3988	2.2214	23.1088	9.3494	3.0577
60	1.3832	4.0521	2.3878	18.7587	10.2048	3.1945
61	1.2805	4.9725	2.6032	20.9682	11.1017	3.3319