| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3213 | 0.0528 | -0.0475 |
| (p-val) | (0.016 ) | (0.7033 ) | (0.7156 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3205 | 0.0356 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0164 ) | (0.7852 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3331 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.008 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.108499938939563 |
| 3.58177846929535 |
| 3.03540264856959 |
| -2.61315098177491 |
| 4.79956759511984 |
| 11.3649929413718 |
| -9.06554454343213 |
| 2.28295473360396 |
| 2.98617003620609 |
| -2.56816453334574 |
| -5.73312228594521 |
| -2.09182111874129 |
| 2.73086457910384 |
| -0.138727528621999 |
| 5.22527211674343 |
| 6.09798699680758 |
| -0.588124930697006 |
| -3.25040322266111 |
| 1.66237320719475 |
| 2.16134284892257 |
| -4.50468019498479 |
| 4.80035163198613 |
| -5.55411329730535 |
| 1.01048404571546 |
| 7.85619480454872 |
| 8.17514827503032 |
| -0.0672288345676009 |
| -0.330688635242467 |
| 4.48739925826891 |
| -2.54499871726853 |
| -4.58942265681077 |
| 5.03818930168836 |
| 8.2455473395516 |
| -1.87275143085674 |
| -0.711781260355934 |
| 15.9573184602947 |
| -0.227414968202169 |
| 2.86064196991720 |
| 14.3233998686401 |
| 9.86269893947443 |
| 18.7563117891616 |
| -2.89584797567312 |
| -7.39124693582542 |
| 0.646157561786708 |
| 19.4950505636801 |
| -9.19595405346325 |
| -23.8859111902204 |
| -5.23452421635548 |
| -37.6411846107273 |
| 5.14972883817256 |
| 1.40292237412788 |
| 18.4815018543278 |
| -10.8052672415540 |
| -1.88126618400796 |
| 11.2534572352118 |
| 15.4700231505857 |
| -1.51985619305475 |
| -19.1997883558930 |
| 10.6771522448935 |
| -10.5258474059429 |
| 12.6202893651449 |
