Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	151.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	110.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	99.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	130.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	136.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	129.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	128	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	121.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	135.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	143.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	147.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	136.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	156.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	123.3	123.492	108.7984	138.1857	0.4898	0	0.9596	0
50	104.5	109.3968	94.6936	124.1	0.257	0.0319	0.913	0
51	139.8	138.4013	122.9044	153.8982	0.4298	1	0.8412	0.0107
52	136.5	146.4782	129.7536	163.2028	0.1211	0.7831	0.8858	0.1178
53	112.1	139.8621	122.4449	157.2793	9e-04	0.6474	0.8736	0.0298
54	118.5	137.1873	119.3187	155.056	0.0202	0.997	0.8432	0.0166
55	94.4	131.2797	112.5697	149.9897	1e-04	0.9097	0.8447	0.004
56	102.3	145.6853	126.3421	165.0285	0	1	0.8417	0.1344
57	111.4	153.3713	133.4667	173.276	0	1	0.827	0.3753
58	99.2	157.1277	136.611	177.6444	0	1	0.8211	0.5201
59	87.8	145.9386	124.8223	167.0549	0	1	0.817	0.1612
60	115.8	166.2632	144.6015	187.9249	0	1	0.809	0.809

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0607	-0.0016	1e-04	0.0369	0.0031	0.0554
50	0.0686	-0.0448	0.0037	23.9789	1.9982	1.4136
51	0.0571	0.0101	8e-04	1.9564	0.163	0.4038
52	0.0583	-0.0681	0.0057	99.5648	8.2971	2.8805
53	0.0635	-0.1985	0.0165	770.7344	64.2279	8.0142
54	0.0665	-0.1362	0.0114	349.2155	29.1013	5.3946
55	0.0727	-0.2809	0.0234	1360.1142	113.3429	10.6463
56	0.0677	-0.2978	0.0248	1882.2839	156.857	12.5243
57	0.0662	-0.2737	0.0228	1761.5916	146.7993	12.1161
58	0.0666	-0.3687	0.0307	3355.6183	279.6349	16.7223
59	0.0738	-0.3984	0.0332	3380.0925	281.6744	16.7832
60	0.0665	-0.3035	0.0253	2546.5306	212.2109	14.5675