Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	190.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	195.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	211.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	227.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	251.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	256.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	251.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	251.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	270.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	267.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	243	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	229.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	187.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	178.2	174.7684	159.1565	193.7762	0.3617	0.0999	0.0151	0.0999
51	175.2	170.4338	146.5146	203.6866	0.3894	0.3236	0.0073	0.1615
52	192.4	168.8301	138.7071	215.6663	0.162	0.3949	0.0074	0.221
53	187	168.2239	133.1789	228.299	0.2701	0.2151	0.0034	0.2679
54	184	167.9929	128.893	241.1444	0.334	0.3053	0.0087	0.3034
55	194.1	167.9046	125.37	254.1206	0.2757	0.3572	0.0281	0.3305
56	212.7	167.8708	122.3624	267.2739	0.1884	0.3025	0.0502	0.3516
57	217.5	167.8579	119.7287	280.6916	0.1943	0.218	0.0376	0.3684
58	200.5	167.8529	117.3809	294.4707	0.3067	0.2211	0.062	0.3823
59	205.9	167.851	115.2601	308.7086	0.2982	0.3248	0.1479	0.3939
60	196.5	167.8503	113.3247	323.5013	0.3591	0.3159	0.2173	0.4037
61	206.3	167.85	111.5439	338.9459	0.3298	0.3714	0.4123	0.4123

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0555	0.0196	0	11.7759	0	0
51	0.0995	0.028	0.0238	22.7169	17.2464	4.1529
52	0.1415	0.1396	0.0624	555.5397	196.6775	14.0242
53	0.1822	0.1116	0.0747	352.5418	235.6436	15.3507
54	0.2222	0.0953	0.0788	256.2276	239.7604	15.4842
55	0.262	0.156	0.0917	686.1998	314.167	17.7248
56	0.3021	0.267	0.1167	2009.6582	556.38	23.5877
57	0.343	0.2957	0.1391	2464.343	794.8754	28.1935
58	0.3849	0.1945	0.1453	1065.8334	824.9818	28.7225
59	0.4282	0.2267	0.1534	1447.7266	887.2563	29.7868
60	0.4731	0.1707	0.155	820.807	881.2155	29.6853
61	0.5201	0.2291	0.1612	1478.4031	930.9811	30.512